Stock Markets April 26, 2026 06:21 PM

Oil Climbs to Three-Week High as US-Iran Talks Stall; U.S. Futures Slip

Brent tops $107.90 as Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed; dollar edges up while S&P 500 futures retreat modestly

By Leila Farooq
Oil Climbs to Three-Week High as US-Iran Talks Stall; U.S. Futures Slip

Oil prices rose sharply and the dollar firmed slightly in early Asian trade after weekend diplomatic démarches between the United States and Iran failed to produce terms to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude hit a three-week peak of $107.97 a barrel, while U.S. stock futures eased modestly following a record closing high in the prior session.

Key Points

  • Brent crude futures rose over 2% to $107.97 a barrel, a three-week high.
  • S&P 500 futures fell about 0.3% after U.S. stocks closed at a record high last week.
  • The dollar strengthened modestly; the euro fell to $1.1706 and the yen was at 159.53 per dollar.

SINGAPORE, April 27 - Oil climbed in early Asian trading on Monday as attempts to clinch a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran faltered over the weekend, leaving Gulf shipping effectively blocked and underpinning energy prices.

Benchmark Brent crude futures rose by more than 2% to reach $107.97 a barrel, marking a three-week high. The move in oil occurred alongside a cautious tone in equities: S&P 500 futures slipped about 0.3% after U.S. shares finished last week at a record closing level.

The dollar inched higher against major currencies, though the gains were limited. The euro fell 0.15% to $1.1706, while the Japanese yen was marginally weaker at 159.53 per dollar.

Market participants cited the stalled talks as a key factor in the commodity reaction. Although a ceasefire has paused full-scale hostilities in the conflict that began after U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran two months ago, negotiators have yet to agree on terms that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The waterway has been described as all but closed, a development that has pushed energy prices higher.

On the diplomatic front, U.S. President Donald Trump cancelled a planned trip to Islamabad by two envoys that had been intended for talks over the weekend. Iran’s foreign minister, meanwhile, continued shuttle diplomacy among mediating countries.

"If they want to talk, they can come to us, or they can call us. You know, there is a telephone. We have nice, secure lines," Trump said on "The Sunday Briefing" on Fox News. "They know what has to be in the agreement. It’s very simple: They cannot have a nuclear weapon, otherwise there’s no reason to meet," Trump said.

Investors weighed the risks to supply from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz against the backdrop of a strong finish for U.S. equities last week. The dollar's small uptick against major peers reflected a cautious stance in currency markets amid the geopolitical uncertainty.

Overall, the combination of constrained shipping through a strategically vital chokepoint and the absence of a diplomatic breakthrough left oil prices elevated and equity futures somewhat softer in early Asian trade.


Markets and sectors affected:

  • Energy markets saw immediate pressure from shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Equity markets registered cautious positioning, with U.S. futures edging lower.
  • Foreign exchange markets reflected modest dollar strength versus the euro and yen.

Risks

  • Continued closure or restricted use of the Strait of Hormuz could sustain upward pressure on energy prices, affecting the energy sector and inflation expectations.
  • Failure to reach an agreement between the United States and Iran may prolong geopolitical uncertainty, weighing on equity markets and investor sentiment.
  • Diplomatic disruptions, such as cancelled envoy trips, may impede progress toward reopening maritime routes, maintaining supply-chain and shipping risks for energy commodities.

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