Stock Markets April 28, 2026 11:52 PM

Asia markets mixed as Iran tensions and Fed caution weigh; Australia sees sharp Q1 CPI rise

Investors balance Middle East risks, central bank caution and a surprise jump in Australian inflation

By Maya Rios
Asia markets mixed as Iran tensions and Fed caution weigh; Australia sees sharp Q1 CPI rise

Asian equities traded unevenly as investors digested heightened U.S.-Iran tensions, awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve decision and assessed a strong Australian inflation print that lifted expectations for tighter policy. Technology shares in China were mixed after a drop in Hua Hong Semiconductor, while oil prices stayed elevated amid disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz.

Key Points

  • Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have kept oil prices elevated, increasing inflationary pressures and adding caution across equity markets - energy and transport sectors are directly affected.
  • Markets are awaiting the U.S. Federal Reserve decision with expectations of unchanged rates but close attention on any guidance about the timing of potential easing - financials and interest-rate-sensitive sectors are impacted.
  • Australia's Q1 consumer inflation accelerated sharply, driven mainly by higher fuel prices, reinforcing expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia - housing, services and transport sectors are affected.

Asian equity markets showed a mixed picture on Wednesday as investors contended with geopolitical strains in the Middle East, a cautious mood ahead of a key U.S. Federal Reserve policy announcement and fresh inflation figures from Australia.

Sentiment remained fragile after declines on Wall Street overnight, where indexes were pressured by a report that OpenAI missed internal targets for users and revenue, prompting doubts about the long-term durability of heavy spending on artificial intelligence. U.S. stock index futures were slightly firmer during Asian hours as markets also awaited quarterly reports from the group of large technology firms often referred to as the "Magnificent 7".


Fed decision and oil price dynamics

Attention was largely on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement scheduled for later in the day. The central bank is widely expected to hold interest rates steady, but market participants are watching closely for any forward guidance about the timing of potential rate easing - particularly given elevated inflationary pressures tied to rising energy costs.

Geopolitical developments stayed front and centre. A Wall Street Journal report said U.S. President Donald Trump directed aides to prepare for a prolonged blockade of Iran, an escalation that has kept tensions high around the Strait of Hormuz. Those tensions have supported higher oil prices, which in turn have fed concerns about inflation and contributed to cautious positioning across equity markets.


Regional market moves

  • South Korea's KOSPI inched up about 0.2% after setting record highs in the prior session.
  • Japanese markets were closed for a public holiday.
  • Singapore's Straits Times Index fell roughly 0.6%, while futures tied to India's Nifty 50 were trading flat.

In mainland China and Hong Kong, the tone was mixed. The Shanghai Composite gained about 0.4% and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 rose around 0.7%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed roughly 1%, supported by a 1.5% rise in the Hang Seng TECH sub-index.


Chip sector reaction and technology sentiment

Shares of Hua Hong Semiconductor (HK:1347) fell more than 7% after a Reuters report flagged the possibility of new U.S. curbs on shipments of chipmaking equipment. The move highlighted continuing tensions in technology trade. Despite the setback for Hua Hong, broader Chinese and Hong Kong technology stocks were relatively supported by optimism around low-cost artificial intelligence developments from DeepSeek, even as weakness in U.S. technology names reverberated globally.


Australia inflation jump

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slipped about 0.3% following data that showed a sharp acceleration in consumer inflation during the first quarter. Headline consumer prices rose roughly 1.4% on a quarterly basis, pushing annual inflation into the mid-4% range - the highest rate in more than two years. The March monthly consumer price indicator also showed a marked pickup, driven in large part by a surge in fuel costs as oil prices climbed amid disruptions in the Middle East.

Transport costs jumped sharply, while housing and services inflation remained sticky. The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised interest rates twice so far this year and has warned that additional increases could be necessary if inflation continues to rise rapidly.


Outlook

Investors are navigating a landscape defined by geopolitical uncertainty that is supporting energy prices, central bank caution ahead of the Fed decision, and a stronger-than-expected inflation print from Australia that has reaffirmed expectations for tighter policy in that market. Markets will likely remain sensitive to further developments on U.S.-Iran tensions, guidance from the Fed, and company-specific earnings coming from major technology firms.

Risks

  • Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions could maintain upward pressure on oil prices and feed higher inflation, affecting energy and transport costs - this raises uncertainty for markets sensitive to commodity prices.
  • Potential changes in Fed communication about the timing of rate easing could shift investor positioning and volatility across equities and fixed income, impacting financial and interest-rate-sensitive sectors.
  • New U.S. export curbs on chipmaking equipment, as reported, pose downside risk to semiconductor companies exposed to U.S.-China technology tensions, particularly affecting semiconductor and broader tech hardware sectors.

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