Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

5,205 total articles

Former Intelligence Chief Ye Win Oo Elevated to Lead Myanmar Military

Former Intelligence Chief Ye Win Oo Elevated to Lead Myanmar Military

Ye Win Oo, a 60-year-old general who led the squad that detained Aung San Suu Kyi during the February 1, 2021 coup, was named commander-in-chief of Myanmar's military on Monday. His promotion marks the first time a former head of military intelligence has risen to the top post. Analysts, diplomats and a defector point to his loyalty and proximity t…

Futures Climb as Oil Stays Elevated Amid Ongoing Iran Conflict

Futures Climb as Oil Stays Elevated Amid Ongoing Iran Conflict

U.S. stock futures rose as the first quarter neared its close, supported by reports that President Trump is weighing an end to the Iran military campaign without reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices remained historically high after a Kuwaiti tanker near Dubai caught fire following an alleged Iranian attack. Investors awaited U.S. JOLTS job op…

German Unemployment Holds Steady as Spring Upturn Lacks Momentum

German Unemployment Holds Steady as Spring Upturn Lacks Momentum

Germany's seasonally adjusted unemployment count remained unchanged in March at 2.977 million, with the jobless rate sticking at 6.3%. Labour office chief Andrea Nahles said the usual spring improvement in employment has begun but without strong momentum. Job vacancies totalled 638,000, down 5,000 year-on-year. Broader economic strains including co…

German economic institutes sharply scale back 2026 growth forecast, point to Iran conflict and higher energy costs

German economic institutes sharply scale back 2026 growth forecast, point to Iran conflict and higher energy costs

A consortium of Germany's leading economic research institutes has reduced its growth projection for 2026 to 0.6%, down from a 1.3% estimate issued in September, and trimmed 2027 expectations to 0.9% from 1.4%. The institutes attribute the downgrade to rising energy costs tied to the Iran war, which they say are driving higher inflation. The group …

Markets Find Temporary Relief as Geopolitical Tensions Show Signs of Cooling

Markets Find Temporary Relief as Geopolitical Tensions Show Signs of Cooling

Global markets edged up on Tuesday after a report that the U.S. may halt direct military operations against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed. Futures rallied in Asia and Europe, while oil retreated from intraday gains. Investors remain cautious: the waterway has been effectively shut since February 28 and Brent is set for a …

Tokyo Calls Recent Yen Decline 'Speculative' as Iran Conflict Spurs Market Shock

Tokyo Calls Recent Yen Decline 'Speculative' as Iran Conflict Spurs Market Shock

Japanese officials on Tuesday described the latest slide in the yen as speculative for the first time since the Middle East war began, signaling readiness to act as the currency neared the 160-per-dollar threshold. The slump has combined with a spike in oil prices after the Iran conflict and rising import costs to intensify inflationary pressure an…

California order demands AI safeguards for companies seeking state contracts

California order demands AI safeguards for companies seeking state contracts

On March 30, California Governor Gavin Newsom issued an executive order obliging companies that pursue state contracts to adopt measures guarding against AI misuse, including producing illegal content, introducing harmful bias, or violating civil rights. The order mandates watermarking of AI-generated images and video per state guidance, directs st…

BOK nominee urges flexible policy as Middle East tensions pose risks to economy

BOK nominee urges flexible policy as Middle East tensions pose risks to economy

Shin Hyun-song, nominated to lead the Bank of Korea, told reporters on Tuesday that the central bank should adopt a "flexible" approach to monetary policy to address heightened risks stemming from the Iran war. He said the won's current level was "not concerning," and that liquidity conditions were healthy. Shin identified the Middle East crisis as…

RBA Board Split on Further Tightening as Middle East Uncertainty Clouds Rate Path

RBA Board Split on Further Tightening as Middle East Uncertainty Clouds Rate Path

Minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s March board meeting reveal that the board viewed policy as needing to be restrictive when it voted to raise rates earlier in the month, but members said the future path for interest rates is uncertain amid the conflict in the Middle East. The decision to lift the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% was …

Tokyo core inflation remains under BOJ goal in March as subsidies mute price gains

Tokyo core inflation remains under BOJ goal in March as subsidies mute price gains

Tokyo's core consumer prices, excluding fresh food, increased 1.7% in March from a year earlier, marking a second consecutive month below the Bank of Japan's 2% target. A narrower CPI that also strips out fuel rose 2.3% in March. Fuel subsidies and a weak yen are cited as opposing forces shaping the readings, while analysts expect higher oil-driven…

UK shop price inflation ticks higher as Middle East conflict strains supply chains

UK shop price inflation ticks higher as Middle East conflict strains supply chains

British retailers raised shop prices slightly faster in March, with annual shop price inflation moving to 1.2% from 1.1% in February. The British Retail Consortium warned that higher costs linked to the conflict in the Middle East are beginning to pass into supply chains and could push inflation higher, while food price behaviour remains a key conc…

RBA to Ban Card Surcharges, Move to Cap Interchange Fees in A$2.5 Billion Shift

RBA to Ban Card Surcharges, Move to Cap Interchange Fees in A$2.5 Billion Shift

The Reserve Bank of Australia has confirmed it will eliminate consumer-facing surcharges on designated eftpos, Mastercard and Visa networks from October 1 and will cap interchange fees paid by merchants in staged reductions. The combined measures are estimated to deliver roughly A$2.5 billion in annual savings, split between consumers and businesse…

Trading Day: Growth Fears Intensify as Markets Reprice Risk

Trading Day: Growth Fears Intensify as Markets Reprice Risk

Stocks and indices tumbled to multi-month lows while bond yields fell on mounting growth concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Oil pushed further above $100 a barrel, tech shares bore the brunt of the sell-off and market-based borrowing costs have surged at a moment when large technology companies are increasingly relying on debt to finance AI invest…

Netflix pursuing broader NFL streaming slate, seeks two additional games

Netflix pursuing broader NFL streaming slate, seeks two additional games

Netflix is negotiating to increase its National Football League game lineup from two games to four, targeting a Thanksgiving Eve matchup and an international game likely to occur in the season's opening week. The company remains in the final year of a three-year Christmas Day rights package it paid roughly $75 million per game for. The NFL has recl…

New York Fed’s Williams Says Inflation Should Return to 2% by 2027

New York Fed’s Williams Says Inflation Should Return to 2% by 2027

New York Federal Reserve President John Williams told an audience on Monday that he anticipates inflation will fall to the Fed's 2% goal by 2027. He noted current inflation sits near 3%, with tariffs contributing between 0.5 and 0.75 percentage points and recent Middle East-related energy price rises likely to elevate inflation in the near term bef…

Apple Pulls 'Anything' Vibe Coding App From App Store

Apple Pulls 'Anything' Vibe Coding App From App Store

Apple has removed Anything, a vibe coding application that lets non-developers build apps using AI, from its App Store, the startup's CEO said. The move follows a prior action by Apple that blocked updates to vibe coding tools while leaving existing versions available. Anything's co-founder says users have published thousands of apps using the tool…

Stournaras Urges Swift ECB Action if Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Drift

Stournaras Urges Swift ECB Action if Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Drift

Greece's central bank chief Yannis Stournaras said the European Central Bank must be prepared to act quickly if a prolonged war in the Middle East causes inflation expectations to drift, potentially jeopardizing the ECB's March baseline price and growth projections. Speaking at a financial conference in Bucharest, Stournaras stressed the dilemma of…