Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,135 total articles
Anthropic has refused to relax rules restricting military uses of its AI, after a meeting between its CEO and the U.S. Defense Secretary. Pentagon officials told the company it must either be labeled a supply-chain risk or face legal measures that would force policy changes, and gave Anthropic a deadline to respond.
Investors are watching President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address closely as it arrives amid recent market turbulence and just days after the Supreme Court struck down his emergency-powers tariffs. Market participants warn that discussion of topics from trade policy to Iran or new affordability measures - including proposed 'Trump accounts…
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has revised its internal enforcement manual to provide greater uniformity in how it notifies and interacts with subjects of investigations. Key changes include extending the standard response period to four weeks for Wells notices and guaranteeing an opportunity to meet with staff within four weeks of a r…
Two Democratic state attorneys general announced a multistate lawsuit challenging recent federal changes to the childhood immunization schedule and alterations to the CDC advisory panel. The complaint, to be filed in Northern California federal court, contends the updated CDC guidance and personnel moves were unlawful and could depress vaccination …
A Reuters poll of 44 market strategists, analysts and portfolio managers finds the median forecast for the S&P 500 at about 7,500 by the end of 2026, roughly a 9.7% gain from the index's close on Monday at 6,837.75. Forecasters cite upbeat U.S. earnings and steady economic growth as primary drivers, while noting risks from inflation and Federal Res…
Spirit Aviation Holdings said it has reached an agreement in principle on the key terms of a restructuring support agreement with its existing debtor-in-possession lenders and secured noteholders. The deal is designed to fund the airline through its Chapter 11 process, enabling planned changes to fleet deployment, route capacity and cost structure,…
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told lawmakers a cut to interest rates at the March policy meeting is a live possibility but would require more confirming evidence, after services inflation in recent data proved stickier than the central bank had forecast. The BoE expects headline inflation to drop toward its 2% target in April data due in M…
Chinese drone manufacturer DJI has filed a legal challenge in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit seeking to overturn an FCC decision that bars imports of its new drone models and critical components. The company says the rule harms its U.S. business and denies American customers access to its latest technology. The FCC's December action …
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa D. Cook said artificial intelligence offers substantial potential to raise productivity, but its rollout is already reshaping demand for certain jobs and could amplify labor market churn. Speaking at a major economic policy conference, she highlighted rising business investment in data centers and chips and cautioned t…
The Trump administration is pursuing an increase in the temporary global tariff to 15% from the 10% rate that U.S. Customs and Border Protection recently published, a White House official said. The higher rate reflects President Trump's stated preference after he issued a formal order that established a 10% duty to run for 150 days. The temporary l…
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the U.S. central bank is taking a careful, coordinated approach to adopting artificial intelligence, stressing robust security, model validation and human accountability. Speaking at a Federal Reserve Bank of Boston conference, Waller outlined specific guardrails and said the Fed will align system-wi…
Brazil's federal tax receipts rose 3.56% in real terms in January to 325.8 billion reais ($62.87 billion), the strongest January outcome on record. The result coincided with the first month of a tax reform that expands income-tax exemptions for lower and middle-income earners while introducing new withholding levies on certain dividend flows and a …
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee signaled that the central bank could resume lowering interest rates if inflation returns toward target, but cautioned against loosening policy now based on hopes for rising productivity. He warned that premature cuts risk stoking overheating if investment-driven productivity gains do not materi…
Goldman Sachs projects U.S. GDP will accelerate in 2026 above consensus, driven by tax cuts, a fading tariff drag and easier financial conditions that should bolster business investment. The bank flags a sharp equity correction, AI-related labor disruptions and consumer-facing tariff pass-throughs as the key downside risks that could trim growth.
A Reuters poll of market analysts and strategists finds European stocks have enjoyed a robust start to 2026 but are forecast to slip in mid-year before finishing the year only marginally higher. The STOXX 600 is seen reaching 640 by end-2026, reflecting modest gains from current levels as investors weigh geopolitical risks, tariff developments and …
Mexico's annual inflation rose to 3.92% in the first half of February, slightly above economists' expectations, while core inflation climbed to 4.52%, remaining well above the central bank's 3% target range. The data reduces the likelihood of an interest rate cut at the next policy meeting after Banxico's pause earlier this month.
China's nine-day Lunar New Year holiday produced a strong rebound in domestic travel and consumer spending, with official data showing 596 million domestic trips and 803.5 billion yuan in tourism receipts. Gains were widespread across major cities, scenic areas and lower-tier destinations, while the box office recorded a sharp decline in takings an…
Bank of America Securities analysts say Brazil, Canada and Mexico look positioned to be relative beneficiaries of U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly implemented global tariffs. The levies, issued under Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, began at 10% following a Supreme Court decision that limited the administration’s prior reciprocal tariff author…
A provocative thought experiment that sketched a "Global Intelligence Crisis" from rapid AI adoption prompted a quick alternative narrative from a major research shop. Citrini Research's hypothetical scenario warned of a severe equity drawdown, soaring unemployment and private credit stress by mid-2028 if AI-driven productivity shocks outpace econo…
Home Depot reported fourth-quarter same-store sales growth that exceeded Wall Street forecasts, driven by continued demand from professional contractors and consumers opting for lower-cost repairs. The Atlanta-based retailer said it reaffirmed the annual sales forecast provided in December, and its shares rose in premarket trading following the rep…
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi reportedly voiced reservations about additional interest rate increases during a meeting with Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda last week, a development that market participants interpreted as potential tension between the government and the central bank. The yen weakened versus the dollar and euro after the r…
Outgoing Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic warned that wide adoption of artificial intelligence by employers may reduce demand for labor and push the natural rate of unemployment higher. He argued the Federal Reserve should not attempt to force the unemployment rate lower with interest-rate cuts if the change is structural, and that fiscal polic…
More than a year into President Donald Trump’s second term, sweeping economic measures have produced a patchwork of outcomes: stronger-than-expected GDP growth fueled by tax cuts and heavy tech investment, a resurgence in manufacturing output, and stubborn inflation and tepid job creation. A Supreme Court ruling that struck down emergency global ta…
Japan has requested that its treatment under newly announced U.S. tariffs remain as favourable as under the trade agreement struck last year. Tokyo is treading carefully before Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s planned late-March visit to Washington, citing risks to sectors like autos if additional levies are layered on existing concessions.
United Nations General Assembly President Annalena Baerbock pressed the United States to settle its full dues after Washington sent roughly $160 million toward more than $4 billion it owes to the U.N. The partial payment, less than 5% of the total, came amid warnings from the U.N. Secretary-General that unpaid contributions threaten the organizatio…
