Stock Markets June 24, 2026 01:03 PM

TD Cowen Names Agios Its Top Biotech Pick on Strength in Thalassemia and Pipeline Progress

Analyst cites robust mitapivat data across blood disorders and a promising early-stage candidate as reasons for the recommendation

By Maya Rios
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TD Cowen elevated Agios to its leading recommendation in the biotech coverage universe after the company presented multiple data updates at the European Hematology Association 2026 meeting. Highlights include meaningful hemoglobin gains and transfusion reductions in sickle cell disease from the Phase 3 RISE-UP data, sustained hemoglobin responses in non-transfusion dependent thalassemia from ENERGIZE extension results, a faster-than-expected launch for Aqvesme, and interim Phase 1 pharmacodynamic activity for AG-236 in polycythemia vera.

TD Cowen Names Agios Its Top Biotech Pick on Strength in Thalassemia and Pipeline Progress
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Key Points

  • Agios was named TD Cowen’s top biotech pick based on mitapivat’s clinical performance and growing pipeline momentum; sectors impacted include biotech, pharmaceuticals, and healthcare.
  • Phase 3 RISE-UP data in sickle cell disease showed a 0.77 g/dL hemoglobin improvement versus 0.03 g/dL for placebo, plus a 41% relative reduction in patients needing transfusions and a 56% reduction in red blood cell units transfused per patient.
  • Commercial traction for Aqvesme is ahead of expectations with about 242 prescriptions through the end of Q1, implying roughly $82 million in annualized demand versus a $63 million fiscal 2026 consensus estimate.

TD Cowen analyst Marc Frahm has identified Agios as the firm’s top pick within the biotech sector, pointing to the company’s lead therapy mitapivat and an expanding development portfolio. The recommendation follows a series of data disclosures from Agios at the European Hematology Association 2026 conference that the analyst said reinforced confidence in mitapivat across several indications and highlighted early-stage progress for other assets.

Several of the presentations centered on mitapivat. New analyses from the Phase 3 RISE-UP study in sickle cell disease showed an average improvement in hemoglobin of 0.77 g/dL for mitapivat-treated patients versus 0.03 g/dL for placebo. The company also reported transfusion-related benefits: a 41% relative reduction in the proportion of patients requiring transfusions and a 56% reduction in red blood cell units transfused per patient, metrics that the company noted surpass historical outcomes observed with hydroxyurea.

To confirm efficacy, Agios plans a Phase 3 confirmatory trial named REIGNITE. The study is expected to enroll about 159 patients and uses a primary endpoint defined as transfusion-free status from weeks 4 through 52. The trial is reported to be powered at roughly 98% for that primary endpoint.

Additional Phase 3 information came from the ENERGIZE program in non-transfusion dependent thalassemia. Data from an open-label extension showed a sustained and deepening hemoglobin response, with the mean duration of hemoglobin response rising to approximately 43.6 weeks - more than double earlier measures. Among patients who continued mitapivat into the open-label extension, around 60% achieved hemoglobin increases of at least 1 g/dL.

On the commercial front, the company’s Aqvesme launch is tracking ahead of internal expectations. Agios reported roughly 242 prescriptions by the end of the first quarter, which the company says implies about $82 million in annualized demand. That figure compares with fiscal year 2026 consensus revenue of about $63 million.

Beyond mitapivat and Aqvesme, Agios shared interim Phase 1 data for AG-236, an siRNA therapeutic targeting TMPRSS6 in polycythemia vera. The interim results included dose-dependent induction of hepcidin and pharmacodynamic activity persisting beyond approximately 57 days. The company said these findings support the potential for extended dosing intervals, possibly out to every 24 weeks.

TD Cowen’s designation of Agios as its top biotech pick is driven by the combined clinical and early commercial signals described at the conference. The analyst emphasized mitapivat’s profile in thalassemia and expressed confidence that the company can maintain the strong early launch momentum it has demonstrated.


Contextual note - The updates presented at the conference span confirmatory trials, open-label extension data, commercial launch metrics, and interim Phase 1 pharmacodynamics, reflecting activity across both late-stage and early-stage programs within Agios’ pipeline.

Risks

  • The REIGNITE confirmatory Phase 3 trial is planned to enroll approximately 159 patients with a primary endpoint of transfusion-free status; trial enrollment, execution, and final outcomes remain uncertainties that could affect clinical and commercial prospects - impacting clinical-stage biotech and investor sentiment.
  • Aqvesme’s early launch performance, while tracking ahead of expectations, must be sustained to meet longer-term revenue projections; commercial uptake and market dynamics in pharmaceuticals and healthcare services represent areas of uncertainty.
  • AG-236 data are interim from a Phase 1 study showing dose-dependent hepcidin induction and activity beyond approximately 57 days; the early-stage nature of these results means potential for extended dosing intervals remains to be confirmed in later studies, affecting early-stage biotech valuation and development risk.

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