Stock Markets June 24, 2026 02:11 PM

Qualcomm Repositions for AI Data Center Chips as Smartphone Headwinds Mount

Investor day to detail customer wins and roadmap for CPUs, inference accelerators and custom ASICs amid a crowded market led by Nvidia

By Avery Klein
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Qualcomm is expected to use its investor day to outline an accelerated push into AI data center processors and related chips as smartphone market pressures grow. The company plans to begin shipments of data-center AI processors by year-end and is developing CPUs, inference accelerators and custom ASICs with customers. Analysts warn the market is highly competitive, dominated by incumbents and custom-chip alternatives, while Bank of America projects modest revenue of $2 billion to $5 billion annually by fiscal 2027-2028 for Qualcomm’s data-center effort.

Qualcomm Repositions for AI Data Center Chips as Smartphone Headwinds Mount
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Key Points

  • Qualcomm will use investor day to detail its expansion into AI data-center chips and may announce new customers.
  • The company is developing CPUs, inference accelerators and custom ASICs and expects to begin shipping data-center AI chips by year-end.
  • Analysts warn the AI data-center chip market is highly competitive, with Nvidia dominance and custom-chip options from cloud providers; BofA projects modest revenue of $2B to $5B annually by fiscal 2027-2028 for Qualcomm’s effort.

Qualcomm is set to present an expanded strategy beyond its core smartphone business at an upcoming investor day, where executives are expected to provide more detail on the company’s push into AI data center chips. Analysts anticipate announcements of new customers as Qualcomm seeks to establish a presence in a market currently dominated by Nvidia.

The move comes as the smartphone segment that has been a major source of revenue for Qualcomm faces intensifying pressure. A global memory chip shortage - driven in part by surging demand for AI infrastructure - has constrained that market, while large handset makers including Apple and Samsung are increasingly designing chips internally rather than relying on external suppliers.

In response to these headwinds, Qualcomm has been broadening its business mix beyond handsets, extending efforts into automotive and data center markets. The company has tried multiple times to grow its data-center business and is now re-entering a fast-growing AI chip market that several observers describe as hyper-competitive.

Bank of America analysts flag the competitive landscape as crowded, citing established players such as Nvidia and newer entrants like Cerebras, alongside a range of custom chip options available from hyperscalers and cloud providers - including Amazon’s Graviton and Google’s Axion. Those analysts caution that the environment will be challenging as Qualcomm seeks to penetrate a space with entrenched incumbents and diverse custom solutions.

Qualcomm said in April that it intends to begin shipping processors and other AI chips designed for data center workloads by year-end. The company indicated it is collaborating with customers on three categories of devices: central processing units, inference accelerators, and custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs). The custom ASIC segment has been expanding for competitors such as Broadcom and Marvell.

AI inference - the execution of trained models in production - has emerged as an important battleground in the market for data-center chips. Bank of America analysts estimate Qualcomm’s push into data-center products could generate roughly $2 billion to $5 billion in annual revenue by fiscal 2027-2028, describing that as modest relative to the broader market.

Investors following the event are expected to look for updated long-term financial targets, including explicit growth objectives for the company’s non-handset businesses. Market attention is also likely to center on Qualcomm’s recently announced $4 billion all-stock acquisition of AI software startup Modular, disclosed earlier on the same day. That deal positions Qualcomm as a competitor to Nvidia’s proprietary CUDA software ecosystem, which the company notes has secured a substantial developer base.


Key context and takeaways

  • Qualcomm plans to disclose more on its AI data-center strategy and may name new customers at investor day.
  • The company is targeting three chip categories - CPUs, inference accelerators and custom ASICs - with shipments for data centers slated to start by year-end.
  • Analysts warn the AI data-center chip market is highly competitive and dominated by incumbents and custom-chip offerings from cloud providers.

Sectors impacted: Semiconductors, cloud/data-center infrastructure, smartphone hardware, automotive electronics.

Risks

  • High competition in the AI data-center chip market from incumbents and custom-chip providers could limit Qualcomm’s market share - impacting semiconductor and cloud infrastructure sectors.
  • Smartphone market pressures, including a memory chip shortage tied to AI infrastructure demand and handset makers developing in-house chips, may constrain Qualcomm’s traditional revenue base - impacting mobile hardware and semiconductor suppliers.
  • Execution risk in scaling a new data-center business and integrating the $4 billion all-stock Modular acquisition could affect near-term financial targets and growth for Qualcomm’s non-handset segments - impacting corporate investors and balance-sheet assumptions.

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