Stock Markets September 8, 2026 02:51 PM

Options Activity Paints Strong Bullish Bias for D-Wave Ahead of CHIPS Act Trigger

Traders concentrated in ultra-short-dated calls as market positions suggest a conviction play around a $100M government-backed catalyst

By Derek Hwang
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QBTS

Options traders have piled into D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) calls at a 3.16:1 ratio to puts on 80,944 contracts, with the most active strikes expiring in three days. The flow is concentrated in very short-dated, out-of-the-money calls alongside elevated implied volatility and a call-skew, while a notable in-the-money put position shows not all participants are exposed to upside only.

Options Activity Paints Strong Bullish Bias for D-Wave Ahead of CHIPS Act Trigger
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Key Points

  • Options volume on QBTS totaled 80,944 contracts with a 3.16:1 call-to-put ratio, indicating heavy bullish directional interest - impacts capital markets and derivatives desks.
  • Three of the top five strikes expire on Sept 11, concentrating near-term gamma around the $18 to $18.50 area - impacts market-makers and short-term liquidity.
  • Elevated 3-month implied volatility (79.34%) and a negative 90/110 skew indicate the market is pricing more upside probability into calls than downside into puts - relevant to volatility traders and options sellers.

Options flow around D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) is signaling a pronounced bullish posture among derivative traders, centered on a near-term event tied to the CHIPS Act. Across 80,944 contracts traded today, calls outnumbered puts by a 3.16:1 margin, and much of the activity sits in contracts that mature in just three trading days.

The market snapshot

As of 2:20 PM EDT, the split between calls and puts was stark:

Flow Contracts Share
Total Calls 61,483 75.9%
Total Puts 19,461 24.1%
Total Volume 80,944

By 2:46 PM EDT the stock was trading at $17.60, up 6.15% on the day. That combination of a large call skew and a sizable intraday price move suggests directional speculation rather than passive hedging.


Expiration concentration and contract detail

Three of the five most-active strikes expire on September 11, 2026, which is this Friday. The top strikes by volume and open interest were:

Strike Type Volume Open Interest Moneyness vs $17.60
Sept 11 $20 Call 5,890 1,248 +$2.40 OTM
Sept 11 $18 Call 4,759 974 +$0.40 OTM
Sept 11 $18.50 Call 4,613 869 +$0.90 OTM
Sept 11 $17 Put 2,685 1,085 -$0.60 ITM
Oct 16 $21 Call 2,601 2,358 +$3.40 OTM

Notably, volume on each listed strike far exceeded existing open interest, indicating these were largely fresh positions established during today’s session rather than transfers of prior bets. The single most-traded contract was the Sept 11 $20 call, which sits 13.6% above the quoted price and expires in three trading days. These short-dated, out-of-the-money calls carry little intrinsic time value and function like high-leverage, low-premium tickets: they materialize significant upside only if the underlying moves substantially higher before Friday’s close.


Volatility structure and skew

Implied volatility and skew metrics back up the sense of a market preparing for continued movement. Three-month implied volatility stood at 79.34%, a rise of 1.56 percentage points on the day, which signals the options market is pricing in elevated near-term turbulence. Meanwhile, the 90/110 skew read at -1.25 percentage points, up 0.18 points versus the prior level. That negative skew denotes relatively higher implied volatility on upside calls versus downside puts, signaling that traders are attaching more probability and premium to future upside than to downside risk, a pattern that diverges from the more common put-dominated skew seen when markets fear declines.


Contrary signals and protective positions

Even amid the dominant call flow, there is evidence of downside protection. The Sept 11 $17 put recorded 2,685 contracts with 1,085 open interest and was $0.60 in-the-money relative to the stated equity price. Such a position may indicate traders who hold long equity exposure are buying protection into the near-term event, or that some participants are crystallizing gains. The presence of this put means not all market participants are exclusively positioned for further upside.


What the flow implies for market dynamics

In the short term, the concentration of September call open interest may create a gamma magnet in the roughly $18 to $18.50 range. Market makers who hedge those sold call positions may be forced to buy shares as the price approaches those strikes, potentially amplifying upward momentum while the catalyst remains salient. Looking further out, the Oct 16 $21 call, with 2,601 contracts traded and an existing open interest of 2,358, shows some participants are taking multi-week views that extend beyond this Friday’s expirations.

Underlying today’s options flow is the $100 million CHIPS Act-related catalyst. Beyond any immediate government equity stake, market participants appear to be interpreting the announcement as validation of D-Wave’s technology trajectory toward a 100,000-qubit annealing system. The options positioning suggests traders are betting the news will re-rate the shares rather than produce a temporary uptick, although that is reflected in positioning rather than guaranteed by the data.


Summary and next steps

Options activity shows a concentrated, bullish directional bet in ultra-short-dated calls, elevated implied volatility, and a call-skew that assigns relatively more probability to a near-term rally. At the same time, a notable in-the-money put position signals some market participants are hedging or taking profits ahead of expirations. Traders and market makers will likely watch price behavior into Friday’s close to see whether the gamma around the $18 to $18.50 strikes produces further buying pressure or whether the catalyst loses momentum.

Risks

  • Short-dated calls concentrated in near-zero time value can expire worthless by Friday if the share price fails to move higher, posing loss risk to speculative options buyers - affects retail and speculator accounts.
  • The near-term gamma magnet around the $18 to $18.50 strikes could amplify moves while present but may reverse if the CHIPS Act catalyst fades, introducing sudden directional risk to liquidity providers and directional traders.
  • Presence of an in-the-money Sept 11 $17 put shows some participants are hedging or taking profits; this indicates not all market positions are purely bullish and downside protection remains in place.

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