Stock Markets June 11, 2026 08:14 AM

Macquarie: South Korean Bank Lending Rebounded in May, Led by Corporates

Corporate loans drove a 3.5% year-on-year rise in May while deposits also accelerated, though regulatory caps and voluntary bank measures constrain household credit expansion

By Jordan Park
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Macquarie's analysis of South Korean banking data shows loan growth returned to positive territory in May with corporate lending the main contributor. Household credit improved driven by unsecured loans tied to equity activity and a modest recovery in mortgages, while deposit balances rose. The investment bank cautions that regulatory limits and voluntary bank actions will likely restrain further household loan expansion.

Macquarie: South Korean Bank Lending Rebounded in May, Led by Corporates
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Key Points

  • Overall loan growth rose to 3.5% year-on-year in May, driven by a 4.6% rise in corporate loans and a 2.3% increase in household loans.
  • Mortgage growth was muted at 2.5% year-on-year, the slowest pace since October 2023, while deposit growth reached 6.6% year-on-year and the current account and savings account ratio increased to 39.5%.
  • Macquarie expects regulatory limits and banks' voluntary measures, such as tighter credit loan limits for high-income borrowers, to constrain further household lending growth.

Loan growth at South Korean banks ticked up to 3.5% year-on-year in May, according to data analyzed by Macquarie. The rebound reflected a 4.6% increase in corporate lending and a 2.3% rise in household loans.

Macquarie's review highlights corporate lending as the principal driver of the monthly improvement, supported by government-led productive finance programs. Household lending gains were concentrated in unsecured products tied to equity market activity, while mortgage lending rose for a second month as housing transaction volumes began to recover.

Mortgage expansion remained modest at 2.5% year-on-year in May, a pace described by Macquarie as the slowest since October 2023. On the funding side, deposit balances climbed 6.6% year-on-year, lifting the ratio of current account and savings accounts to 39.5%.

Macquarie emphasized that household demand has benefited from stronger unsecured lending and a pickup in housing transactions, but cautioned that regulatory constraints are likely to continue limiting overall household credit growth. The analysis notes that unsecured loans account for roughly 10% of the major banks' loan portfolios.

In response to concerns about household leverage, banks have been rolling out voluntary measures to rein in growth in that segment of their books. Those measures include tighter credit loan limits for higher-income borrowers, according to Macquarie's summary of industry behaviour.

Looking ahead, Macquarie sees limited upside for mortgage growth in light of upcoming regulatory changes. The firm specifically cites a June 2025 mortgage regulation that imposes a 600 million won cap on mortgages and an October 2025 widening of designated regulated areas as factors that will constrain future mortgage expansion.


Implications

  • Bank balance sheets show a rebound in lending momentum, led by corporate credit demand.
  • Household credit recovery is present but concentrated in unsecured lending and modest mortgage gains.
  • Regulatory changes and voluntary bank measures are expected to keep household loan growth in check.

Risks

  • Regulatory constraints - Upcoming rules including a June 2025 mortgage cap of 600 million won and the October 2025 expansion of regulated areas could limit mortgage and household loan growth, affecting mortgage-related sectors and housing market activity.
  • Concentration of unsecured lending - Although unsecured loans are only about 10% of major banks' loan books, stronger demand in this segment tied to equity market activity could increase vulnerability in consumer credit and retail finance sectors.
  • Bank lending measures - Voluntary tightening by banks, such as reduced credit loan limits for high-income borrowers, may slow household credit growth and weigh on consumption and consumer finance businesses.

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