Stock Markets April 15, 2026 02:21 AM

ASML raises 2026 revenue guidance as AI-driven orders accelerate capacity plans

Chip-equipment leader posts stronger-than-expected Q1 results and signals higher tool shipments as customers expand for AI and memory demand

By Maya Rios ASML
ASML raises 2026 revenue guidance as AI-driven orders accelerate capacity plans
ASML

ASML reported first-quarter results that exceeded expectations and updated its 2026 revenue guidance higher, citing increased customer investment to meet rising chip demand driven in part by artificial intelligence and memory shortages. The company said it will expand shipments of its flagship low-NA EUV systems in 2026 and 2027 to address the surge in orders.

Key Points

  • ASML posted first-quarter net earnings of 2.76 billion euros on sales of 8.76 billion euros, up from 2.36 billion euros on sales of 7.74 billion euros in the prior-year quarter.
  • The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to 36-40 billion euros from 34-39 billion euros; analysts had forecast 37.7 billion euros.
  • ASML expects to ship 60 low-NA EUV systems in 2026 (25% more than 2025) and to have capacity for 80 shipments in 2027, reflecting accelerated customer capacity plans driven by AI and memory demand.

ASML, the world’s largest provider of equipment used to make semiconductors, reported first-quarter earnings that beat expectations and raised its top-line forecast for 2026 as customers accelerate capacity expansion in response to rising chip demand.

In a statement, CEO Christophe Fouquet said: "Demand for chips is outpacing supply. In response, our customers are accelerating their capacity expansion plans for 2026 and beyond ...(and) our customers have increased their expected short- and medium-term demand for our products." The comment accompanied an updated revenue outlook and quarterly results released on Wednesday.

The Veldhoven, Netherlands-based company, noted as Europe’s most valuable firm by market capitalisation, lifted its 2026 revenue guidance to a range of 36 billion to 40 billion euros, from prior guidance of 34 billion to 39 billion euros. Analysts had been forecasting 37.7 billion euros, according to LSEG data cited with the announcement.

ASML is widely seen by investors as a core supplier to the AI-driven build-out of chipmaking capacity, providing essential machinery used by contract manufacturers such as TSMC, which produces processors for customers including Nvidia and Apple. The company’s shares have advanced about 40% so far this year amid rapid data centre construction and a shortage of memory chips, both factors that contribute to demand for ASML’s tools.

Addressing concerns about its ability to meet heightened demand, ASML’s chief financial officer said the firm expects to ship 60 of its flagship low-NA EUV tools in 2026 - 25% more than in 2025 - and to have capacity to ship 80 in 2027. ASML is the sole commercial manufacturer of these extreme ultraviolet lithography systems, which can cost about $300 million each and are required to pattern the tiny circuitry used in advanced processors and memory.

Financial results for the quarter showed net earnings of 2.76 billion euros on sales of 8.76 billion euros. That compares with net earnings of 2.36 billion euros on sales of 7.74 billion euros in the first quarter of 2025. The company included the exchange rate used in reporting: $1 = 0.8483 euros.


Taken together, ASML’s stronger-than-expected profitability, upward adjustment to 2026 revenue guidance, and disclosed plans to increase shipments of its most advanced equipment underscore how customer demand tied to AI and memory constraints is reshaping near-term investment plans across semiconductor manufacturing.

Risks

  • Capacity and delivery execution risk: ASML’s plan to increase shipments of costly low-NA EUV tools depends on its ability to scale production and logistics - this impacts semiconductor manufacturers relying on these machines.
  • Customer demand concentration risk: The company’s outlook is tied to large customers accelerating capacity expansion, which concentrates exposure in the semiconductor capital expenditure cycle and could affect equipment suppliers and chipmakers.
  • Market volatility risk: ASML’s stock performance, up about 40% year-to-date, reflects market expectations about AI-driven demand and memory shortages; shifts in those drivers could influence equity and supplier valuations.

More from Stock Markets

Jakarta index slips as infrastructure, financials and agriculture weigh on market Apr 15, 2026 Court Orders Hancock Prospecting and Rio Tinto to Pay Royalties to Former Partners Apr 15, 2026 TeraWulf Announces $800 Million Equity Sale; Shares Slide After Disappointing Q1 Preview Apr 15, 2026 Bernstein lifts Advantest to Outperform, names it sector Top Pick Apr 15, 2026 Schaeffler posts stronger-than-expected first-quarter margins, holds 2026 outlook Apr 15, 2026