Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,136 total articles
President Donald Trump said on Air Force One that Chinese President Xi Jinping appears to be giving serious consideration to releasing a detained pastor, but that the fate of jailed media tycoon Jimmy Lai presents greater resistance. Trump described his private exchanges with Xi and expressed pessimism after raising Lai's case.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi announced that China and the United States have agreed to form a Board of Trade and a Board of Investment to deepen bilateral commerce. The initiative will tackle market access for agricultural goods and pursue expanded two-way trade via a reciprocal tariff reduction framework. Teams from both governments are consul…
Turkey has proposed constructing a $1.2 billion pipeline to deliver military fuel to NATO's eastern flank, routing through Bulgaria to Romania. The proposal, intended for presentation before the NATO summit Ankara will host in July, is framed as a lower-cost and less disruption-prone alternative to maritime routes through Greece or western neighbor…
Turkey has proposed constructing a $1.2 billion fuel pipeline to move military-grade fuel from Turkey to Romania through Bulgaria. The route, intended solely for NATO military use, is being advanced as a cheaper and potentially more resilient alternative to maritime options and is expected to be brought forward ahead of the NATO summit Turkey will …
Bank of America economists say the U.S. economy could still head toward stagflation or reflation as persistent inflation and mixed growth signals collide. Strong consumer spending and corporate earnings point to reflation, but hotter-than-expected April inflation and fading fiscal support leave risks elevated. BofA has pushed out its forecast for t…
China's foreign minister confirmed that President Xi Jinping will travel to the United States in autumn, while Beijing and Washington agreed to create trade and investment councils and to pursue steps to expand two-way commerce, including reciprocal tariff reductions and measures on agricultural products. Taiwan was identified by China as the most …
Global equity funds recorded their eighth straight week of net inflows through May 13, drawing $39.15 billion as enthusiasm around AI-related technology stocks and optimistic chipmaker outlooks outweighed inflation worries. The MSCI World Index reached a record 1,117.52 after forecasts of robust data-center chip demand, while bond funds also saw su…
Panama Canal officials said vessel passage limits will not be introduced for the remainder of 2026 even if the forecasted El Niño brings drought to Central America in the second half of the year. The canal currently allows 38 transits per day and has observed rising passage demand in recent months. Authorities report ongoing weather monitoring and …
Morgan Stanley expects the Federal Reserve to maintain its current policy rate through the remainder of 2026 and anticipate a slow easing cycle beginning in 2027. The bank's mid-year view hinges on two dynamics: a retreat in tariff pass-through into goods prices and only modest spillovers from higher oil into core inflation. Business investment, in…
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said he expects China to buy more U.S. crude following supply disruptions tied to recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. Wright highlighted rising interest from Asian buyers in Alaskan shipments and confirmed that U.S. diesel exports will continue amid the market adjustments.
Brazil’s services sector contracted 1.2% in March from February, led by a pronounced fall in transportation activity, according to IBGE data released May 15. The monthly decline was worse than the 0.1% drop economists had forecast, and all five subgroups measured by the statistics agency recorded contractions. On a year-on-year basis services outpu…
Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields climbed to May 2025 highs on Friday after oil prices rose and inflation data showed a marked pickup in April. The move reflected investor concern that Middle East energy disruptions could intensify inflation pressures already visible in recent consumer and producer price prints.
President Bola Tinubu said he will not roll back economic reforms instituted since taking office in 2023, rejecting suggestions that political dynamics ahead of January elections would force a policy U-turn. Speaking at the Africa CEO Forum, Tinubu defended the removal of fuel subsidies and the liberalization of the naira as difficult but necessary…
President Donald Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that American farmers should be pleased with trade outcomes from his state visit to Beijing, saying China will be buying "billions of dollars" of soybeans. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer qualified the expectation as "double-digit billions" in U.S. agricultural purchases over the n…
The National Bank of Romania maintained its benchmark interest rate at 6.5%, the highest in the European Union, as the country confronts double-digit inflation and a worsening recession. The central bank adopted an updated inflation forecast that points to stronger-than-expected inflation in the second quarter - driven by fuel price rises and gover…
President Donald Trump told reporters he made no commitment to Chinese President Xi Jinping on the Taiwan issue during his visit to China and that he will soon decide on a pending $14 billion arms sale to Taiwan. Trump said U.S. policy toward Taiwan remains unchanged and that he has not approved weapons for the island. His comments follow a warning…
Speaking at the Lithuania-Finland Business Forum in Vilnius, Finnish President Alexander Stubb argued the United States will retain its NATO presence because of strategic interests in Europe, pointing to the proximity of Russian nuclear forces. His comments came alongside remarks from Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda and after reports of recent…
Minutes from the Czech National Bank's May policy meeting show unanimous support to keep the two-week repo rate at 3.50% while flagging a willingness to raise rates should the ongoing Middle East conflict drive sustained core inflation or broader second-round effects. Board members differed on the immediacy of a response but repeatedly noted centra…
Revised figures from Italy's national statistics agency ISTAT show consumer prices rose by 1.6% month-on-month in April and 2.8% year-on-year, down from earlier estimates. The main domestic price index and core inflation figures present a mixed picture of slowing underlying price pressures alongside an overall acceleration from March.
Kevin Warsh, newly confirmed as Federal Reserve chair, has advocated reducing the central bank’s market footprint and reverting to more conventional policy tools. Analysts warn that growing federal deficits, a declining convenience yield on U.S. Treasuries and persistent demand for liquidity could restrict how far the Fed can shrink its balance she…
As Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tenure comes to an end on Friday, his eight years at the helm are remembered for emergency rate cuts and bond purchases during the COVID-19 crisis, an unusually rapid tightening to combat post-pandemic inflation, two major shifts in the Fed's policy framework, and a persistent effort to cultivate relations w…
Futures tied to the Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell more than 1% as yields on 10-year Treasuries climbed to 4.54%, the highest level since early June 2025. Investors reacted to mounting signs of economic fallout from the Iran war, while Brent crude neared $109 a barrel amid a closed Strait of Hormuz. The move raised the odds of a Federal Reserve rate incre…
Global markets turned risk-off on Friday after a steep selloff in South Korean shares rippled through technology and semiconductor stocks worldwide. Oil rallied on renewed fears of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz following comments from U.S. President Donald Trump. Bond yields rose broadly as investors digested inflation risks and su…
The unresolved conflict in Iran, which is entering its 12th week, is exerting growing pressure on the global economy through higher oil prices and market volatility. Policymakers and finance chiefs from the G7 will convene with energy security, critical mineral supply chains and recent bond-market turmoil on the agenda. Corporate earnings, led by N…
The Bank of Japan warned that investment funds, while important providers of risk capital, can create pressures for the wider financial system if their activity intensifies. In a speech posted on the BOJ website, executive director Kazushige Kamiyama noted the rising presence of foreign hedge funds and private equity firms in Japan and highlighted …
