Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

359 total articles

Tokyo Leans on Quiet Diplomacy and U.S. Backing to Check Yen Weakness

Tokyo Leans on Quiet Diplomacy and U.S. Backing to Check Yen Weakness

Japan's senior currency officials have adopted a strategy of measured communication and operational discretion, bolstered by unusually visible U.S. cooperation, to blunt the yen's recent depreciation. A restrained public stance by Atsushi Mimura and coordinated rate checks with U.S. authorities have contributed to a roughly seven-yen move lower in …

India Forecasts 6.8%-7.2% Growth for 2026-27 Fiscal Year, Survey Says

India Forecasts 6.8%-7.2% Growth for 2026-27 Fiscal Year, Survey Says

The Indian government’s annual economic survey projects real GDP growth of 6.8% to 7.2% for the fiscal year beginning in April, down from the current fiscal year’s 7.4% estimate. The report, presented in parliament, highlights a broadly stable domestic economy while flagging external risks from slower trading partners and tariff-driven trade disrup…

Gold Demand Reaches Record 5,002 Tons in 2025 as Investors Flock to Safe Havens

Gold Demand Reaches Record 5,002 Tons in 2025 as Investors Flock to Safe Havens

Global demand for gold climbed to an unprecedented 5,002 metric tons in 2025, up 1% from the prior year, the World Gold Council reported. The rise was driven by a sharp increase in investment flows - notably into exchange-traded funds and bars and coins - even as jewellery buying fell sharply amid record price levels. Central bank purchases remain …

AI Build-Outs Drive Historic Capex, Markets Split on Costs vs. Future Gains

AI Build-Outs Drive Historic Capex, Markets Split on Costs vs. Future Gains

Microsoft and Meta reported massive increases in capital expenditures tied to artificial intelligence, prompting sharply different market responses. Microsoft’s near $38 billion quarterly capex and Meta’s raised plan for 2024 drew a $240 billion hit to Microsoft’s market value and a $140 billion gain for Meta. The Federal Reserve kept policy rates …

Trump and Schumer Near Agreement to Avoid Government Shutdown

Trump and Schumer Near Agreement to Avoid Government Shutdown

Senior congressional leaders have moved closer to a deal that could prevent a lapse in U.S. government funding later this week by carving Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding out of a larger six-bill appropriations package. The proposed approach centers on imposing additional constraints on federal immigration agents and would require swif…

Philippine Economy Slows in Q4 as Growth Hits 3%, Below Poll Forecast

Philippine Economy Slows in Q4 as Growth Hits 3%, Below Poll Forecast

The Philippine economy expanded 3% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2025, underperforming a median 4% forecast and slowing from a downwardly revised 3.9% growth in the prior quarter. Full-year GDP rose 4.4%, missing the government’s 5.5% to 6.5% target. A corruption scandal that curbed public infrastructure spending last year contributed to th…

Dollar Volatility Persists as Policy Signals and Geopolitics Cloud Outlook

Dollar Volatility Persists as Policy Signals and Geopolitics Cloud Outlook

The U.S. dollar remained under pressure as market participants digested mixed signals from monetary authorities, Washington and European officials after a steep selloff earlier in the week. Investors interpreted a more sanguine Federal Reserve commentary on labor and inflation risks as suggesting interest rates may stay on hold, while supportive re…

MAS Holds Policy Steady, Flags Upside Risks to Inflation Amid Strong Growth

MAS Holds Policy Steady, Flags Upside Risks to Inflation Amid Strong Growth

The Monetary Authority of Singapore left its exchange rate-based monetary stance unchanged, maintaining the current rate of appreciation and the settings of the policy band. MAS warned that upside risks to growth and inflation persist, noting that sustained stronger-than-expected GDP expansion could lift wages and consumer sentiment and intensify d…

UK housing market shows signs of life after November budget, Zoopla says

UK housing market shows signs of life after November budget, Zoopla says

Zoopla reports that Britain’s housing market has started to pick up since the November budget lull, with early-2026 buyer demand close to early-2024 levels but about 9% lower than early 2025. Mortgage rates for a five-year fix at 75% loan-to-value are at their lowest since 2022, and house prices have risen 1.2% over the past year. Other indicators,…

German Tax Receipts Increased in 2025 but Missed Expert Forecasts

German Tax Receipts Increased in 2025 but Missed Expert Forecasts

Germany’s combined federal and state tax revenues reached 901.8 billion euros in 2025, a 4.7% increase from 2024, but fell short of the council of tax experts’ projection of 903.7 billion euros (a 5.0% rise). December receipts rose 2.0% year-on-year to 115.5 billion euros. The government has lowered growth forecasts for this year and next, citing h…

Brazil’s Central Bank Signals Start of Rate Cuts in March, Keeps Selic at 15%

Brazil’s Central Bank Signals Start of Rate Cuts in March, Keeps Selic at 15%

Brazil's central bank left the Selic rate at 15% and indicated the first reduction in borrowing costs will likely begin at its March policy meeting. Policymakers emphasized a cautious, data-dependent approach to the timing, pace and size of cuts even as inflation cools and activity moderates, with the bank maintaining its inflation projection for t…

Powell Says Risks Have Eased but Challenges Remain as Fed Holds Rates Steady

Powell Says Risks Have Eased but Challenges Remain as Fed Holds Rates Steady

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell used a 45-minute news conference to explain the decision to keep short-term interest rates unchanged, saying upside inflation risks and downside employment risks have diminished but still exist. He described an improved growth outlook supported by consumer spending and AI-related investment, characterized the lab…

Gold Surges Past $5,400 as Investors Flock to Safe Havens Amid Rising Tensions

Gold Surges Past $5,400 as Investors Flock to Safe Havens Amid Rising Tensions

Spot gold climbed above $5,400 an ounce, extending a record-setting rally as investors sought refuge from intensifying geopolitical strains and shifting expectations on U.S. monetary policy. Metals across the board posted gains or held near highs, while traders adjusted bets on the timing of Federal Reserve rate cuts following a decision to keep ra…

Markets Jolt as S&P 500 Tops 7,000 While Fed Signals Elevated Inflation Risk

Markets Jolt as S&P 500 Tops 7,000 While Fed Signals Elevated Inflation Risk

The S&P 500 rose above 7,000 for the first time even as the Federal Reserve held rates steady and cautioned that inflation risks remain elevated. A stronger dollar, volatile FX swings, mixed tech results in after-hours trade and rising Treasury yields all contributed to a jittery trading session. Market participants continue to weigh the odds of fu…

Norway’s Wealth Fund Raises U.S. Treasury Holdings in Second Half of 2025

Norway’s Wealth Fund Raises U.S. Treasury Holdings in Second Half of 2025

Norway’s $2.2 trillion sovereign wealth fund increased its holdings of U.S. Treasuries in the second half of 2025, raising the value to $199 billion, or 9.4% of total assets, as of Dec. 31. The fund’s overall allocation to U.S. assets climbed to 52.9% at year-end, even as some large Northern European investors have signaled wariness about U.S. asse…

Powell Warns U.S. Debt Trajectory Is Unsustainable, Urges Prompt Action

Powell Warns U.S. Debt Trajectory Is Unsustainable, Urges Prompt Action

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday cautioned that while the present level of U.S. federal debt can be sustained, the ongoing trajectory of debt growth is unsustainable and requires timely policy attention. He emphasized concerns about large deficits occurring amid near-full employment and discussed how longer-term interest rates are i…

Powell: Tariffs Driving Goods Inflation as Core PCE Stays Above 2%

Powell: Tariffs Driving Goods Inflation as Core PCE Stays Above 2%

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said December inflation likely remained above the Fed's 2% target, with the core personal consumption expenditures index estimated at 3%. He attributed most of the excess inflation to goods prices affected by tariffs, while services inflation continues to ease. The Fed left its policy rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75…

Jersey Mike’s Subs Moves Toward IPO Backed by Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan

Jersey Mike’s Subs Moves Toward IPO Backed by Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan

Jersey Mike’s Subs is advancing plans for an initial public offering with Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co. advising, aiming for a potential launch as early as the third quarter of 2026. The chain, which operates more than 3,000 restaurants, is reportedly seeking a valuation of at least $12 billion and expects the sale to raise in excess of $…