Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,069 total articles
JPMorgan told clients that the Federal Reserve's decision today is the primary market catalyst during regular trading hours. The bank's economists expect a hold on rates with multiple hawkish dissents and mapped out probabilities for hawkish hold, dovish hold, and rate hikes, estimating corresponding S&P 500 moves and noting options-implied moves a…
SoFi updated its full-year revenue target for 2026 after reporting a robust second quarter marked by record member additions and loan originations. Revenue and net interest income accelerated sharply year-over-year, while management highlighted resilient consumer credit performance amid a challenging macro backdrop.
Single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that multiply daily returns have surged across Asia after debuting in the United States in 2022. Products tied to South Korea’s chip giants - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix - have driven outsized flows that feed back into share prices, magnifying intraday moves and elevating volatility across th…
An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll released on Wednesday places President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a hypothetical second-round contest for October’s presidential election, with Lula at 49.2% and Bolsonaro at 42.9%. In first-round figures, Lula leads at 44.9% versus Bolsonaro’s 35.8%. The survey, conducted July 22-27 …
Stocks flagged by a proprietary AI stock-picker have produced a string of sharp gains in July, with Tenet Healthcare jumping roughly 32% after reporting stronger-than-expected results and guidance. The moves come amid a wide market rotation that has hit tech-heavy indexes while lifting other segments of the market. Investors following the AI-driven…
Federal Reserve officials have reintroduced M2 money supply figures into their public analysis, a move some economists say could aid in spotting longer-run inflation trends. While proponents argue money measures can offer a useful signal alongside other data, skeptics caution the aggregates have been unreliable predictors for decades and that fisca…
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at Wednesday's announcement, but unusually high uncertainty surrounds the decision because Chair Kevin Warsh has adopted a no-guidance stance. With the committee split at the prior meeting and several policymakers signaling concern about inflation, the final outcome may turn o…
Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg told an interview published Wednesday that the U.S. should not ban Chinese artificial intelligence models as a way to gain advantage. He cautioned against 'regulatory capture' by domestic AI firms, recommended systematic work to remove competitive bottlenecks, and suggested peer review or vetting could help if imp…
U.S. equity futures were largely unchanged as markets prepared for a widely watched Federal Reserve policy decision and quarterly results from major AI investors Meta Platforms and Microsoft. Semiconductor stocks continued to slump, pressured by reports of intensifying Chinese competition and corporate capex dynamics. Rising geopolitical tensions i…
South Korea’s KOSPI tumbled sharply for a second consecutive day, recording one of the largest two-day routs in recent history as thin volumes and heavily leveraged retail positions accelerated selling. Declines in heavyweight chip stocks, including SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, drove the drop even after strong earnings from SK Hynix, while aut…
A rising number of young renters in Chinese cities are sharing bedrooms - and in some cases the same bed - to reduce housing costs as stagnant pay and job insecurity bite. Social media conversation has amplified the trend, which reflects broader strains on household finances and could weigh on consumption and property demand if it spreads.
Global equity markets faced renewed turbulence as a sharp downturn in chip stocks intensified investor anxiety about the sustainability of AI-related demand. Even a blockbuster profit print from SK Hynix failed to reassure markets after the company missed analyst forecasts despite reporting operating profit that surged more than sixfold (557%). The…
Hong Kong private home prices climbed for the thirteenth consecutive month in June, with a moderated 0.3 percent monthly increase following a revised 1.5 percent surge in May. Over the first half of the year, values have advanced 7.9 percent, reaching levels not seen since September 2023. While the sector benefits from easing oversupply, resilient …
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has communicated her administration's commitment to lowering the national sales tax on grocery items from eight percent to one percent for a twenty-four-month period starting next April. The policy serves as an immediate intervention to cushion rising living costs for low and middle-income households ahead of …
U.S. President Donald Trump has publicly stated a lack of interest in updating the six-year U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, framing the trade bloc as unnecessary for American economic independence. Simultaneously, Canada is deploying senior trade diplomats to Washington to navigate a rapidly shifting landscape of reciprocal tariffs, automotive supply…
US Treasury yields fell on Tuesday as crude prices declined amid indications of reduced hostilities between the US and Iran. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.602% after touching a one-week low, while US and Brent crude retreated sharply from recent highs. Diplomatic activity involving Oman and comments from President Donald Trump were cited …
Iran has presented Oman with a temporary arrangement intended to reopen the Strait of Hormuz that would route part of vessel traffic through waters under Iranian control. Under the proposal, traffic in one direction would transit Iranian waters while portions of the opposite lane would also pass through areas Tehran controls. Iranian officials reje…
Koch Inc. has engaged Goldman Sachs to gauge interest in a potential sale of Edged, the data center company it cofounded, in a transaction that market reports say could exceed $15 billion. The firm operates seven facilities, including a 169-megawatt site in Atlanta, and has further projects under development. Discussions and bid reviews are ongoing…
Gaztransport & Technigaz (GTT) has raised its forecast for gas containment system design orders for LNG carriers to roughly 550 vessels for the 2026-2035 period, up from a previous estimate of more than 450. The company attributes the revision to faster investment in liquefaction capacity - notably in the US - and reported fresh orders and a larger…
The Bank for International Settlements says the current surge in artificial intelligence investment is creating simultaneous demand and supply impulses that make it harder for central banks to interpret cyclical signals and set monetary policy. Short-term boosts to activity, trade and equity valuations from AI spending - much of it debt financed - …
Pentair reported a 17% decline in second-quarter sales to $933 million, citing approximately $170 million of inventory destocking in the U.S. pool channel as the primary headwind. The company also announced a $1.40 billion agreement to acquire Taco Group Holdings, which will join Pentair's Water Solutions segment upon closing. Pentair reaffirmed fu…
A former Citigroup managing director, Edward Gene Smith, 50, was sentenced on Tuesday to 30 years in federal prison after admitting to a series of crimes that prosecutors say spanned nearly a decade. Smith pleaded guilty to charges including sex trafficking, possession of child pornography and drug offenses, and acknowledged intentionally drugging …
As the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its interest rate decision in just over 24 hours, market participants are increasingly assigning nontrivial odds to a surprise 25-basis-point hike. Citadel Securities, Renaissance Macro Research and other strategists argue a move would signal the new chair's resolve, while others caution about the risks o…
Eurozone government bond yields were unchanged on Tuesday following two sessions of declines that tracked lower oil prices. Investors entered the week focused on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve meeting while energy-market developments and U.S.-Iran diplomacy continued to influence inflation risk perceptions.
A bipartisan group of U.S. senators reached an agreement to move legislation that expands penalties on Iran and targets Russian energy exports. The bill, which has presidential backing, would let the president impose steep tariffs on leading buyers of Russian crude and natural gas and on countries deemed to be aiding sanctions evasion. A procedural…
