Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
5,120 total articles
A Federal Reserve Bank of Boston study argues that structural changes in U.S. energy use and production mean the Federal Reserve can concentrate monetary policy on inflationary pressures stemming from the Middle East oil price shock rather than on employment impacts. The paper finds oil shocks now have a more muted effect on overall employment and …
Partners Group reported increased withdrawal requests across several funds, including a Delaware-based vehicle where repurchase requests exceeded the quarterly 5% limit. Blackstone capped redemptions at its flagship private credit fund after a jump in redemption demands. The moves highlight mounting liquidity pressure in evergreen private credit st…
The Canadian government announced a comprehensive artificial intelligence strategy called AI for All that targets $200 billion in economic growth and pairs direct funding with equity investments in AI startups over the next five years. The plan sets adoption, jobs and training targets, includes a public AI supercomputer and sovereign compute invest…
The New York Federal Reserve's Global Supply Chain Pressure Index fell slightly in May to 1.77 from 1.82 in April, but remains at levels comparable to the latter part of 2022. The Fed bank ties ongoing supply disruptions to the U.S.-backed war with Iran and the effective shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, which has constrained flows of oil and other…
The International Monetary Fund is holding discussions with Venezuelan authorities about launching an Article IV consultation, IMF communications director Julie Kozack said at a Washington press briefing. The fund has not carried out its regular annual review of Venezuela's economy since 2004. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva recently met…
The federal government unveiled a national artificial intelligence strategy designed to add 250,000 jobs by 2031 and lift GDP through wider AI adoption. The plan includes a C$500 million Canadian Tech Growth Fund, C$500 million in Business Development Bank of Canada support for SMEs, and C$50 million for AI risk monitoring, alongside proposed consu…
The International Monetary Fund recommended a cautious approach to U.S. interest-rate policy ahead of the Federal Reserve’s first policy meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh, saying persistent upside inflation risks from energy price shocks and growing pass-through of higher tariff costs have prompted a further delay in its forecast for inflation to retu…
The Bipartisan Policy Center projects the U.S. Treasury could need to employ extraordinary accounting steps as early as next year to prevent a default. The report estimates the statutory debt limit will be reached between late winter and mid-summer of 2027, after which the Treasury may have an additional six to nine months of flexibility before a d…
Senate Republicans will confront the disposition of President Trump’s sidelined $1.8 billion 'anti-weaponization' fund during a prolonged voting session that precedes a decision on a $70 billion bill to finance U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Border Patrol. Democrats plan an amendment to eliminate the fund, while some Republicans are p…
June 4 (Reuters) - John Bolton, a former U.S. national security adviser and vocal critic of President Donald Trump, is reported to be preparing to plead guilty to a charge related to the retention of sensitive national security documents and to pay a fine exceeding $2 million. Court filings indicate a scheduled appearance on June 26 to enter a new …
The European Union has reiterated that a prospective trade agreement with the United States must conform to the Turnberry parameters, which set a 15% all-inclusive tariff ceiling, EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said after an OECD ministerial meeting. His remarks come amid a U.S. proposal to levy tariffs of up to 12.5% on imports from 60 count…
The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday unanimously backed the Securities and Exchange Commission’s ability to recover illegal profits through disgorgement, sustaining a lower-court ruling in a case brought by defendant Ongkaruck Sripetch. The decision leaves intact long-standing judicial and statutory foundations for disgorgement and resolves a central…
The International Atomic Energy Agency has told member states that Iran must promptly provide information on its enriched uranium following military strikes on its nuclear sites in June 2025. A confidential IAEA report says the agency has not received required information, has been denied access to most facilities except Bushehr, and cannot verify …
Mexico's finance minister signaled that the country's economy could surpass the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's (OECD) most recent growth forecast, citing an upcoming public investment programme focused on infrastructure and government steps to control inflation. The OECD projects 0.8% growth for 2026 and 1.8% for 2027, whi…
Wolfe Research strategist Tobin Marcus says the effective U.S. tariff burden on imports has eased sharply this year, providing an under-the-radar boost to growth alongside AI-driven capital spending and consumer tax cuts. Marcus cautions, however, that a recent administration proposal to restore permanent tariffs under Section 301 - including a rat…
Options activity this week shows sizable bets that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield will rise into the mid-4% range by late July. Two large August put purchases target levels consistent with yields near 4.65% and 4.7%, with one trade showing a substantial increase in open interest that market participants interpret as newly established risk.
Discovery Global Holdings, a unit of Warner Bros. Discovery, arranged new seven-year term loans totaling $13 billion and 1.72 billion, and used the proceeds together with existing cash to fully retire a $15 billion non-investment grade leveraged bridge loan dated June 26, 2025. The dollar loans carry a choice of Term SOFR plus 2.50% or base rate p…
The Czech National Bank increased the countercyclical capital buffer by 25 basis points to 1.5%, effective July 1, 2027, pointing to sustained growth in lending, higher household and corporate indebtedness, and rising apartment prices as reasons for the change. Mortgage lending rules and the systemic risk buffer remain unchanged.
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has revoked federal certification for Hawaii's Medicaid Fraud Control Unit, cutting about $3 million in annual funding after the unit failed to secure criminal indictments or convictions between 2022 and 2025. The decision, communicated by HHS Inspector General March Bell, raises the prospect of broa…
The Kenya Bankers Association is urging the central bank to raise interest rates at its upcoming policy meeting to rein in accelerating inflation. KBA’s center for research highlighted that higher global oil prices have pushed headline inflation to 6.7% in May from 5.6% in April, placing it close to the central bank’s 2.5% to 7.5% target range ceil…
Morgan Stanley has indicated Zambia could raise its buyback offer for the 2053 bond to 85 cents on the dollar from an initial 78 cents, a move that might bring acceptances close to the 75% needed for a clean-up call. Analysts caution that an ad hoc group holding more than a quarter of the issue has opposed the original offer and may still consider …
A poll of foreign exchange analysts conducted May 29 to June 3 shows the Canadian dollar is expected to strengthen modestly against the U.S. dollar over the next year if Canada's economy stabilizes and there is headway in the review of the continental trade pact. Short-term gains hinge on resolution of trade uncertainties and an improvement in dome…
Overseas buyers have tilted toward Indian government paper maturing in under five years, seizing relative value as markets increasingly price a tightening cycle. Shorter-end yields spiked on inflation worries tied to the Iran war and energy, prompting a rotation that left long-end yields more exposed to future repricing.
An Istanbul court has handed Fenerbahce chairman Sadettin Saran a prison term of two years and six months after finding him guilty of encouraging illegal betting, a decision announced shortly before the club's scheduled congress to elect a new leader. The court also convicted his brother, Kenan Saran, on the same charge. Sadettin Saran has denied w…
The European Commission has postponed the full application of a revamped market risk capital regime for banks by three years. The delay, tied to the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) and Basel III standards, is intended to wait for clarity on how the United States and Britain will adopt equivalent international rules and to preserve a l…
