Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

7,098 total articles

Bank of Canada Poised to Keep Policy Rate Steady as Inflation and Growth Diverge

Bank of Canada Poised to Keep Policy Rate Steady as Inflation and Growth Diverge

The Bank of Canada is expected to leave its policy rate unchanged as a recent rise in headline inflation—primarily tied to gasoline—has eased and economic output shows a mixed pattern, including a technical recession at the end of March followed by a strong rebound in April. Most forecasters and markets see little appetite for an immediate move in …

Cosmo Oil-Bound Tanker From Mexico Scheduled to Reach Japan by Friday

Cosmo Oil-Bound Tanker From Mexico Scheduled to Reach Japan by Friday

A tanker transporting Mexican crude for Cosmo Oil, a Cosmo Energy unit, is slated to reach Japan as soon as Friday, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said. The shipment, routed from the Gulf of Mexico via the Cape of Good Hope, will call at the Yokkaichi refinery in central Japan before going on to the Chiba refinery near Tokyo. It is the…

India-UK trade deal comes into force, cutting tariffs and widening services access

India-UK trade deal comes into force, cutting tariffs and widening services access

The India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement took effect on July 15, creating tariff reductions and expanded services market access on both sides. Indian exporters gain immediate duty-free entry to most British tariff lines, aiding labour-intensive industries, while the UK secures phased concessions in areas such as automobiles and broad…

ASML Faces High Bar After AI-Driven Market Shakeup

ASML Faces High Bar After AI-Driven Market Shakeup

ASML, the sole producer of EUV lithography machines, is due to publish second-quarter results with analysts forecasting modest profit and revenue gains. The stock faces elevated expectations after a sharp market reaction to IBM’s earnings highlighted how AI-related shifts in corporate spending can rapidly re-order winners and losers. Broader market…

International Capital Flows Accelerate Into U.S. Securities in May

International Capital Flows Accelerate Into U.S. Securities in May

Overseas investors significantly increased their net acquisition of U.S. financial assets in May, recording a $132 billion inflow according to the Treasury Department's latest capital report. This momentum extends a robust twelve-month trend that has now accumulated $1.33 trillion in long-term foreign purchases. The data reveals a deliberate reallo…

Argentina's Inflation Momentum Slows as June CPI Rises 1.9%

Argentina's Inflation Momentum Slows as June CPI Rises 1.9%

Argentina's consumer prices rose 1.9% in June, the national statistics agency INDEC reported, continuing a three-month trend of decelerating monthly inflation. The 12-month inflation rate climbed to 33.5% through June, slightly below analyst forecasts, while some categories such as recreation and housing saw larger price gains and communications an…

Treasury Yields Slide After June CPI Cools More Than Forecast

Treasury Yields Slide After June CPI Cools More Than Forecast

U.S. Treasury yields declined after government data showed consumer inflation cooled in June by more than economists had expected. The Consumer Price Index rose 3.5% year-over-year, below May's 4.2% and analysts' forecasts, while monthly CPI fell 0.4%. The 10-year Treasury yield posted its largest single-day fall since June 24, and markets trimmed …

U.S. Advances Discussions on Iraq-Syria Oil Link to Circumvent Strait of Hormuz

U.S. Advances Discussions on Iraq-Syria Oil Link to Circumvent Strait of Hormuz

U.S. envoys are coordinating discussions with Iraqi and Syrian officials and energy firms about reviving a pipeline that would carry oil from Iraq to Syria's western coast, creating an export corridor that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz and could reduce Iran's influence over seaborne energy flows. The talks include proposals to rebuild the Kirkuk to…

FDA opens traceback probes into produce amid cyclosporiasis cases

FDA opens traceback probes into produce amid cyclosporiasis cases

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has begun traceback investigations of several produce items as authorities work to pinpoint the source of a cyclosporiasis outbreak, while the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reviews thousands of additional possible cases and tightens clinical guidance and public reporting cadence.

Iraq Seeks a Larger OPEC Allocation While Pressing U.S. for Energy Investment

Iraq Seeks a Larger OPEC Allocation While Pressing U.S. for Energy Investment

Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi said he expects Iraq to receive a fair share within OPEC as he held bilateral talks at the White House with U.S. President Donald Trump. The trip to Washington aims to secure substantial U.S. investment in Iraq's oil, gas and power sectors after war-related damage that weakened crude output and state finances. Al-Z…

Warsh Stresses Equal Commitment to Inflation and Employment Mandates

Warsh Stresses Equal Commitment to Inflation and Employment Mandates

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh told the House Financial Services Committee that he is equally committed to the central bank's employment mandate as he is to its inflation mandate, emphasizing that the two goals are not mutually exclusive. When asked about targeted steps to narrow Black-white unemployment disparities, Warsh said the United Sta…

Warsh Pledges Advance Notice and Public Debate for Any Fed Balance Sheet Changes

Warsh Pledges Advance Notice and Public Debate for Any Fed Balance Sheet Changes

Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh told the U.S. House Financial Services Committee that any adjustments to the Fed's balance sheet policy will be publicly previewed, explained and debated. He emphasized that markets and congressional overseers would receive ample advance notice, reiterated that his views on the balance sheet are well known, and …

Wall Street banks post strong Q2 profits as dealmaking and trading surge

Wall Street banks post strong Q2 profits as dealmaking and trading surge

Major U.S. banks reported robust second-quarter earnings driven by booming investment banking fees and heightened trading revenue. Large IPOs and megadeals — including roles in a roughly $86 billion initial public offering — helped push investment banking revenue to its highest levels since 2021. Executives cautioned that geopolitical tensions, lof…

Traders Shift Odds Toward No July Fed Rate Hike After Cooler June Inflation

Traders Shift Odds Toward No July Fed Rate Hike After Cooler June Inflation

Recent U.S. inflation data for June showed a slower rise in consumer prices than in May, prompting traders to scale back expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase at its late-July meeting. Core inflation held steady month-to-month, while oil market tensions and comments from Fed officials continue to shape expectations for policy decisions la…

EASA renews and tightens advisory, tells carriers to steer clear of Gulf airspace

EASA renews and tightens advisory, tells carriers to steer clear of Gulf airspace

The European Union Aviation Safety Agency has reinstated and reinforced guidance urging airlines to avoid the airspace of Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and the area over the Gulf of Oman, citing elevated risk as tensions between the United States and Iran escalate. The advisory, effective until July 29, follows recent missile exc…

U.S. Consumer Inflation Eases More Than Forecast in June, but Uncertainty Remains

U.S. Consumer Inflation Eases More Than Forecast in June, but Uncertainty Remains

U.S. consumer inflation moderated in June, with the Consumer Price Index rising 3.5% year-on-year and falling 0.4% on the month. The decline was driven mainly by lower gasoline prices amid a brief ceasefire in the Middle East that later collapsed. Core CPI eased to 2.6% year-on-year and was unchanged month-to-month. The data is unlikely to eliminat…