Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,088 total articles
President Donald Trump told reporters that he expects the military confrontation with Iran to conclude soon but indicated it is unlikely to end this week. He said the U.S. will lift certain oil-related sanctions temporarily to help stabilize supplies and reduce prices, while offering few specifics on which measures will be relaxed.
A federal jury in Manhattan found brothers Oren, Tal and Alon Alexander guilty on charges tied to an indictment alleging they lured women and girls to exclusive gatherings where they were allegedly drugged and sexually assaulted. The three had pleaded not guilty and were detained in Brooklyn since their December 2024 arrest. The trial included test…
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell placed 13 brief phone calls with U.S. lawmakers in the week following his January 11 disclosure that the Department of Justice had opened an investigation into his congressional comments. The calendar entries, each recording 10 or 15 minute conversations, occurred in the days after Powell said in a rare Sunday ev…
Global equity markets opened under heavy selling pressure as the conflict with Iran entered a second week and crude surged, at one point climbing as much as 30% above $100 a barrel. Asian and European bourses fell sharply, but major U.S. indexes reversed early losses to finish higher after remarks from President Donald Trump signaled the war may be…
U.S. crude has surged roughly 50% to top $100 a barrel in the wake of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, provoking a sharp uptick in market volatility and prompting investors to reassess risks to corporate margins, consumer spending and Federal Reserve policy. The jump has driven gasoline prices higher, weighed on consumer-facing stocks and tightened th…
Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that oil production dependent on shipments through the Strait of Hormuz may cease entirely within a month, as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has disrupted a vital transit corridor and sent oil prices above $100 per barrel. Putin said storage in the region is filling with oil that cannot be moved or is costly to…
Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is expected to leave his cabinet post by the end of next week to launch a campaign for governor of São Paulo, four sources said. The move, reportedly encouraged by President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, comes as polls show a close national race and ahead of a Datafolha survey in São Paulo that places Haddad …
As The Wealth of Nations marks its 250th birthday, the arguments of Adam Smith retain striking relevance to current debates over tariffs, monopoly power and wealth distribution. The book pairs robust support for trade and market mechanisms with explicit concerns about concentrated wealth and the capture of public policy by powerful interests. Schol…
A sharp jump in oil and energy prices has revived investor concern that a prolonged Middle East conflict could trigger stagflation similar to the 1970s. The move higher in Brent crude and European gas is complicating policy choices for central banks, pressuring bond markets and reshaping safe-haven flows, with Europe and the UK appearing particular…
HSBC said it remains confident in the economic prospects of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries despite recent disruptions tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. CEO Georges Elhedery reiterated the bank's faith in the GCC's fundamentals and expressed expectation for renewed stability and growth in the years ahead, even as Iranian drones and bal…
A federal alert circulated to U.S. law enforcement agencies identifies encrypted radio transmissions believed to have come from Iran and relayed across several countries shortly after the reported killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The communications appear encoded for recipients holding a specific decryption key and could be intended to instruct o…
Anthropic has sued to block the U.S. Department of Defense from labeling the company a national security supply-chain risk. The AI developer argues the designation is unlawful, infringes constitutional protections, and seeks a court order to vacate the classification and prevent federal enforcement.
President Trump told the New York Post he has not decided to dispatch U.S. forces to Iran’s Isfahan nuclear enrichment site, saying no choice has been made and the option is not imminent. The remarks come after reporting that U.S. and Israeli officials have discussed special operations to secure Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Official…
Anthropic filed suit in federal court seeking to block the Pentagon from placing it on a national security supply-chain risk list. The company argues the designation is unlawful and infringes its free speech and due process rights after refusing to remove guardrails that would permit use of its models for autonomous weapons and domestic surveillanc…
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's February Survey of Consumer Expectations found that Americans' inflation expectations one year ahead edged down to 3% from 3.1% in January, while three- and five-year expectations remained at 3%. The survey, conducted February 2-28, does not capture the public's response to recent surges in oil prices tied to …
MSC announced emergency fuel surcharges on March 9 covering cargoes departing the Western Mediterranean, Adriatic, Eastern Mediterranean, Greece and Turkey bound for the Red Sea, East Africa and the Indian sub-continent. The levies, billed per twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU), take effect March 16 and run through March 31, with higher fees for ref…
The escalation of hostilities in the Middle East has upended several of 2026’s most widely held market convictions. Investors have rotated into perceived safe havens such as the U.S. dollar, while non-U.S. equities and emerging market assets have come under pressure. Heightened energy price risk has reduced the likelihood of near-term rate cuts by …
Mexico's year-on-year consumer inflation accelerated to 4.02% in February, above economist expectations and slightly beyond the central bank's target band. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, held at 4.5% while monthly price gains exceeded forecasts, underscoring ongoing inflationary pressure that Banxico monitors cl…
NATO forces intercepted a ballistic missile fired from Iran toward Turkish territory on Monday, the Defense Ministry said. The intercepted munition produced debris that landed in Gaziantep province, located within several hundred kilometers of major NATO and U.S. facilities in Turkey. The action follows a similar interception on March 4, after whic…
UBS warns that a sharp jump in energy costs following the Iran war has created simultaneous upward pressure on inflation and a drag on growth, complicating the European Central Bank's policy path. Markets have repriced expectations toward cumulative rate increases by December 2026, and UBS expects the ECB to present multiple scenarios at its March …
Markets have sharply repriced expectations for central bank policy after the Iran war elevated oil prices and the risk of sustained supply disruption. Investors now see the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank and Sweden's Riksbank moving to raise rates this year, with the Bank of England pushed back into the tightening conversation for 2…
Barclays analyst Jonathan Miller says recent U.S. data has reduced uncertainty around growth and the labour market, but rising oil prices represent the principal upside risk to inflation. The bank retains forecasts for two 25 basis-point rate cuts in June and December, while raising its December 2026 CPI projection following recent energy market mo…
A federal judge has determined that Kari Lake was not lawfully serving as acting CEO of the U.S. Agency for Global Media during much of 2025, voiding a set of decisions she made to reduce staff and curtail Voice of America operations. The ruling, delivered March 7, favors VOA journalists and a federal employees union and could upend cuts that remai…
Rising hostilities between the U.S. and Iran have pushed Brent crude past $100 per barrel and raised concerns about renewed inflationary pressures. Investors will parse key U.S. inflation measures this week while the Federal Reserve enters a pre-decision blackout period. Corporate earnings from Oracle and Adobe add further focus, with AI-related sp…
Minutes from a recent roundtable show the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions warned major banks that the common use of blanket appraisals for condominium mortgages - which lock in values at purchase agreement rather than at closing - can lead to uninsured loans exceeding the 80% loan-to-value threshold under the Bank Act in a fa…
