Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,072 total articles
As the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its interest rate decision in just over 24 hours, market participants are increasingly assigning nontrivial odds to a surprise 25-basis-point hike. Citadel Securities, Renaissance Macro Research and other strategists argue a move would signal the new chair's resolve, while others caution about the risks o…
Eurozone government bond yields were unchanged on Tuesday following two sessions of declines that tracked lower oil prices. Investors entered the week focused on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve meeting while energy-market developments and U.S.-Iran diplomacy continued to influence inflation risk perceptions.
A bipartisan group of U.S. senators reached an agreement to move legislation that expands penalties on Iran and targets Russian energy exports. The bill, which has presidential backing, would let the president impose steep tariffs on leading buyers of Russian crude and natural gas and on countries deemed to be aiding sanctions evasion. A procedural…
Several market signals are edging toward troubling territory as investors contend with high oil prices, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a cooling of the AI-led equity rally. Although a lull in Gulf attacks has eased immediate pressure and oil has pulled back from the $100 benchmark, prices remain high enough to threaten renewed inflati…
Brazil's IPCA-15 consumer price gauge rose 0.06% in the month to mid-July, well below economist expectations, bringing the 12-month inflation rate down to 4.52%. The moderation, driven by lower food and beverage prices but offset by higher housing costs from a rise in electricity bills, arrives ahead of the central bank's August policy meeting.
Nearly 500 economists surveyed in a Reuters poll between June 29 and July 27 lifted inflation forecasts across a large share of the world’s major economies and trimmed growth expectations for many, citing the sustained impact of the Middle East war and higher oil prices. The survey points to a harder task ahead for central banks already struggling …
Bank of America expects the Federal Reserve to keep policy rates unchanged at its July meeting, warning that a surprise uptick would violate long-standing market norms. Analyst Mark Cabana identified a hold as the base case with two dissents, and the bank points to futures pricing, oil-driven inflation risk, and the statistical record since 1994 to…
A magnitude 7.1 earthquake with maximum intensity of 7 on Japan's scale struck Kumamoto Prefecture on Tuesday. By 6:00 p.m. local time authorities reported highway damage and closures. Analysts and past company disclosures from a similar 2016 event provide context on potential production interruptions and recovery timelines.
India's industrial production accelerated to a 7.3% year-on-year increase in June, driven primarily by stronger manufacturing activity and higher electricity generation. The monthly figures included a methodological switch in the calculation of factory output and showed a notable acceleration in quarterly industrial growth for April-June.
Major online sports wagering companies have contributed at least $72 million to U.S. midterm election activity so far, channelling funds primarily through a new super PAC, Win for America. The spending aims to influence state and federal races that could determine the regulatory and tax environment for online gambling, while new entrants in predict…
With the Federal Reserve set to conclude a two-day policy meeting this week, bond investors are taking a cautious stance. Most expect the Fed to maintain the federal funds rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range, but rising energy costs and lingering inflation ambiguity have reduced conviction. Managers are prioritizing liquidity, short- to intermediate-dura…
The Federal Reserve meets July 28-29 with markets pricing in a meaningful chance of a rate hike, but several factors - softer inflation readings, a temporary lull in U.S.-Iran hostilities and the precedent that the Fed rarely raises only once after an extended pause - make a single, isolated increase a high bar. Data showing consumer price gains sl…
Italy will apply to draw €14.9 billion ($16.94 billion) from the European Union's Security Action for Europe (SAFE) instrument by year-end to finance defence spending, Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani told parliament. The move follows a period of fiscal strain tied to rising energy prices and comes after Rome obtained partial use of the EU's nationa…
QatarEnergy has told Edison it cannot supply three additional liquefied natural gas cargoes, extending a force majeure declaration through the end of September. Edison reports it has replaced the majority of affected deliveries and says it can meet customer needs and contractual obligations, while the disruption has already weighed on the company's…
The Bundesbank said on Tuesday that Germany's economy likely saw a small expansion in the second quarter. Strong industrial activity and resilient consumer outlays appear to have counterbalanced the negative effects of higher energy and commodity prices stemming from the Middle East war. Economists polled by Reuters expect a 0.1% quarter-on-quarter…
Germany's economy likely recorded modest growth in the second quarter as a durable industrial sector and steady consumer spending helped counter the negative impact of higher energy and commodity costs linked to the war in the Middle East. The Bundesbank cautioned that temporary factors which supported activity may fade and that the conflict will r…
U.S. President Donald Trump will receive Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House on Wednesday as both leaders confront a pivotal moment in the six-month-old campaign against Iran. The visit comes amid tensions between the two men, efforts to restart diplomacy with Tehran, and broader regional risks that have weighed on oil mark…
Nasdaq futures declined as investors expressed caution about AI-related capital spending and competitive pressure from China, hitting chip stocks and related ETFs. Attention now turns to upcoming earnings from major technology companies and a Federal Reserve decision that could shape borrowing-cost expectations.
South Korea is evaluating a proposed $19.8 billion investment to build a 6.3 gigawatt liquefied natural gas (LNG) combined-cycle power plant in Encinal, Texas. Government sources say the project is in late-stage consultations with U.S. authorities and may be reviewed soon by a Korea-U.S. strategic committee before formal notification to the U.S. in…
China’s regional statistics for the first half of 2026 reveal a widening split in economic performance: provinces concentrated in semiconductors, electric vehicles, robotics and AI-related manufacturing posted stronger expansions while areas dependent on property and older industries lagged. National GDP growth slowed to 4.7% in the first half, wit…
U.S. equity futures showed mixed movement as markets prepared for a heavy schedule of technology-sector earnings that could influence perceptions of the ongoing artificial intelligence investment cycle. The Federal Reserve begins a two-day policy meeting amid uncertain inflation signals partly tied to war-linked energy disruptions. Separately, Pres…
Australia’s housing market has entered its steepest slowdown since the pandemic as higher interest rates and the reversal of investor tax incentives have reduced buyer demand and chilled sentiment. Price declines in Sydney and Melbourne, plunging loan enquiries and weaker auction outcomes are translating into lower volumes for trades, removals and …
Chip and semiconductor-related stocks plunged across Asian markets, driven by reports that raised questions about the funding model for AI infrastructure and signs of accelerating Chinese competition in advanced chipmaking equipment. South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 10% and triggered a circuit breaker, and Japan's Nikkei slid 4.4%. Nvidia dropped af…
A July poll of 42 economists found India’s GDP growth is set to decelerate to 6.6% in the fiscal year ending March 2027 from last year’s 7.7%, before nudging up to 6.8% in FY2027/28. The slowdown is attributed to fragile private investment and a rise in oil prices following the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, which together threaten domestic demand, infl…
A poll of analysts indicates Mexico's economy likely returned to growth in the second quarter, with industrial activity cited as the main driver. The median forecast points to a 1.3% seasonally adjusted expansion between April and June, reversing a 0.6% contraction in the prior quarter. Annual growth for the period is estimated at 1.5%. Official pr…
