Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, under Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has opened a nomination window for clinicians and researchers to join the Preventive Services Task Force. The panel, which normally comprises 16 members, has not met in over a year, with three consecutive meetings canceled and five members’ terms expiring in De…
The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has downgraded its UK growth forecasts for 2024 and 2027, citing a surge in oil and gas prices linked to the Iran war. NIESR now expects inflation to accelerate into early 2027 before returning to the Bank of England's 2% target only in 2028, and warns of a heightened recession risk in an adver…
Bank of Mexico Governor Victoria Rodriguez told a Senate committee that inflation is expected to resume a gradual decline toward the bank's 3.0% target, even after a recent rise in some fruit and vegetable prices. The central bank's board, she said, is close to concluding a rate-cutting cycle that began in early 2024 and may consider one final 25 b…
U.S. technology shares fell sharply on Tuesday as investors reassessed lofty growth expectations ahead of a raft of major earnings reports. Rising oil prices and climbing global yields heightened concerns about central banks' ability to steer a worsening mix of growth and inflation. Separately, a column examined outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell's r…
The U.S. Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control designated 35 individuals and entities today as part of a campaign against Iran's shadow banking architecture. The move singles out rahbar companies that operate layers of overseas shell firms and overseas bank accounts to move tens of billions of dollars tied to sanctions evasion, illicit oil sa…
President Donald Trump publicly condemned German Chancellor Friedrich Merz for comments he said implied acceptability of an Iranian nuclear arsenal. Trump used social media to warn that a nuclear-armed Iran would hold the world hostage and to criticize Germany's economic performance. Merz had accused Iran of humiliating U.S. officials and questione…
Rising crude oil prices have pushed soybean oil to multi-year highs, driving North American soy crushing margins to levels not seen since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The strength is supporting profits at major oilseed processors such as Bunge Global and Archer Daniels Midland, offsetting some energy and trade pressures and encouraging analys…
The U.S. Treasury sold seven-year notes at a 4.175% yield, a hair above the when-issued yield of 4.170%. The sale posted a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.51 — equal to the one-year average but the lowest such result this year — and saw indirect bidders take 58.4% of the allotment while dealers and direct bidders comprised the balance. The sector did not c…
The U.S. Department of Justice has returned with a second indictment against former FBI Director James Comey, according to a person familiar with the matter. Key elements of the case - including the specific charges and where the indictment will be filed - have not been disclosed. Media reports have suggested a connection to a social media post Com…
Enterprise Products Partners Chief Executive Jim Teague told investors on an earnings call that markets are underplaying the potential global supply impact if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, estimating 12 million to 15 million barrels per day of crude, refined products, propane and petrochemical supplies could be constrained. The company also …
Kenyan runner Sabastian Sawe ran the marathon in 1:59:30 in London wearing Adidas’ new Adizero Adios Pro Evo 3. The victory and sub-two performance were driven by a collection of design changes: a 97 gram racing shoe, an outsole developed with Continental, a kite-surfing inspired upper, a foam reduced by 50% and shortened laces. Adidas plans limite…
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is preparing a program to renegotiate more than 100 billion reais ($20 billion) in household debt, offering discounts of up to 90% and refinancing the remainder with lower rates backed by the FGO. The initiative, which may also lean on FGTS resources, targets lower-income workers and comes as household debt climb…
Shell Plc Chief Executive Wael Sawan warned that disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz blockade have removed roughly 900 million barrels of oil production in recent months, a shortfall that has been met by stock drawdowns and risks keeping markets tight for months and possibly into next year. He said the disruption affects both crude and liquefi…
The U.S. Department of Commerce last week informed multiple chip equipment suppliers they must stop specified shipments to China’s second-largest chipmaker, Hua Hong, and its contract unit Huali Microelectronics. The letters, delivered to a handful of companies, target tools and materials U.S. officials say could enable production of China’s most s…
The Justice Department asked a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit brought by the National Trust for Historic Preservation that has challenged construction of a planned White House ballroom. In a nine-page filing, department officials argued a foiled incident at a recent Washington dinner demonstrated the ballroom's national security purpose, and cr…
U.S. Ambassador to Croatia Nicole McGraw and Croatia's finance minister signed a protocol amending the 2022 income tax treaty between the United States and Croatia on the sidelines of the Three Seas Initiative Summit in Dubrovnik. The protocol makes three specific changes to the original treaty, will be transmitted with the treaty to the U.S. Senat…
Winemakers in Chile's Maule Valley are responding to a global drop in wine consumption by courting younger consumers through experiential vineyard visits, sustainable farming and targeted social campaigns. Industry figures say the decline in sales reflects a generational shift in drinking habits, with promoters and producers betting that deeper eng…
The World Bank has warned Uganda's government that a bill introduced in mid-April requiring recipients of overseas funds to register as 'foreign agents' and disclose all inflows could subject the bank's routine programming to criminal liability. The institution cautioned that the draft law - which bars foreign agents from opposing government policy…
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said he is not worried about inflation or the U.S. economy, but warned that stagflation remains a plausible worst-case scenario. He highlighted several inflationary pressures - including the Iran war, global re-militarization, infrastructure demands and fiscal deficits - and reiterated earlier concerns that conflict i…
A nine-week conflict in the Middle East has produced a stark split in U.S. bond markets: corporate credit spreads have tightened as if the geopolitical shock were negligible, while Treasury investors remain wary of higher inflation tied to oil prices, complicating the Federal Reserve's policy calculus ahead of its policy decision.
Poland's Ministry of Finance projects real GDP to expand by 3.6% in 2026 under its baseline scenario. The government adopted draft projections for 2026-2030 showing a narrowed general government deficit of 6.8% of GDP, while public debt-to-GDP is forecast to rise to 65.1% this year from 59.7% in 2025. The ministry identified the war in the Middle E…
Mediators based in Pakistan expect Iran to deliver an updated proposal in the coming days aimed at ending the war, after U.S. President Donald Trump rejected an earlier draft. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi has returned to Tehran to consult with regime leaders, but progress is slowed by difficulties communicating with Supreme Leader Mojtaba…
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright told reporters in Dubrovnik that not every mine Iran reportedly laid in the Strait of Hormuz must be removed for commercial vessels to resume transit. He said creating a navigable pathway into and out of the strait could be achieved quickly, even as U.S. defense officials estimate that a full clearance could take …
Romania’s minority prime minister Ilie Bolojan is due to confront a no-confidence vote on May 5 after the Social Democrats joined the far-right Alliance for the Unity of Romanians (AUR) to submit a motion supported by more than 250 lawmakers. The move follows the Social Democrats' withdrawal last week from a pro-European four-way coalition and has …
A new survey-led report from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, produced with multilateral partners, finds that financial regulators are adopting AI at a far slower pace than the firms they oversee and frequently lack basic data on industry AI deployment. The research flags Anthropic's recently released Mythos as an example of next-gener…
