Commodities

Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.

Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.

Articles

2,691 total articles

Oil Slides as Ceasefire Progress and Economic Data Weigh on Prices

Oil Slides as Ceasefire Progress and Economic Data Weigh on Prices

Oil futures fell in Asian trade on Friday and were set for sharp weekly losses as markets absorbed reports that Washington and Tehran were close to a draft deal to extend a fragile ceasefire, while investors also digested hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data and weaker first-quarter economic growth revisions. Brent and WTI were down, and both b…

Oil Edges Lower as Prospects of U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Extension Surface

Oil Edges Lower as Prospects of U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Extension Surface

Oil futures retreated modestly after reports of a possible extension to a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and steps to ease restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Comments from U.S. Vice President JD Vance that talks were close but not concluded kept prices from falling further. Brent and U.S. crude finished the session lower, capping a volatil…

ARA oil product inventories drop to lowest level since November 2014

ARA oil product inventories drop to lowest level since November 2014

Total independently held oil product inventories in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) refining and storage hub fell roughly 1% in the latest week to 4.42 million metric tons, reaching their lowest level since November 2014, driven by decreases across most products even as gasoline stocks rose on increased blending activity, according to data fr…

European gas edges up as fresh U.S.-Iran strikes unsettle shipping prospects

European gas edges up as fresh U.S.-Iran strikes unsettle shipping prospects

European natural gas benchmarks rose on Thursday after renewed exchanges of strikes between U.S. forces and Iran undermined expectations for a near-term deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Dutch front-month TTF contract and British futures both moved higher as reports described strikes near Bandar Abbas, retaliation from Iran’s Islamic Revolut…

Bernstein Advises $75/bbl as a Practical Long-Term Oil Price for Valuations

Bernstein Advises $75/bbl as a Practical Long-Term Oil Price for Valuations

Bernstein's recent investor note, based on a survey of the world’s 50 largest listed oil and gas companies, identifies $75 per barrel as a sensible long-term oil price for equity valuations. The note reports a temporary drop in global marginal costs in 2025, an expected rebound in 2026, a net income breakeven of $50/bbl, and structural shifts in re…

Three Months On: Iran Conflict Keeps Gulf Blocked, Markets Test Resilience

Three Months On: Iran Conflict Keeps Gulf Blocked, Markets Test Resilience

Three months after the outbreak of hostilities involving Iran, the United States and Israel, military engagements continue and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is effectively halted. Oil remains near $100 per barrel as blockades constrain physical flows, yet broader financial markets have shown limited disruption. Key U.S. data due this week -…

UBS Sees Path for Gold to Recover as Fed Tightening Concerns Ease

UBS Sees Path for Gold to Recover as Fed Tightening Concerns Ease

Gold has declined by more than 16% since U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran at the end of February. UBS says the metal could regain losses as fears that higher energy prices will force central banks into tighter policy subside later this year. The bank cut its year-end forecast to $5,500 per ounce from $5,900 but maintains an expectation that gold wi…

Gold Edges Lower as U.S.-Iran Strikes Lift Oil and the Dollar

Gold Edges Lower as U.S.-Iran Strikes Lift Oil and the Dollar

Gold prices slipped in Asian trading after a fresh round of U.S. strikes on Iran pushed oil and the U.S. dollar higher. Bullion remained confined to a trading range established over the last 10 days, pressured by dollar strength and rising Treasury yields amid concerns that a prolonged U.S.-Iran confrontation could stoke inflation. Attention also t…

Trump Says He Can Outwait Iran, Shrugs Off Midterm Pressure

Trump Says He Can Outwait Iran, Shrugs Off Midterm Pressure

President Donald Trump told Cabinet members he is unconcerned that the November midterm elections will compel him to cut a deal with Iran, saying Iranian leaders miscalculated if they expected him to be pressured by the vote. His remarks come amid mounting voter unease about rising prices and a contentious Republican primary outcome in Texas that D…

Northwest Europe Gasoline Margins Slip as Trade and Policy Moves Shift Flows

Northwest Europe Gasoline Margins Slip as Trade and Policy Moves Shift Flows

Northwest European gasoline refinery margins declined to $21.25 per barrel on Wednesday. Market activity in the Argus trading window included 24,000 metric tons of E5 gasoline changing hands, with BP and Exxon selling to TotalEnergies. Broader dynamics noted in the market include limited relief from U.S. waivers on domestic fuel transportation, a J…

U.S. Strategic Reserve Crude Moves to California as Shipping Patterns Shift

U.S. Strategic Reserve Crude Moves to California as Shipping Patterns Shift

A cargo from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve arrived in California this month, marking the first recorded delivery of SPR crude to the U.S. West Coast, according to ship-tracking service Kpler. The movement reflects a realignment of shipping routes and trade flows after the Iran war affected Middle Eastern crude supplies, and involved a chain …

China Issues Urea Export Quotas as Fertiliser Supply Strains Persist

China Issues Urea Export Quotas as Fertiliser Supply Strains Persist

Chinese authorities have granted export quotas for urea fertiliser, according to sources with direct knowledge. The move could relieve international price pressure caused by supply disruptions related to the Iran war. Two domestic producers confirmed they received quotas; an Indian importer said a government notification permitted exports. China sh…

Oil Pullback as Markets Await Progress in U.S.-Iran Negotiations

Oil Pullback as Markets Await Progress in U.S.-Iran Negotiations

Oil prices pared gains on Wednesday as traders sought clarity on fragile U.S.-Iran negotiations after new military strikes raised doubts around efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent was trading near $98.16 a barrel and U.S. WTI near $92.23 as uncertainty around regional hostilities and shipping access weighed on markets.

Gold inches higher as US-Iran peace talks remain centre-stage

Gold inches higher as US-Iran peace talks remain centre-stage

Gold gained modestly in early Asian trading as markets continued to focus on ongoing peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran. The metal has traded in a narrow band over the past 10 days amid mixed signals from the conflict, with recent military strikes and inflation data pushing investors to weigh the prospect of higher interest rates.

Oil retreats as U.S.-Iran talks continue; ceasefire and Hormuz talks in focus

Oil retreats as U.S.-Iran talks continue; ceasefire and Hormuz talks in focus

Oil prices declined in early Asian trading as indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran proceeded, even after both sides reported exchanges of fire earlier in the week. West Texas Intermediate for July fell 0.5% to $89.95 a barrel by 19:22 ET (23:22 GMT). Media accounts indicated the ceasefire remained intact as talks centered on a f…