Stock Markets June 23, 2026 12:53 PM

Meta Developing Standalone Prediction Markets App Called Arena

Company pilots a points-based prediction platform separate from its social apps as leadership explores new product formats

By Nina Shah
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Meta has instructed a small team to build a standalone smartphone app, internal name Arena, that would let users take part in prediction markets using a points-style system rather than wagering real money initially. The effort is described by employees as experimental but a priority, and Meta plans to leverage its vast social audiences to grow the product.

Meta Developing Standalone Prediction Markets App Called Arena
META DKNG HOOD
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Key Points

  • Meta has directed a small team to build a standalone prediction markets app internally named Arena - impacts the technology sector and consumer apps market.
  • The app is expected to use a gamified points system rather than real-money wagering initially - relevant to fintech and online gambling sectors.
  • Meta plans to drive adoption by leveraging its daily active audience of more than 3.56 billion users - relevant to digital advertising, user acquisition strategies, and platform competition.

Meta is working on a new smartphone application that would host prediction markets similar to platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, according to two employees familiar with the matter. The project is being led at the direction of Mark Zuckerberg and is operating under the internal name "Arena."

The app is being developed as a standalone product and would be separate from Metas existing social properties - Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and Messenger. That structural separation reflects a broader push by company leadership to experiment with new kinds of apps that respond to emerging online social behaviour, employees said.

Under the current plan, users would not place real-money bets on the platform. Instead, the app would most likely employ a gamified, video game-style points system to facilitate participation. Meta has not closed the door on the possibility of enabling real-money wagering at a later date, one employee added.

Meta intends to grow Arena by directing traffic from its large installed user base to the new app. The companys own usage figures show that more than 3.56 billion people visit at least one of Metas apps every day, a scale the company hopes to tap for user acquisition on standalone experiments.

Employees described the Arena initiative as experimental, though they also characterised it as a top priority. The effort forms part of an internal push by Zuckerberg to build additional standalone applications in response to questions about whether the companys existing platforms have reached saturation.

In addition to Arena, the company is testing other independent apps. One such experiment, called Meta Photos, would create new forms of media using artificial intelligence, employees said.

Market participants reacted quickly to reports of Metas plans. Shares of companies that have recently expanded into event contracts and prediction betting - DraftKings and Robinhood - declined sharply in intraday trading following the reports, while Metas shares moved modestly higher in the same session.


Context limitations: The details provided here reflect what employees shared about the initiative and Metas stated intentions; the companys plans remain subject to change.

Risks

  • The project is described as experimental despite being a top priority - outcome and timeline are uncertain, affecting investor expectations in tech and fintech firms.
  • Meta has not ruled out allowing real-money wagering in the future, which would introduce regulatory uncertainty for the company and broader implications for online betting and payments sectors.
  • Competitive and market responses were immediate - shares of DraftKings and Robinhood declined sharply after the reports, highlighting potential market volatility for firms operating in event contracts and prediction betting.

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