Stock Markets April 23, 2026 07:24 AM

FTSE 100 Slips as Oil Rallies and Prospects for U.S.-Iran Talks Dim

Rising crude and renewed cost pressures pressure travel, retail and mining names while banks and midcaps retreat

By Jordan Park
FTSE 100 Slips as Oil Rallies and Prospects for U.S.-Iran Talks Dim

The FTSE 100 fell on Thursday as a sharp rise in oil prices and fading hopes for revived U.S.-Iran negotiations weighed on sentiment. Brent crude topped $100 a barrel after Iran tightened control over the Strait of Hormuz and said it would not reopen the waterway until the U.S. lifts its naval blockade. Investors also absorbed a batch of corporate results and guidance revisions that hit travel, retail and mining stocks, while traders increased the odds of a June Bank of England rate rise.

Key Points

  • FTSE 100 fell 0.8% to 10,388.84 by 10:40 a.m. GMT; FTSE 250 dropped 1.1%.
  • Brent crude futures rose above $100 a barrel after Iran tightened control of the Strait of Hormuz and said it will not reopen the waterway until the U.S. lifts its naval blockade, pressuring travel, leisure and retail stocks.
  • Traders raised the odds of a Bank of England rate hike in June to roughly 70% from 40% last week, while the FTSE 100 was down 2.7% for the week and nearing a reversal of earlier ceasefire-driven gains.

Britain's blue-chip benchmark opened lower on Thursday, with the FTSE 100 down 0.8% at 10,388.84 by 10:40 a.m. GMT and the midcap FTSE 250 slipping 1.1% as market participants reacted to higher oil prices and a dimming prospect of renewed U.S.-Iran peace talks.

Brent crude futures pushed above $100 a barrel after reports that Iran had tightened its grip on the Strait of Hormuz and said it would not allow the waterway to reopen until the United States removed what Tehran called its naval blockade. The jump in crude weighed most heavily on travel-related equities and other sectors sensitive to energy costs.

Travel and leisure equities were notably weaker, with Wizz Air down about 3% and Carnival off 2.4%. Travel retailer WH Smith suffered a sharp drop of 10.6% after the company cut its annual profit forecast and announced a suspension of its dividend, amplifying sector pressure.

Major banks also retreated, with Barclays down 2.1% and HSBC falling 0.9%. Among mining stocks, Fresnillo led declines with a 6.9% fall and Rio Tinto lost 2.1%, tracking moves in precious and base metals.

A separate survey showed the share of British firms reporting higher costs rose to a record level this month, a sign of elevated input costs and rising inflation, with respondents and markets citing the fallout from the Iran war as a factor weighing on the economy.

Interest-rate expectations shifted sharply in response to the deteriorating data and market moves. LSEG data showed traders were pricing in about a 70% probability of a Bank of England rate hike in June, up from roughly 40% a week earlier.

For the week to date, the FTSE 100 was down around 2.7% and on course to reverse nearly all of the recent gains that had followed hopes of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced earlier in the month.

Retailers also faced renewed scrutiny: supermarket group Sainsbury fell 5.2% after warning that the Iran war could cloud its outlook, echoing concerns Tesco expressed earlier in the week. Tesco's shares were down roughly 3% on Thursday.

Not all large-cap names were weaker. The London Stock Exchange Group rose 1.9% after saying it expects annual revenue growth at the upper end of its guided range. Business services and information company Relx was down 1.3% after reaffirming its full-year outlook.


Overall, the market reaction combined an oil-driven hit to energy-sensitive sectors, company-specific profit warnings and dividend suspensions, and a reassessment of near-term monetary policy expectations.

Risks

  • Higher oil prices and Iran-related disruptions could continue to strain travel, leisure and retail margins while feeding inflation pressures.
  • Rising input costs among British firms - reported at a record this month - increase uncertainty for corporate profitability and could lead to tighter monetary policy impacting financial and consumer-facing sectors.
  • If geopolitical tensions persist, equity market volatility may extend and erase recent gains, as indicated by the FTSE 100's weekly decline and sector-specific sell-offs.

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