Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
2,619 total articles
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said Chinese technology companies have moved at an 'amazingly fast' pace and made 'remarkable' advances across much of the tech stack, while noting uneven progress across different areas. His remarks come amid a race between China and the United States to develop artificial general intelligence (AGI). Altman also discussed Ope…
President Donald Trump told the opening meeting of his Board of Peace that the United States will provide funds to strengthen the United Nations, improve its facilities and make the organization viable. The pledge comes amid an administration policy of withholding mandatory payments to U.N. regular and peacekeeping budgets and reductions in volunta…
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari criticized the practical value of cryptocurrency and questioned the utility of stablecoins compared with existing payment apps during a speaking engagement in North Dakota on Thursday. He also defended the Fed’s institutional independence in the face of political attacks, citing recent cri…
Household expectations for inflation over the next year declined to 13.1% in February from 13.7% in January, central bank data show. Analysts say the drop, following a VAT-driven price spike at the start of the year, increases scope for additional monetary easing after the central bank trimmed its key rate by 50 basis points to 15.5%. Community dou…
The White House has prepared detailed operational plans that would rely on British facilities - Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford - for potential strikes on Iran. The UK has not given prior approval for use of those bases for such an operation, citing worries about compliance with international law. In response to the absence of clearance, President Tr…
Canada's merchandise trade deficit narrowed to C$1.31 billion in December as exports grew faster than imports, driven principally by metals and non-metallic mineral shipments, especially unwrought gold. The share of exports sent to the United States fell to just over 67.4% of total exports, the lowest proportion on record outside two pandemic month…
TransUnion reports U.S. unsecured loan balances rose 10% last year to a record $276 billion, driven largely by subprime borrowers and consolidation of credit card debt. The bureau expects credit growth to normalize, forecasting modest increases across unsecured loans, mortgages and refinancings in 2026 while projecting a small contraction in auto l…
Brazil's central bank IBC-Br index recorded 2.5% growth in 2025, supported by a strong agricultural performance. Excluding a 13.1% surge in farming, the indicator would have climbed 1.8%. The reading outpaced initial projections and comes amid the central bank's high policy rate and a signalled shift toward easing.
U.S. defense officials told President Donald Trump that a concentration of aircraft, support assets and naval forces will reach the levels necessary by Saturday to begin sustained strikes against Iran if ordered. The buildup includes roughly 50 additional aircraft, a second carrier strike group en route, and enhanced ground-based missile defenses p…
Bank of England rate-setter Catherine Mann described this week's inflation figures as "good numbers" while cautioning that underlying inflation measures have not improved as much as hoped. She flagged a recent uptick in unemployment as a significant concern and said the central bank is nearing a point where monetary policy will be balanced between …
The Bundesbank says Germany's recovery will continue but with muted growth in the first quarter, and expects a stronger expansion from spring driven chiefly by fiscal stimulus. Headwinds for Q1 include weather-damaged construction activity and a likely cooling of private consumption, while industry faces export competitiveness challenges despite so…
President Donald Trump will speak in Rome, Georgia, focusing on measures he says will reduce costs for working Americans. The address comes as inflation readings show modest overall easing but persistent price pressures in food and housing, and as Republican control of Congress faces election-year uncertainty.
A prominent economist cautions that a rise in Japan's short-term policy rate to 1.0% could prompt substantial reallocation of household cash into interest-bearing bank accounts. That flow may increase the reserves financial institutions hold at the Bank of Japan and make it harder for the central bank to control short-term money market rates as it …
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde privately reassured colleagues that she remains focused on her ECB duties and would inform them directly if she intended to step down. The reassurance followed media reports that she planned to leave her post ahead of next year’s French presidential election to allow the outgoing French president a …
Bank Indonesia held its benchmark policy rate at 4.75% for the fifth consecutive review, citing persistent pressure on the rupiah despite economic fundamentals. The central bank called the currency 'undervalued,' pledged increased intervention in onshore and offshore markets and said future rate cuts would wait until exchange-rate stress subsides.
Bank Indonesia left its policy rate unchanged at 4.75% at its latest meeting, marking the fifth straight gathering without a change. The outcome matched the expectations of most market participants, and the session was the first to include Thomas Djiwandono as Deputy Governor. While the board kept a clear easing bias, analysts said a resumption of …
U.S. equity futures rose modestly as investors digested Federal Reserve minutes from January that included hawkish language, while strength in semiconductor and storage names led tech gains. Oil moved higher amid reports of increased military activity in the Middle East and tighter U.S. crude inventories. Retail giant Walmart and farm-equipment mak…
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas lowered its reverse repo rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%, bringing the current easing cycle's total reduction to 225 basis points. The move, widely forecast by market analysts, comes as Philippine economic growth slows and a corruption scandal suppresses public investment, prompting monetary support despite earlier …
France can no longer rely on further tax increases to correct its public finances and must instead pursue spending reductions, the national audit office said, after lawmakers removed several savings measures and the government’s planned revenues hinge on roughly 12 billion euros of extra levies. The watchdog also flagged risks on the spending side …
The International Monetary Fund has left its projection for China's 2026 economic growth unchanged at 4.5% in its annual review for 2025. While the headline forecast was maintained, the Fund warned of key vulnerabilities including weak domestic demand and a slowing global economy, and said it had urged Chinese policymakers to accelerate structural …
An internal directive from the Department of Homeland Security has instructed the Federal Emergency Management Agency to suspend DHS-funded travel, including deployments to disaster sites, after a partial DHS shutdown began. More than 300 FEMA disaster responders who were preparing for assignments have been told to stand down. The freeze comes as t…
A Reuters poll of economists finds a majority expect the Bank of Japan to lift its policy rate to 1% by the end of June, with a substantial minority forecasting a hike as soon as April. The survey - conducted after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's decisive Feb. 8 election victory - indicates a quicker timeline for additional tightening than previous…
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is preparing to argue that her so-called "responsible, proactive fiscal policy" is not as expansionary as critics fear, as lawmakers begin deliberations on her signature spending and consumption tax suspension next week. Despite assurances of fiscal sustainability, investors remain alert to potential increases in bond …
President Donald Trump said his 2025 tariff program has driven a steep contraction in the U.S. trade deficit and that the United States is on track to post a trade surplus in 2026. Official monthly trade figures through late 2025 show dramatic swings - with the goods and services deficit falling sharply from a March peak and then widening again in …
The Institute for Fiscal Studies recommends the UK abandon rigid numerical fiscal targets driven by 'fiscal headroom' and instead adopt a traffic-light style set of indicators assessed by the Office for Budget Responsibility. The IFS argues the change would reduce incentives for dysfunctional policymaking, even though it may make it easier for gove…
