Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

2,628 total articles

Mortgage Rates Slip Under 6% as Market Volatility, Not Fundamentals, Drive Drop

Mortgage Rates Slip Under 6% as Market Volatility, Not Fundamentals, Drive Drop

The average U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 5.98% this week, its lowest reading since September 2022, driven by a retreat in the 10-year Treasury yield amid legal and policy developments. Economists warn the move is likely transitory and insufficient on its own to rekindle broad housing demand without an increase in for-sale inventory. Per…

Canada Signals Cautious Optimism as USMCA Review Nears

Canada Signals Cautious Optimism as USMCA Review Nears

Canada’s minister overseeing trade with the United States described private conversations among Canada, the U.S. and Mexico about the upcoming USMCA review as not discouraging. Ottawa is readying formal negotiations with Washington ahead of the treaty’s renewal deadline of July 1, 2026. The minister noted the existence of bilateral arrangements wit…

U.S. Presses Iran to Eliminate Key Nuclear Sites as Talks Continue in Geneva

U.S. Presses Iran to Eliminate Key Nuclear Sites as Talks Continue in Geneva

U.S. negotiators in Geneva presented stringent conditions to Iranian counterparts, calling for the destruction of principal nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan, the transfer of remaining enriched uranium to the United States, and permanent, non-expiring limits on Iran's nuclear program. Iran refused those demands and declined to halt e…

30-Year Mortgage Rate Slips Under 6% for First Time in Years

30-Year Mortgage Rate Slips Under 6% for First Time in Years

Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey reports the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.98% as of Thursday, the first reading in roughly three and a half years to fall into the 5% range. The survey also shows the 15-year fixed-rate averaged 5.44%, slightly above last week. Freddie Mac’s chief economist said the lower rate alongside i…

Preparations for Trump-Xi Beijing Summit Lag as Clock Ticks Down

Preparations for Trump-Xi Beijing Summit Lag as Clock Ticks Down

Preparations for a potential meeting in Beijing between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are behind schedule, according to analysts and former government officials familiar with the planning process. Sources point to limited bilateral contacts, a small inexperienced organizing team on the US side, and contrasting US and Chine…

Trump Labor Department Moves to Repeal Biden-Era Independent Contractor Rule

Trump Labor Department Moves to Repeal Biden-Era Independent Contractor Rule

The U.S. Department of Labor has proposed rescinding a 2024 rule that broadened the scope for treating workers as employees when they are financially dependent on a company. The administration says the rule was legally flawed and reduced workers' flexibility. The proposal would instead revive a standard emphasizing the level of control employers ex…

China’s legislature strips nine military officers of parliamentary seats

China’s legislature strips nine military officers of parliamentary seats

China’s National People’s Congress Standing Committee has revoked the delegate status of nine senior military officers, including Ground Force Commander Li Qiaoming and Information Support Force Political Commissar Li Wei, the state-run Xinhua News Agency reported. The committee took the action during a two-day session this week; the official notic…

Cuba Vows Firm Response After Deadly Maritime Incursion

Cuba Vows Firm Response After Deadly Maritime Incursion

Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel declared the island will defend itself against what he described as 'terrorist and mercenary aggression' following a clash in which Havana says four exiles were killed and six wounded after arriving by a Florida-registered speedboat and opening fire on a Cuban patrol. The episode unfolded amid strained ties with th…

Gilt rally persists despite Westminster turbulence as yields slide

Gilt rally persists despite Westminster turbulence as yields slide

UK government bond yields have fallen by more than 20 basis points since mid-February as demand for gilts rises. Moves in 10-year gilts tracked declines in US Treasuries, while two-year swap rates hit fresh lows reflecting lower Bank of England policy expectations. Improved appetite for gilts is supported by reduced inflation risks and US equity vo…

Kremlin Frames Drop in Energy Revenues and Bigger Deficit as Routine Headwinds

Kremlin Frames Drop in Energy Revenues and Bigger Deficit as Routine Headwinds

The Kremlin characterized a marked fall in oil and gas receipts and a widening budget deficit as manageable, routine challenges that can be handled within the broader framework of macroeconomic stability. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Finance Minister Anton Siluanov outlined measures including stronger reserve-fund allocations and near-term b…

ECB trims dollar holdings, shifts proceeds into yen in routine reserve rebalance

ECB trims dollar holdings, shifts proceeds into yen in routine reserve rebalance

The European Central Bank disclosed it sold a portion of U.S. dollar assets in the first quarter of 2025 and reinvested all proceeds into Japanese yen, a move described as a standard rebalancing to match target allocation. The bank reported a 909 million euro gain from that transaction, reduced the share of dollars in its foreign currency assets an…

UBS Sees UK Gilt Issuance Falling to £271bn as Borrowing and Redemptions Ease

UBS Sees UK Gilt Issuance Falling to £271bn as Borrowing and Redemptions Ease

UBS projects the UK Debt Management Office will issue £271 billion of gilts in the 2026-27 fiscal year, a decline from the current year driven by lower net borrowing and fewer redemptions. The bank anticipates around £20 billion of long-dated gilts and £34 billion of index-linked bonds in the remit, notes a high level of unallocated supply, and arg…

Tech Earnings Temper Markets as U.S.-Iran Talks Keep Oil on Edge

Tech Earnings Temper Markets as U.S.-Iran Talks Keep Oil on Edge

U.S. stock futures slipped as investors digested high-profile quarterly reports from Nvidia and Salesforce. Nvidia delivered stronger-than-expected profits and a revenue outlook above forecasts, yet questions about the timing and scale of shareholder returns muted investor reaction. Salesforce shares fell after management set a fiscal 2027 revenue …

Man Group posts record AUM but profits slip as market turbulence bites

Man Group posts record AUM but profits slip as market turbulence bites

Man Group reported a 35% jump in assets under management to a record $227.6 billion for 2025, yet pre-tax profit declined 14% to $407 million as market volatility weighed on performance. While several systematic and multistrategy funds delivered solid gains, management fees eased and shares fell about 2.5% on the day.

Takaichi Signals Dovish Turn at BOJ with Two Reflationist Board Picks

Takaichi Signals Dovish Turn at BOJ with Two Reflationist Board Picks

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi surprised markets by nominating two academics known for reflationary views to the Bank of Japan board, sending a clear message of opposition to higher interest rates. The appointments - Toichiro Asada and Ayano Sato - alter the board’s balance and could influence the trajectory and politics of Japan’s policy normalisat…