Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,120 total articles
U.S. equities advanced on Thursday, led by technology stocks, while crude oil prices retreated to levels recorded before the recent Iran conflict. The rally coincided with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping following a peace agreement. Market participants are now adjusting to a less predictable Federal Reserve under new Ch…
International investors significantly increased their stake in U.S. financial assets during April, driven by a substantial acquisition of long-term securities. This influx of foreign capital coincides with a period of intense market analysis regarding the Federal Reserve’s inflation strategy and the robust performance of artificial intelligence equ…
The U.S. Treasury Department published Treasury International Capital figures for April 2026 on Thursday. The latest report, covering foreign capital movements, reveals a net inflow of $26.1 billion into U.S. financial assets. This figure reflects the balance between foreign private outflows and official inflows, highlighting shifts in how internat…
Anthropic introduced a beta capability for Claude Code on Thursday that lets users turn their interactive work sessions into shareable web pages called artifacts. These pages pull together the full session context - code, connectors and conversation history - and update in real time as Claude Code produces changes. The feature is available to Claud…
A European Central Bank Governing Council member warned that the bank's baseline economic scenario is subject to substantial uncertainty. Energy price pressures are spreading into services and transport, while the scale and recovery timeline for damaged oil output remain unclear. The official also emphasized uncertainty over price paths, oil market…
J.P. Morgan has postponed its forecast for the Bank of England's next interest-rate increase to November, after the BoE left the bank rate unchanged at 3.75%. The move follows a period of heightened inflation risk tied to tensions in the Middle East and oil price shocks, and comes despite a recent truce deal between U.S. President Donald Trump and …
Markets pushed down near-term borrowing costs but lifted yields on longer maturities after Brazil's central bank cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 14.25% and signaled openness to additional easing, even as inflation forecasts and activity projections were revised higher and the bank acknowledged upside inflation risks from fiscal stimulus.
Germany's economy ministry is evaluating whether to prolong the temporary reduction in its oil stockpiling obligation beyond the current August 31 deadline. The measure, enacted in March as part of a coordinated International Energy Agency release that unloaded a record 400 million barrels from member strategic reserves, saw Germany contribute 2.65…
Canada's Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) rose 1.2% in May from April, outpacing the 1.0% consensus. The IPPI increased 13.6% on an annual basis, marking the 20th consecutive month of year-over-year gains. The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) advanced 0.7% month over month and 33.4% year over year. Continued shipping disruptions through the St…
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey emphasized the broad value of stability when asked about a by-election that could return Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to parliament and possibly set up a challenge to Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Bailey reiterated that he does not engage in political activity and highlighted that stability is importan…
Brazil’s finance minister said further reductions in interest rates are possible, while stressing that the central bank holds authority over monetary policy. The government is blocking 23 billion reais in the budget to underscore fiscal tightening even as annual inflation has accelerated above the central bank’s target and the central bank projects…
Initial filings for state unemployment benefits fell to 226,000 for the week ended June 13, a modest decline that reflects persistently low layoffs even as continuing claims and the duration of unemployment point to lingering weakness for some workers. Federal Reserve officials signaled the possibility of higher rates amid inflation concerns.
Finance Minister Dario Durigan said additional cuts to Brazil's benchmark interest rate remain on the table, while reiterating that decisions about monetary policy are the central bank's responsibility. The central bank lowered its main rate to 14.25% at its latest meeting - the third straight cut - even as it signaled a deteriorating inflation out…
The Czech National Bank raised its main policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%, the first increase in four years, citing upward pressures from wages, services-sector inflation and economic effects tied to the recent Iran conflict. Most analysts had expected the move and markets had already priced it in, while the outlook for further hikes has soft…
European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane said Thursday in Hertfordshire, UK, that the current disturbance to the European economy is a "medium shock," smaller than the disruption seen in 2022. He defended the ECB's decision to raise interest rates to contain price shocks and noted that commodity prices can move differently - even if oil fa…
The Bank of Botswana elected to keep its monetary policy rate at 5.5%, saying prior measures have eased liquidity pressures and bolstered the foreign exchange market. The central bank projects inflation will average 9% in 2026 and fall to 5.5% in 2027, while warning of upside and downside risks tied to fuel costs, administered prices, economic acti…
Norges Bank left its deposit rate unchanged at 4.25% while indicating another increase is forthcoming. The bank's outlook now sees rates edging just above 4.5% by year-end as policymakers cite rising inflation pressures driven by labor costs and imported price impulses. Market participants and lenders have adjusted their forecasts in response.
The recent tapering of energy-driven inflation risks following an agreement between the United States and Iran has reduced one source of price pressure. Still, four developed-market central banks are actively tightening, and others - including the U.S. Federal Reserve - indicated readiness to raise rates if inflation accelerates. This review ranks …
The escalation of inflation tied to the Iran war has prompted a number of major central banks to raise borrowing costs or signal that hikes are likely, with the U.S. Federal Reserve in particular abandoning the assumption that a temporary shock can be ignored. Damage to oil infrastructure and depleted stocks mean energy market normalisation could b…
India's thermal coal imports fell to 65 million tons in the January-May period, the lowest five-month level in four years, driven by increased domestic production, a sizable expansion in renewable generation and higher costs for imported coal and shipping, according to commodities consultancy BigMint. Total power generation rose, with thermal outpu…
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee held the Bank Rate at 3.75% following a 7-2 split, according to the minutes of the June meeting. Most members judged that pausing preserves optionality given continuing uncertainty over energy prices and potential second-round inflation effects, while two members argued for an immediate 25 basis point…
The Bank of Spain's 2025 annual report finds the country's housing market growing rapidly but not producing the systemic financial stability threats characteristic of past property booms. While prices, sales and mortgage lending increased in 2025, key vulnerability indicators remain contained. The central bank calls for coordinated national and loc…
The Bank of Spain said its preliminary view is that the economy grew between 0.5% and 0.6% in the second quarter versus the prior three months. It kept its baseline 2026 growth forecast at 2.3% and the 2027 projection at 1.7%, but raised inflation expectations for 2026 and 2027 and warned that continued conflict in the Middle East poses substantial…
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to keep Bank Rate at 3.75%, opting to hold policy steady amid falling yet still elevated global energy prices and mixed domestic signals. The BoE highlighted uncertainty over the economic impact of higher energy costs and warned of the risk that prolonged energy pressure could produce second…
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% in its June meeting, concluding that it would be premature to raise interest rates given ambiguous signs about the durability of recent inflationary pressures. Two members - external member Megan Greene and Chief Economist Huw Pill - favored a 25 basis-point in…
