Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
2,634 total articles
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said the recent U.S.-Israel attack on Iran has increased uncertainty about the U.S. economic outlook and complicated the central bank's path for interest-rate policy. Kashkari, a 2026 Federal Open Market Committee voter, said he entered the year expecting easing inflation pressure to allow…
The U.S. Treasury unveiled plans to overhaul post-2008 bank liquidity regulations to increase lending capacity for priorities such as artificial intelligence infrastructure, domestic supply chains, and defense manufacturing. Under Secretary for Domestic Finance Jonathan McKernan, speaking from remarks prepared by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a…
Senior U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve officials signaled plans for a wide-ranging review of bank liquidity requirements, arguing current rules limit lending and hinder use of the Federal Reserve’s discount window. Proposals include recognizing prepositioned collateral at the discount window as part of banks' liquidity capacity, with caps that co…
President Donald Trump told Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to halt commercial dealings with Spain after Madrid denied access to its bases for a bombing campaign against Iran. Speaking at a White House meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Trump threatened sweeping trade measures, suggested the legal authority for an embargo exists and re…
The Inter-American Development Bank projects economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean will slow to 2.1% in 2026, close to the region's long-term average. The IDB highlights rising debt-service costs, limited fiscal space, weak productivity and the need for institutional strengthening and regional integration to translate opportunities fro…
The International Monetary Fund's first deputy managing director warned that the global economic consequences of the Middle East war will be shaped by how long the conflict lasts, the extent of damage to regional infrastructure and industries, and whether any rise in energy prices is temporary or sustained. Speaking at a Washington finance conferen…
Latvian central bank governor Martins Kazaks said the European Central Bank should refrain from changing interest rates for now amid uncertainty over the economic impact of the war in Iran. While disruptions to oil and gas flows and broader trade frictions could lift inflation in the euro zone, Kazaks warned the same shock might also dampen economi…
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said it is premature to determine how the war with Iran will shape U.S. inflation and economic growth. Speaking after remarks at a conference hosted by America's Credit Unions in Washington, Williams said the immediate transmission of the conflict's economic effects appears to be primarily through as…
The Federal Reserve's 2025 Small Business Credit Survey, compiled by the 12 regional Fed banks, found that rising costs related to tariffs, inflation and wages were the dominant challenge for U.S. small firms in 2025. Retail and manufacturing firms reported the greatest tariff-related pressure; most firms sourcing foreign inputs saw price increases…
Apollo Global Management CEO Marc Rowan warned that the private credit industry faces a lasting shakeout amid rising defaults on loans to software companies. He cited recent bank loan failures and investor withdrawals from business development companies as signs of broader strain. Major asset managers offering retail-facing private credit funds hav…
In a brief phone interview with Politico, President Donald Trump said Iran is running out of key weapons and launchers, and signaled willingness to engage with a reconstituted Iranian leadership if one emerges. His comments, which were not echoed in a recent Pentagon briefing, come amid ongoing drone and missile attacks in the region and confirmed …
A European Investment Bank survey of roughly 13,000 firms finds European companies have largely managed the effects of higher U.S. tariffs and kept pace with U.S. peers in adopting artificial intelligence, yet many struggle to sell across the EU because of inconsistent national regulations. The report quantifies the domestic obstacles and models po…
Jeff Schmid, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, said inflation remains too high and is nearly a percentage point above the Fed's 2% target. Speaking in Denver, he highlighted persistent inflation across tariff-affected goods and services, noted underlying inflation rose 3% in the 12 months through December, and flagged rising hea…
A European Investment Bank survey shows that EU firms have largely absorbed higher U.S. tariffs and matched U.S. peers in artificial intelligence adoption, but divergent national rules across the 27-member bloc are creating significant obstacles for intra-EU trade and constraining investment, particularly in intangible assets.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves presented a Spring Statement on March 3, 2026, that contained no major policy shifts and only a small improvement in fiscal headroom. Analysts warned that the modest buffer created by lower gilt yields and firmer equity prices could be eroded rapidly by rising energy costs and broader geopolitical uncertainty, leaving limit…
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Schmid reiterated his opposition to additional interest-rate reductions, arguing that the labor market is balanced while inflation remains above the central bank's target. He warned that demand is outstripping supply and that services prices are rising too quickly for a return to the Fed's 2% goal, and …
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Tuesday that cuts to the federal funds rate would be appropriate if inflation slows after the primary effects of tariffs have passed. Williams laid out an expected trajectory for inflation and described recent signs of stability in the labor market, while noting that tariffs are likely t…
U.S. officials say President Trump is considering backing Iranian groups willing to use force against the Tehran government. He has held direct talks with Kurdish leaders based in Iran and remains in contact with other local figures, while White House officials say no final decision has been made on providing weapons, training or intelligence.
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said monetary policy is appropriately positioned to help stabilize the labor market and guide inflation back to the Fed's 2% objective, and that additional federal funds rate reductions would be justified if inflation follows his expected path. Williams delivered his remarks to a conference hosted by…
Markets pared back expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin trimming interest rates before September after air strikes linked to the U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran lifted oil prices and provoked heavy selling in rate-sensitive assets. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and global crude flows curtailed, traders have reduced the…
In a budget update to parliament, finance minister Rachel Reeves set out revised forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility that show Britain's inflation and borrowing will be lower than previously expected by the fiscal watchdog, while economic growth forecasts for the near term were reduced. The update, delivered against a backdrop of Mi…
Finance minister Rachel Reeves set out a revised, weaker growth path for the U.K. in a budget update, with the Office for Budget Responsibility cutting its 2026 GDP forecast and projecting a higher unemployment peak. The OBR attributed labour market weakness to new entrants struggling to find work, and warned of persistent weak demand as output fal…
In a budget update delivered to parliament, finance minister Rachel Reeves pledged to shield the UK economy from external shocks and maintain policy stability. New official forecasts from Britain’s fiscal watchdog show lower inflation and borrowing than previously estimated, though growth for the year was revised down to 1.1% from 1.4%. The fiscal …
Finance minister Rachel Reeves said the government’s margin for meeting its principal fiscal objective at the end of the decade has increased to 23.6 billion pounds for 2029/30, up from an almost 22 billion pound estimate in November. The Office for Budget Responsibility’s forecasts underpin the change, but they were compiled before a recent spike …
President Donald Trump declared that the United States has a near limitless inventory of munitions and can wage wars "forever" using existing supplies, comments made as U.S. and Israeli military operations in Iran entered their fourth day. Trump gave few operational details but said the campaign was projected to last four to five weeks and that cur…
