Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,098 total articles
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh told an audience in Sintra, Portugal, that measures of inflation expectations and inflation risks have fallen in recent weeks. He reiterated the Fed's determination to achieve a 2% inflation target, stressed the central bank's independence, and declined to provide forward guidance on monetary policy. Warsh also …
Delinquency on Brazilian loans not tied to a specific purpose rose to 6.2% in May from 6.1% in April, the highest reading since the central bank began tracking the series in March 2011. The increase occurred even after the government launched a new phase of a consumer debt renegotiation program in early May offering Treasury-backed guarantees to re…
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh declined to outline a forward path for interest rates at a central bank panel in Sintra, Portugal, endorsing European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde’s decision to stop providing forward guidance. Warsh also reiterated plans unveiled at his first Fed meeting to review and reform the Fed’s operational appro…
President Donald Trump told reporters he does not manage his personal finances and that professional funds handle his assets, a day after an annual ethics filing reported more than $1.4 billion in income tied to his family's crypto ventures. The 2025 disclosure to the U.S. Office of Government Ethics shows his companies received almost $800 million…
The U.S. Office of Government Ethics released President Trump's 2025 financial disclosure, revealing that cryptocurrency ventures accounted for more than $1.4 billion of reported income and surpassed traditional real estate revenue. The filing details large receipts tied to World Liberty Financial and licensing royalties for a $TRUMP meme coin, lis…
Saudi Aramco has cut its official selling prices for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) for July by between 24% and 27%, with propane falling to $580 per ton and butane to $600 per ton. Algeria’s Sonatrach lowered its July LPG prices as well, reducing propane to $518 per ton and butane to $600 per ton, amid signs of increased global supply, according to…
A Reuters poll conducted June 26-July 1 shows most foreign exchange strategists expect the U.S. dollar's recent rally to fade in coming months as lower oil prices ease inflation concerns and reduce bets on additional Federal Reserve hikes. Still, a notable group of strategists and large net-long positions suggest the dollar may remain firm at least…
A poll of foreign exchange specialists finds Mexico’s peso is likely to remain around the center of its long-standing trading band through at least the first half of 2027. The median 12-month forecast among respondents sits near 17.78 per U.S. dollar, implying only a modest depreciation from current levels, with policymakers' stance and U.S. econom…
Poland spent about 4.7 billion zlotys (approximately $1.25 billion) over a three-month span to implement fuel price caps introduced in March. The measures included a reduced VAT rate on fuel, alignment of excise duties with the EU minimum, and daily caps on motor fuel prices; they were repeatedly extended every two weeks and concluded in June, the …
An IMF representative in Nigeria told business leaders that roughly 2% of the country’s GDP has not been captured in recent official budgets, largely because of large government projects executed off-budget. The discrepancy makes the headline fiscal deficit appear smaller than the true level of borrowing and complicates coordination between fiscal …
UBS strategists find that when inflation surprises to the upside, around two-thirds of the rise in 10-year gilt yields comes from the term premium rather than changes in short-term rate expectations. The U.K.'s unusually large share of inflation-linked debt - about 25% of outstanding gilts - helps explain why inflationary shocks steepen the gilt cu…
A UN-appointed scientific panel published its inaugural global assessment of artificial intelligence, finding rapid advances in AI capabilities that outstrip scientific understanding and regulatory preparedness, and identifying direct harms to health, information integrity and vulnerable populations. Preliminary findings will be presented to govern…
U.S. stock index futures opened lower on July 1 as investors began the second half of 2026 with renewed concerns about hostilities in the Middle East and anticipation of comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. Market participants are watching labor and manufacturing data alongside central bank signals that could influence rate expectations…
A United Nations independent scientific panel warned that developments in artificial intelligence are advancing faster than scientific understanding and public policy, raising the possibility of catastrophic harm. The panel's preliminary report highlights the rapid emergence of agentic AI systems, potential convergence with other high-tech fields, …
A new AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll conducted June 26-30 finds President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leading opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a hypothetical second-round contest for October's presidential election. The survey also presents first-round estimates and details on sample size and statistical margin.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will speak at the European Central Bank's annual Sintra forum alongside Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey and Tiff Macklem. The gathering highlights a shared focus on bringing down inflation while exposing differences on issues such as climate-related financial risk, public guidance on policy and the recent pol…
Euro zone inflation cooled more than anticipated in June, with headline consumer price growth sliding to 2.8% from 3.2% in May and core measures that exclude food and energy easing to 2.4% from 2.6%. Services inflation also moderated. The softer readings reduce immediate pressure on the European Central Bank to follow June's quarter-point rate rise…
Delegations from the United States and Iran are scheduled to hold separate meetings with mediators in Qatar, according to reports citing U.S. officials. Talks will involve Qatari and Pakistani intermediaries and follow renewed clashes in the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. envoys including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are slated to consult with Qatar's p…
U.S. equity futures drifted lower as markets prepared for remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at a central banking forum in Portugal, separate U.S. and Iranian discussions with mediators in Qatar, and the release of June manufacturing data. A stronger-than-expected jobs openings figure and mixed consumer indicators kept traders attentive t…
Euro zone manufacturing closed the quarter on a positive note with output growth extending into June, capping the strongest three-month run for the sector since early 2022. The S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.4 in June from 51.6 in May but stayed above the 50.0 growth threshold for a fifth month. Easing input and output inflatio…
European equity markets paused their rally on Wednesday as the STOXX 600 slipped 0.3% to 639.64 by 0710 GMT after registering its strongest quarter since October 2020. Investors weighed fresh signs that talks between Iran and the United States have stalled, while attention turned to central bank speeches at the ECB Sintra conference and expectation…
Chile's manufacturing production contracted 7.2% year-on-year in May, the largest fall since November 2022, the national statistics agency INE reported on Tuesday. The decline exceeded economist expectations of a 2.5% decrease and was led by a 10.9% fall in food manufacturing driven by reduced fish production amid adverse weather. Copper output als…
A legacy of non-performing loans from Greece’s debt crisis continues to restrict access to credit for roughly 1.5 million adults and is weighing on broader recovery. Legal disputes, protected primary residences used as collateral, and delays in servicing transfers have left an estimated €75 billion tied up, with many cases still working their way t…
Asian markets began the new quarter with caution as investors absorb large prior-quarter gains and ongoing, unproductive U.S.-Iran negotiations. Strong underlying economic data in Japan and South Korea support risk assets, while rising U.S. Treasury yields and dollar strength - including a 40-year high versus the yen - complicate the outlook ahead …
An analysis of standardized balance sheet data from S&P Global Market Intelligence covering 53 publicly traded business development companies (BDCs) finds the group moved into aggregate unprofitability in the first quarter of 2026. The shift is driven by writedowns on underlying loan portfolios - notably exposures to software firms - rising interes…
