Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,084 total articles
Analysts at Yardeni Research describe the U.S. economy since 2020 as "shock resistant," arguing that it has navigated a sequence of severe challenges without falling into a prolonged recession. They point to the brief, government-imposed downturn at the start of the pandemic as the shortest U.S. recession on record, and note that subsequent stresse…
U.S. equity futures were largely flat as investors awaited a busy week of corporate earnings, with concerns about potential disruptions from artificial intelligence weighing on sentiment. President Donald Trump’s 10% global tariffs took effect after a Supreme Court ruling curtailed his broader emergency-powers levies. Meanwhile, Paramount Skydance …
Barclays has slashed its peak sales projection for Novo Nordisk’s next-generation obesity treatment CagriSema to $2 billion from $12 billion after late-stage trial results revealed the drug underperformed Eli Lilly’s Zepbound. The data prompted notable analyst skepticism about CagriSema’s commercial prospects, large moves in both companies’ share p…
Investors are increasingly unsettled by a sequence of policy choices and abrupt regulatory actions in Indonesia that followed a downgrade of its sovereign outlook and criticism from an index provider. Market responses - including a weak government debt auction, a currency trading near record lows, and a lagging equity benchmark - suggest growing co…
India's statistics office will roll out a revised national accounts series on February 27 that changes how real GDP is calculated, adopting more granular price deflation and moving toward double deflation. The overhaul expands the set of items used to deflate nominal output from about 180 to roughly 500-600 drawn from a new consumer price index and…
With the State of the Union address imminent, the administration faces mixed public sentiment after 13 months defined by aggressive use of executive power, an overhaul of trade policy, heightened military posture abroad and a rollback of climate and regulatory measures at home. The president is expected to defend his record on the economy while nav…
U.S. President Donald Trump's revised global tariff was implemented at a 10% rate at midnight on Tuesday after the Supreme Court curtailed the use of emergency powers that underpinned many earlier levies. The tariff, issued under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, covers imports unless a specific exemption applies and will remain in force for 15…
The U.S. Supreme Court's rejection of emergency tariffs has prompted a sharp reaction from President Trump and left trade partners seeking clarity on previously negotiated terms. Asian governments, notably Japan and Taiwan, are pressing Washington for assurances. Meanwhile, China imposed export restrictions on certain Japanese entities, and regiona…
President Donald Trump is set to use his State of the Union address to highlight perceived economic gains and to announce measures intended to ease living expenses. The speech will carry the official theme 'America at 250: Strong, Prosperous and Respected,' and is expected to underscore tax cuts and efforts to lower prescription drug bills. The tim…
Gold reversed an earlier three-week high and fell as the U.S. dollar strengthened, a move that made dollar-priced bullion costlier for holders of other currencies. Comments on U.S. tariff policy and mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials added to market unease, while other precious metals and Asian equities also moved lower.
The dollar softened as Asian markets resumed trading following holidays, with renewed uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy weighing on global trade prospects. Market participants parsed Supreme Court pushback on emergency tariffs, fresh presidential threats to raise duties, reports of U.S. rate checks in currency markets and signals from Federal R…
China left its benchmark loan prime rates unchanged for a ninth consecutive month, keeping the one-year LPR at 3.00% and the five-year LPR at 3.50%. Authorities have signalled a preference for targeted policy measures and structural-tool adjustments - including a 25 basis-point cut last month - to shore up domestic demand amid an export-driven 2025…
A Reuters poll of economists forecasts the Bank of Korea will leave its policy rate at 2.50% at its February meeting and keep it unchanged through 2026. The unanimous view reflects concerns over currency weakness, rising housing prices and financial stability risks, even as consumer inflation sits at the central bank’s 2.0% target.
The White House is considering imposing a fresh set of national security tariffs across about six industrial categories following a Supreme Court decision that struck down much of earlier tariff authority. The proposed duties would be issued under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and are planned to be separate from recently announced …
USD1, a stablecoin tied to the Trump family-backed World Liberty Financial, slipped to roughly $0.994 on Monday before regaining value and trading near $0.9994. World Liberty said its teams repelled a coordinated attack and that no smart contracts or wallets supporting USD1 or WLFI were hacked, though some co-founders' X accounts were accessed with…
U.S. equities tumbled on renewed tariff uncertainty after a U.S. court decision and an immediate presidential response introducing a temporary 15% global levy. Concurrent concerns about stress in the software and private credit sectors amplified risk aversion, sending money into Treasuries, gold and safe-haven currencies while oil rose to six-month…
A senior Reserve Bank of Australia official said the central bank is analysing underlying inflation measures built from new monthly consumer price data to determine whether a monthly-based gauge might eventually replace the quarterly measure it currently favours. The RBA will continue to prioritise the quarterly trimmed mean for now, and any change…
Rating firm Morningstar DBRS reports a deterioration in private credit quality, with downgrades reaching 3.3 times upgrades in February and defaults rising to 4%. The agency cites margin compression across sectors and rising debt levels as reasons for a negative outlook for 2026, while noting limited current impact from AI disruption on rated softw…
Senior Pentagon officials have cautioned President Trump that plans for military operations against Iran carry significant risks. Military leaders, including Gen. Dan Caine, told officials that options ranging from limited strikes to multi-day aerial campaigns could result in U.S. and allied casualties, heavy use of scarce air-defense munitions, an…
The average U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate retreated to 5.99% on Monday, the lowest level since 2022, as investors moved into bonds following a stock market sell-off. Cooling inflation, tariff uncertainty and signs of economic weakness in recent GDP data contributed to the decline in yields. Refinancing activity has risen sharply year-over-year a…
A New York Federal Reserve measure of underlying inflation rose in December, driven by stronger services (excluding housing) and goods prices. The increase to 2.8% from 2.4% complicates the Federal Reserve's effort to return inflation to its 2% target, amid debates over the impact of large-scale import tariffs and evolving signals from other trimme…
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde told an audience in Washington that Europe does not need to lead in frontier AI model development to reap economic rewards. Instead, she argued the region can capture significant gains by embedding AI across manufacturing and industrial processes — areas where European firms already show relative st…
The U.S. Supreme Court struck down the legal basis for President Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs that had been justified on national emergency grounds. In response, the administration has set a temporary 15% global tariff as a new baseline. That shift eases the burden on some nations such as China and Brazil compared with prior U.S. tariff rates, whil…
The U.S. Supreme Court on Feb. 23 declined to revive a National Rifle Association lawsuit accusing Maria Vullo, the former superintendent of New York’s Department of Financial Services, of pressuring banks and insurers to cut ties with the gun rights group. The dispute traces back to a 2018 mass shooting in Parkland, Florida, and centers on whether…
The UK government does not expect U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly announced 15% global tariff to affect the majority of trade covered by last year’s UK-U.S. economic agreement, Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s spokesman said. British and U.S. officials are set to continue discussions this week after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down previous tari…
