Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,084 total articles
Citi strategists warn that artificial intelligence is likely to become a significant macroeconomic force over time, but emphasize that the timing of material labor-market disruption is highly uncertain. The firm says current labor data show limited broad-based impact, implementation challenges and energy constraints will delay large-scale deploymen…
Block Inc. announced a 40% reduction in its workforce as CEO Jack Dorsey described a move toward an "AI-native future." The decision came days after a hypothetical scenario analysis on AI-driven job losses circulated widely, sparking debate among academics, market strategists and policymakers. Company leadership said the cut is strategic, not a res…
U.S. stock index futures fell as renewed concerns about artificial intelligence pressured technology names, leaving the Nasdaq on track for its steepest monthly fall since March 2025. Traders were also digesting tariff uncertainty after recent legal and policy moves, and awaited January producer price data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s…
A sharp rally in global gold prices over the past year has added roughly $300 billion to the value of Turkey’s privately held gold, lifting the total national stock to more than $750 billion and creating a pronounced wealth effect that has supported spending despite annual inflation above 30%. The concentration of that wealth outside the banking sy…
U.S. stock futures moved lower on Friday as growing anxiety about artificial intelligence put pressure on technology shares and the Nasdaq faced its largest monthly decline since March 2025. Investors also contended with renewed tariff uncertainty after the U.S. Supreme Court voided most duties imposed last year and a temporary global tariff took e…
A nationwide Reuters/Ipsos poll finds a majority of U.S. adults disagree with President Donald Trump’s assertion that the economy is booming and that inflation has been defeated. The survey reveals deep concerns about the cost of living, limited public awareness of some White House proposals, and partisan divisions that could matter ahead of the No…
As Wall Street looks toward next week’s U.S. jobs report and remaining corporate results, anxiety over artificial intelligence continues to shape market behavior. The technology’s potential to transform business models has pressured shares across software, wealth management and real estate services, while investors await February employment data, B…
India’s economy expanded 7.8% in the October-December quarter year-on-year, the government reported as it released a revised national accounts series. The National Statistics Office also raised its real GDP growth projection for the fiscal year ending March to 7.6% from earlier estimates, reflecting methodological updates that expand sectoral cover…
India's economy expanded by 7.8% in the October-December quarter compared with the same period a year earlier, the government reported, following the launch of a revised national output series. For the fiscal year ending March, the National Statistics Office now expects growth of 7.6%, higher than the 7.4% forecast under the previous data series. T…
Rubric Capital, a $3 billion hedge fund founded by a former Point72 manager, told investors in a Feb. 18 letter that some business development companies (BDCs) are moving borrowings off their balance sheets around quarter end to make leverage look lower, then returning the debt days later. The letter alleges use of repo-like loans from a single inv…
This week brings several high‑impact data points and policy events that will shape market sentiment ahead of a critical central bank meeting. Key items include the U.S. February payrolls report, an OPEC+ production review, China’s National People’s Congress, Japanese bond auctions, and a contentious Mexican reform bill — all unfolding amid heighten…
China's currency has strengthened sharply against the U.S. dollar, driven by robust exports and a softer dollar environment. The People’s Bank of China has begun to adjust policy levers - including removing risk reserve requirements for forex forwards - and can use several other instruments to slow appreciation and manage market expectations.
Preliminary regional data for February show inflation cooling in multiple German states, with North Rhine-Westphalia dropping below 2% year-on-year and Bavaria and Lower Saxony easing to 1.9%. A harmonised national inflation figure is due at 2 p.m. (1300 GMT), with economists surveyed expecting no change from January's 2.1%.
The European Central Bank's monthly Consumer Expectations Survey for January found that euro zone households trimmed projected inflation for the year ahead and for the five-year horizon, while income growth expectations edged higher and broader economic growth expectations held steady. The results reflect subdued inflationary pressures driven by lo…
U.S. equity futures were lower as traders digested a set of influential technology earnings and corporate developments. Paramount Skydance has emerged as the front-runner in the contest for Warner Bros. Discovery after Netflix withdrew its rival proposal. AI startup Anthropic and the U.S. Defense Department are at an impasse over requested removals…
Germany recorded a marginal increase in the number of unemployed people in February, with seasonally adjusted figures rising by 1,000 to reach 2.977 million. The unemployment rate held steady at 6.3%. Analysts had anticipated a larger rise of about 2,000. Labour office chief Andrea Nahles said the labour market has yet to regain momentum, while Cha…
India says it aims to secure the most advantageous trade deal with the United States but will hold off on final commitments while Washington’s tariff strategy is unsettled. Trade Minister Piyush Goyal emphasized New Delhi’s interest in constructive engagement even as the U.S. implements temporary duties and the legal basis for sweeping tariffs has …
China’s Politburo said on Feb 27 that the country needs more proactive and effective economic policies and improved coordination across measures. It advocated continuing a proactive fiscal stance and a moderately accommodative monetary policy, prioritising stability in employment, businesses and markets, and boosting the domestic market. Official d…
Facing intensified scrutiny from populist and unconventional political forces, central bankers in the United States, Europe and Japan are taking steps to defend institutional independence. Those efforts range from public resistance to early resignations designed to limit political influence. The push-back aims to protect anti-inflation credibility …
A poll of a dozen economists conducted between February 23 and February 27 indicates Indonesia's trade surplus likely widened to a median $2.76 billion in January, up from $2.52 billion in December. Exports grew by an estimated 11.07% year-on-year while imports rose 13.23%, and headline inflation is forecast to accelerate to 4.31% in February.
A risk-averse tone gripped global markets as lofty technology valuations collided with a series of geopolitical flashpoints. Nvidia posted results that, while impressive on the surface, fell short of the expectations baked into industry valuations. Traditional havens such as the Japanese yen and U.S. Treasuries strengthened, crude oil ticked higher…
A Reuters poll of nine economists indicated South Korea's exports likely rose for a ninth consecutive month in February, led by a sharp jump in semiconductor shipments driven by global AI-related investment. The median forecast predicted a 24.0% year-on-year increase, with imports also expected to accelerate and the trade surplus widening to about …
Economists say a surge in productivity from artificial intelligence could slow the pace of government debt accumulation in major economies, but it is unlikely to resolve underlying fiscal pressures. High debt-to-GDP ratios, ageing populations and growing expenditure needs mean AI is more likely to buy time than deliver a definitive fix. Outcomes hi…
Currency markets in February were dominated by expectations about central bank policy rather than broader market volatility. The Australian dollar is set for one of the strongest monthly gains among G10 peers as investors price a more hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia. The Japanese yen slipped amid political developments that cloud the Bank of Japa…
China's central bank said it will eliminate the foreign exchange risk reserve applied to certain currency forwards, lowering the effective cost for institutions that buy U.S. dollars via these instruments. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) will reduce the requirement from 20% to zero for financial institutions purchasing foreign exchange through fo…
