Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
A sudden rise in oil prices tied to an intensifying U.S.-Israeli war with Iran has further reduced the prospect of an interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. The move in energy markets has pushed gasoline costs higher, prompted Fed officials to lift inflation projections, and diminished near-term odds of monetary easing, complicating th…
The European Central Bank left its main interest rate at 2% on Thursday and flagged that the war in Iran is weighing on the outlook for growth and inflation across the euro zone. Short-dated sovereign yields moved sharply higher, the euro strengthened modestly against the dollar, and European equities fell amid renewed selling linked to the Middle …
The European Central Bank raised its baseline inflation forecasts on higher energy costs and signalled additional downside risk to growth if a prolonged conflict in the Middle East disrupts oil and gas supplies. The ECB now projects 2026 inflation at 2.6% and 2027 inflation at 2.0%, both above previous December estimates, and will publish alternati…
The European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged on Thursday, maintaining the deposit facility at 2.0%, main refinancing at 2.15% and marginal lending at 2.4%. In its statement, the ECB flagged that a joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran has made the outlook "significantly more uncertain," highlighting higher energy prices - notably natural …
The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on March 19, citing close monitoring of growth and inflation risks arising from a recent spike in energy prices after the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran began on February 28. The bank said it stands ready to adjust its tools if the situation threatens to lift inflation persistently above its 2% targ…
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said meetings between President Trump’s Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh and U.S. senators have been productive, but he would not address whether a federal probe involving the current Fed chair will be discontinued. Warsh’s path to confirmation remains uncertain after a top Republican senator pledged to blo…
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to keep Bank Rate at 3.75%, citing elevated inflation risks stemming from the war in the Middle East. BoE staff project inflation could rise to as much as 3.5% over the next two calendar quarters, and committee members expressed differing views on whether future hikes may be required…
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to keep interest rates unchanged amid uncertainty over inflationary pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict. Markets reacted by pricing in a higher probability of BoE tightening later this year, pushing up short-dated gilt yields and supporting sterling.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business Network that Washington is not targeting Iran's energy infrastructure amid tensions with Iran and Israel, and that the administration may lift sanctions on Iranian oil currently on water in the coming days. He also said the U.S. has allowed Iranian oil to keep flowing from the Gulf, flagged ab…
Chinese authorities have arrested seven people and taken compulsory measures against 12 more in a campaign focused on chemicals used to make fentanyl, state media reported. The operation in Hubei province produced 22 criminal cases and was launched in December following a public security ministry order. The move responds to longstanding U.S. pressu…
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has declared he will withhold support for a €90 billion EU aid package for Ukraine until oil deliveries through the Druzhba pipeline are re-established. Backed by Slovakia, Hungary has vetoed release of loans Kyiv needs in the coming months and frames the dispute as an existential issue tied to the pipeline dam…
Serbia has extended a nationwide suspension on exports of crude oil, diesel and gasoline until April 2, the Energy Minister said on Thursday. The measure, aimed at shielding the domestic market from shortages and rising pump prices linked to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, applies to all modes of transport. The government also released 40,000 tonnes …
Swiss watch shipments rose in February, with value exports reaching 2.2 billion Swiss francs, a 9.2% increase compared with February 2025. Growth was concentrated in the United States, Japan and France, while the Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry says impacts from the Iran war have not yet appeared in trade flows.
London equities fell sharply as renewed conflict in the Middle East pushed investors toward risk-off positions. The FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 both posted sizable declines while energy stocks reached record highs after attacks on regional energy infrastructure. Market participants awaited the Bank of England's policy decision, expected to pause on a pre…
Global market expectations have shifted toward a protracted Iran conflict, with investors now anticipating months rather than weeks of sustained tensions, according to Vincent Mortier, Chief Investment Officer at Amundi SA. The change in outlook coincided with sharp price moves in oil and gas on Thursday after attacks in the Persian Gulf raised con…
The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) held its policy rate at 2.00%, with all monetary policy committee members voting to maintain the current setting. Officials raised the 2026 inflation forecast to 1.8% but indicated inflation is unlikely to force a policy response, citing government measures to curb the domestic impact of rising glo…
The United Arab Emirates has reiterated its pledge to a $1.4 trillion investment framework with the United States, with the UAE ambassador to Washington assuring companies that funding deployment and acceleration plans will proceed despite recent attacks linked to the wider Iran conflict. The ambassador highlighted hefty sovereign reserves, extensi…
U.S. bank regulators are scheduled to publish a softened draft of long-delayed capital rules on Thursday. The Federal Reserve, the FDIC and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency plan to begin a formal comment process on revisions to the Basel Endgame and propose adjustments to the GSIB surcharge, changes that analysts say could modestly red…
Defense personnel, contractors and some agency officials are resisting the Pentagon’s directive to remove Anthropic’s Claude AI tools after the company was labeled a supply-chain risk. Users say Claude outperforms available alternatives, was embedded quickly after a $200 million contract in July 2025, and that replacing it will be costly and slow -…
A series of missile and drone strikes on energy infrastructure across the Middle East has driven steep gains in oil and gas benchmarks, as markets price in the risk of broader supply interruptions. Key LNG facilities in Qatar were hit, Saudi refineries targeted and Kuwait reported damage at Mina Abdullah, prompting a scramble for cargoes and intens…
China's industry minister Li Lecheng held a roundtable with small- and medium-sized enterprises in the new materials sector, calling for accelerated breakthroughs in core materials and greater self-reliance. The ministry highlighted priorities including advanced basic materials, critical strategic materials, cutting-edge new materials and the inter…
Iranian lawmakers are debating legislation that would permit Tehran to charge tolls and taxes on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz for shipping, energy shipments and food supplies. The proposal comes amid disruptions to maritime traffic by Iran and comments from a senior adviser signaling post-war plans to tighten control over passage for sta…
U.S. equity futures fell after crude oil jumped amid heightened hostilities in the Middle East, intensifying inflation concerns and reinforcing the Federal Reserve's restrained stance on rate cuts this year. Weak premarket moves in memory-chip names followed a strong but costly forecast from Micron Technology, while energy-driven pressure hit trave…
Citi's economic surprise index has recorded 14 consecutive months of positive readings, marking the longest run of upside surprises since the 2008-09 financial crisis. The measure, positive since January 2025, is poised to overtake its post-Covid-19 streak to become the second-longest on record. Analysts warn the recent war in the Middle East and h…
A fresh round of attacks on oil and gas facilities in the Middle East sent crude and LNG prices sharply higher on Thursday, weighing on U.S. equity futures and stoking inflation concerns. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and kept a possible rate cut later this year on the table, though Chair Jerome Powell urged caution in treating …
