Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,101 total articles
A new Brookings Institution paper by Stanford economist Darrell Duffie lays out a multi-step approach the Federal Reserve could use to reduce its balance sheet. The plan focuses on lowering the financial sector's appetite for reserves through regulatory adjustments, changes to the Fed's payment system, tiered interest on reserves and more frequent …
Japan’s services producer price index advanced 2.7% in February from a year earlier, up from January’s 2.6% gain, with labour-intensive sectors such as hotels and construction showing price increases. The data supports the Bank of Japan’s emphasis on wage- and services-led inflation as the criterion for further rate hikes after the end of its prolo…
The U.S. dollar maintained strength in early Asian trade as investors looked for signs that the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran might cool. Traders also trimmed the odds of another Federal Reserve rate increase this year after a spike in energy prices prompted fresh scrutiny of inflation paths. Key currency pairs and market indicators showed limite…
A senior Reserve Bank of Australia official warned that an extended Middle East conflict would increase economic harm and that policymakers must prevent a spike in energy prices from shifting longer-term inflation expectations. The RBA has lifted rates to 4.1% amid persistent inflation and the disruption to global oil trade that pushed petrol to re…
An anti-vaccine organization tied to Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has filed a petition asking HHS to broaden the Vaccine Injury Table from 47 entries to include over 300 injuries it says are linked to vaccines. The petition relies on government-commissioned reports that describe adverse event associations, and it includes a 60-day notice …
Global equity benchmarks rose broadly while oil prices and government bond yields eased after reports suggested movement toward a U.S.-Iran agreement. The MSCI All Country index recorded its largest gain in six weeks as investors reassessed risk and the implications for energy-driven inflation and interest-rate expectations.
The Financial Stability Oversight Council voted Wednesday to raise the bar for labeling non-bank entities such as hedge funds and investment companies as systemically important. The change scales back a Biden-era framework and aims to rely more on existing regulatory tools, a move met with criticism from Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren who cite…
President Trump rebuffed a request from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to jointly call on Iranians to take to the streets, arguing that urging protests could expose civilians to lethal danger. The exchange, reported by Axios and based on U.S. and Israeli sources, underscores divergent U.S.-Israel views on whether promoting regime change …
The Bank of France has cut its growth forecast for 2026 and raised its inflation outlook after incorporating higher energy prices linked to the Iran war. Its updated projections include adverse and severe scenarios for the French economy, and still suggest consumer price growth will remain below 2% next year even in the most extreme case. The centr…
President Volodymyr Zelenskiy told Reuters that Ukrainian military intelligence reviewed data indicating Russia continues to share intelligence with Iran. Zelenskiy said Moscow offered to stop its intelligence transfers to Tehran if the United States ceased providing intelligence to Ukraine, a move he characterized as blackmail. He also said some I…
Iran's parliament speaker said intelligence indicates that 'enemies' are planning to occupy an Iranian island with support from an unnamed regional country. He warned that Iranian forces are monitoring movements and vowed to strike that state's vital infrastructure with continuous attacks if action is taken. The statement did not name the country o…
A.P. Moller-Maersk board chair Robert Maersk Uggla told shareholders that the Gulf region faces a significant need to import food, much of it moved in refrigerated containers, and that the company is seeking alternate routes after the Strait of Hormuz was closed amid recent regional hostilities. The closure and associated attacks have brought Gulf …
The Federal Reserve reported a total comprehensive loss of $19.6 billion for 2025 in its audited financial statement, a marked improvement from the $77.5 billion loss in 2024 and the $114.6 billion loss in 2023. The central bank’s losses continue to reflect the consequences of an enlarged balance sheet built through large Treasury and mortgage bond…
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the ECB stands prepared to raise interest rates should a projected increase in euro zone inflation prove larger than temporary. Speaking at a conference in Frankfurt, Lagarde flagged the risk of a communication breakdown if the bank did not respond to a clear overshoot and reiterated that a mea…
Analysts at BofA Securities warn that a sustained, moderate increase in energy prices could push the Federal Reserve toward a more hawkish policy stance. The strategists say West Texas Intermediate trading in an $80 to $100 per barrel range this year would make rate hikes more plausible, while a temporary, large oil spike or a market-driven demand …
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is accelerating efforts to approve Israel's state budget before a March 31 deadline that, if missed, would trigger snap elections. Despite hopes in his camp that the opening strikes against Iran - including the attack that killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei - might shift public support and allow a June ballot, polls sho…
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has asked Federal Reserve official Randall Guynn to explain how he will address potential conflicts of interest tied to his long career representing major banks now that he has been assigned to a senior role overseeing the banking industry. The Fed acknowledged receipt of Warren's letter but offered no further comment.
Iran has refused a 15-point peace proposal put forward by the United States, Iranian state television reported. Tehran says its defensive operations will persist until specific conditions are satisfied and has communicated to regional mediators that it will not accept a U.S.-imposed timeline for ending hostilities. Iranian broadcaster PressTV liste…
Mortgage borrowing costs rose sharply last week, pushing the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to 6.43% in the week ended March 20. Rising oil prices tied to the Iran war have driven Treasury yields higher, eroding refinance incentives and weighing on both purchase and refinance loan applications, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.
President Donald Trump on Wednesday named the inaugural members of his President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, appointing a series of well-known figures from the technology sector. The council will be co-chaired by David Sacks and Michael Kratsios and is charged with advising on policies to strengthen U.S. leadership in science a…
Bank of England rate-setter Megan Greene said she was not close to voting for an interest rate increase at the Monetary Policy Committee meeting this month, which she said was dominated by concerns over the economic effects of the conflict in the Middle East. Speaking at an event hosted by Jefferies, Greene reiterated that she was not tempted to hi…
Iran has turned down a U.S. proposal for a ceasefire, telling Iranian state-linked media that a truce and negotiations are not feasible under current conditions. The refusal came despite what Iran described as intensified American efforts to secure a pause in fighting. Reports from regional and international outlets indicate diplomatic activity, in…
A new ADP Research report finds only 22% of workers worldwide strongly believe their jobs are safe from elimination. The Today at Work 2026, Issue 1 survey of more than 39,000 adults across 36 markets shows the greatest insecurity among lower-paid, repetitive-task workers and lower-level employees. The study links job-security perceptions to engage…
A quarterly Federal Reserve survey of 473 chief financial officers found improving economic expectations through early 2026, with firms projecting revenue growth, modest hiring and price increases. The survey - conducted by the Federal Reserve banks of Atlanta and Richmond with Duke University Fuqua School of Business from February 17 to March 5 - …
UBS’s Chief Investment Office moved Eurozone equities to a neutral stance and cut its 2026 earnings growth outlook to 5% from 7%, citing the risk that ongoing interruptions to energy supplies could derail a hoped-for manufacturing rebound. At the same time, the bank upgraded Swiss equities and European health care to Attractive and reiterated secto…
