Stock Markets March 16, 2026 07:30 AM

U.S. Futures Rise as Geopolitical Tensions Continue; Meta, Sable Offshore Lead Premarket Moves

Investors react to extended U.S.-Israeli operations in Iran while individual stock headlines drive early trading flows

By Priya Menon NVDA
U.S. Futures Rise as Geopolitical Tensions Continue; Meta, Sable Offshore Lead Premarket Moves
NVDA

U.S. stock futures opened higher as markets factored in a third week of a U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran. Premarket movers included gains for Meta and Sable Offshore, modest strength for major oil producers, a lift for Nvidia ahead of a keynote, and a pullback in CF Industries after valuation concerns were flagged by analysts.

Key Points

  • U.S. futures rose Monday morning with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures all posting gains as markets factor in the third week of U.S.-Israeli operations in Iran.
  • Meta climbed premarket on reports it is considering layoffs affecting more than 20% of its workforce as it increases spending on AI infrastructure; Nvidia ticked higher ahead of CEO Jensen Huang's developers conference keynote.
  • Energy and commodity-linked names were active: Sable Offshore jumped after a directive to reopen the Santa Ynez Unit and pipeline, while Chevron and Exxon Mobil were modestly higher amid volatile crude trading; CF Industries eased after analysts warned its valuation looked overstretched following a rally in fertilizer stocks.

U.S. stock futures were higher Monday morning as traders continued to price in the unfolding U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran, now entering its third week. By 07:07 ET (11:07 GMT), the Dow futures contract was up 225 points, or 0.5%. The S&P 500 futures had risen roughly 46 points, or 0.7%, and Nasdaq 100 futures had gained about 198 points, or 0.8%.

Several individual names stood out ahead of the cash open as market participants reacted to company-specific developments and broader commodity moves.

Meta moved higher in premarket trading after reports indicated the company is weighing large-scale layoffs affecting more than a fifth of its workforce as it increases spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure. The headline sent shares up before U.S. markets opened.

Sable Offshore posted a sharp premarket advance of more than 6.4% after Energy Secretary Chris Wright directed the company to resume operations at the Santa Ynez Unit and the Santa Ynez Pipeline System in California. That operational directive was a clear catalyst for the stock's move.

Major oil producers Chevron and Exxon Mobil traded slightly higher amid choppy moves in crude markets, reflecting ongoing volatility in energy prices as geopolitical developments continued to unfold.

Nvidia shares ticked up in early trading as market participants awaited a keynote speech from CEO Jensen Huang at the semiconductor group's annual developers conference. The event is a focal point for investors watching artificial intelligence hardware leaders.

Shares of CF Industries slipped in premarket action after analysts at Scotiabank flagged the stock's valuation as looking "overstretched," pointing to a rally in fertilizer-related equities since the start of the Iran conflict.

Overall, the premarket session reflected a mix of geopolitically driven risk sentiment and company-level news, with technology, energy, and fertilizer-linked names showing some of the clearest early movement.


  • Market context: Futures were higher as investors absorbed an extension of a U.S.-Israeli military campaign in the Middle East.
  • Notable movers: Meta, Sable Offshore, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Nvidia, CF Industries.
  • Sectors impacted: Technology (AI hardware and software), energy (oil production and pipelines), and agricultural chemicals (fertilizers).

Risks

  • Geopolitical risk - Ongoing U.S.-Israeli military action in Iran introduces sustained uncertainty for energy markets and broader investor sentiment, affecting energy and commodity-linked sectors.
  • Valuation risk - Analysts flagged elevated valuations in fertilizer stocks, indicating potential downside for companies like CF Industries if market sentiment reverses.
  • Event risk - Company-specific developments and planned public presentations, such as Nvidia's CEO keynote, can trigger short-term volatility in technology and semiconductor stocks.

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