Stock Markets February 3, 2026

Stephens Flags Consumer Names Poised to Outperform in 2026 Best Ideas Report

Analysts point to brand strength, pricing power and company-specific execution as drivers for Signet, Boyd Group, Bunge, SunOpta and Wingstop

By Ajmal Hussain
Stephens Flags Consumer Names Poised to Outperform in 2026 Best Ideas Report

Stephens Research’s 2026 Best Ideas list highlights a selection of consumer-focused companies the firm expects to outperform peers next year. The brokerage emphasizes that durable brands, the ability to raise prices and idiosyncratic operational improvements - rather than broad macro trends - underpin the call. Top picks span specialty retail, consumer services, food and agribusiness, packaged foods and restaurants, with Stephens citing margin expansion, market-share gains and demand tailwinds as the primary routes to excess returns in 2026.

Key Points

  • Stephens sees consumer-sector outperformance in 2026 driven by brand strength, pricing power and company-specific execution rather than macro trends.
  • Top picks span specialty retail, consumer services, food and agribusiness, packaged foods and restaurants, each with distinct operational catalysts for margin or market-share improvement.
  • Expected drivers include Signet’s fashion focus and lab-grown diamonds adoption, Boyd Group’s consolidation and Project 360 savings, Bunge’s Viterra merger-related diversification, SunOpta’s plant-based exposure and capacity gains, and Wingstop’s digital and kitchen rollout supporting throughput and frequency.

Stephens Research is bullish on select consumer stocks for 2026, arguing that a combination of entrenched brand positions, pricing flexibility and company-level execution can drive outperformance independent of the wider economic cycle. The brokerage’s Best Ideas report identifies winners across specialty retail, services, food and agriculture, packaged foods and restaurants, expecting these names to outpace their industry peers through margin improvement, market-share gains or favorable demand dynamics.

Below is a company-by-company breakdown of Stephens’ top consumer recommendations and the specific operational levers the analysts say support upside in 2026.


Signet Jewelers - Specialty Retail / Consumer

Stephens picks Signet Jewelers as its leading idea within the consumer and consumer automotive ecosystem category, framing the company as an underappreciated turnaround opportunity. The brokerage points to a renewed emphasis on fashion jewelry, rising acceptance of lab-grown diamonds, and stronger merchandising under new leadership as primary catalysts. Stephens also highlights Signet’s relatively low leverage and a sizable opportunity to grow share in a large, fragmented fashion-jewelry market. Taken together, these factors form the basis for the firm’s expectation of margin expansion and a multiple re-rating for Signet in 2026.


Boyd Group Services - Consumer Services

Within business and consumer services, Stephens singles out Boyd Group as its top idea, noting improving industry fundamentals and company-led self-help measures. The analysts call attention to a normalization in repairable insurance claims and easing pressures on premiums, which should remove a headwind for the business. They also flag Project 360, a cost-savings initiative, as a source of margin upside. Stephens emphasizes Boyd’s strategy as a consolidator in a fragmented collision repair market and expects accelerating EBITDA growth and better returns as acquisition synergies are realized.


Bunge Global - Food & Agribusiness / Consumer Staples

Stephens identifies Bunge Global as its top idea in the food and agribusiness category, focusing on the transformational potential of the company’s merger with Viterra. The combined platform is described as delivering greater diversification across crops, geographies and value chains, which Stephens believes will enhance earnings stability and cash-flow generation. The report also highlights Bunge’s exposure to renewable fuels, disciplined risk management and the prospective realization of synergies as reasons the company could convert commodity volatility into shareholder value through 2026 and beyond.


SunOpta - Packaged Food & Beverage

In packaged food and beverage, Stephens names SunOpta as its top pick, citing the company’s exposure to fast-growing plant-based and better-for-you categories. Key operational positives include a coast-to-coast manufacturing footprint, rising capacity utilization and the potential for margin expansion. The analysts note that new equipment coming online should support volume and that SunOpta will likely need limited incremental growth capital expenditures. Based on these dynamics, Stephens forecasts high-single-digit revenue growth and improving profitability for SunOpta in 2026.


Wingstop - Restaurants / Consumer Discretionary

Stephens highlights Wingstop as its preferred restaurant idea, viewing 2026 as an inflection year after a difficult 2025. The brokerage points to several execution-focused drivers: scope for gains in brand awareness, higher visit frequency and improved throughput tied to the rollout of Wingstop Smart Kitchen and other data-driven digital initiatives. Coupled with an asset-light franchise model and strong unit economics, Stephens expects the rapidly scaling digital ecosystem and improved operational execution to support sustained same-store sales and unit growth.


Across these recommendations, Stephens frames outperformance as a product of company-level initiatives - merchandising and product mix in retail, cost programs and consolidation in services, scale and diversification in agribusiness, capacity and category exposure in packaged foods, and digital and operational initiatives in restaurants. The report underscores that the path to 2026 upside differs by name but centers on improved margins, market-share capture or structural demand trends.

Readers should note that the report’s conclusions rest on the specific levers and assumptions Stephens lays out for each company, such as synergy realization, capital discipline and successful execution of new initiatives. The analysts’ views are forward-looking and contingent on those factors playing out as anticipated.

Risks

  • Synergy realization risk - several recommendations, notably Bunge and Boyd Group, rely on the successful integration of acquisitions and the delivery of expected cost or revenue synergies, which may not occur as planned.
  • Execution risk - margin expansion and multiple re-rating for names such as Signet and SunOpta depend on management-led merchandising changes, capacity utilization and capital deployment that could underperform expectations.
  • Demand and insurance normalization uncertainty - Boyd Group’s outlook partly rests on a normalization of repairable insurance claims and easing premium pressure; if these trends do not materialize, margin recovery could be delayed.

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