Stock Markets February 5, 2026

NIO Forecasts First Adjusted Operating Profit in Q4 2025 on Strong Deliveries and Cost Cuts

Chinese EV maker cites higher deliveries, improved product mix and efficiency gains as drivers of a sizeable quarterly turnaround

By Avery Klein
NIO Forecasts First Adjusted Operating Profit in Q4 2025 on Strong Deliveries and Cost Cuts

NIO said it expects to report its first adjusted operating profit for the fourth quarter of 2025, forecasting 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan, as deliveries surged and vehicle margins improved. The company attributed the swing from a year-earlier adjusted operating loss to higher sales, a more favourable product mix, and ongoing cost reductions; its U.S.-listed shares rose more than 8% in premarket trading.

Key Points

  • NIO forecasts its first adjusted operating profit for Q4 2025, estimating 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan compared with an adjusted operating loss of 5.54 billion yuan a year earlier.
  • Deliveries accelerated to 124,807 in Q4 (up 72% year-on-year) and 326,028 for the full year (up 47%), led by premium models ET5 and ES6 and the midyear launch of the Firefly subcompact EV.
  • Company performance reflects higher sales, a more favourable product mix improving vehicle margins, and ongoing cost-cutting and efficiency measures; U.S.-listed shares rose more than 8% in premarket trading.

Chinese electric-vehicle manufacturer NIO said on Thursday it anticipates posting an adjusted operating profit for the fourth quarter of 2025, marking the first time the company will report a positive adjusted operating result for a quarter.

Management provided a quarterly adjusted operating profit range of 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan, compared with an adjusted operating loss of 5.54 billion yuan in the same quarter a year earlier. The company framed the expected turnaround as the result of rising vehicle deliveries, an improved product mix that raised vehicle margins, and continued efforts to lower costs and enhance operational efficiency.

NIO reported delivering 124,807 vehicles in the fourth quarter, a 72% increase from the prior-year quarter. For the full year, the automaker delivered 326,028 vehicles, representing a 47% year-on-year rise. The company said the annual growth was largely driven by demand for its premium models, including the ET5 and ES6, and by beginning deliveries of the lower-cost Firefly subcompact EV midway through the year, which broadened its customer base and contributed incremental volume.

Investors reacted positively to the guidance: NIO's U.S.-listed shares rose more than 8% in premarket trading. The company noted that the improvement in its quarterly results reflects both top-line growth from stronger deliveries and bottom-line gains from a more favourable mix and continued efficiency measures.

NIO has also been streamlining operations amid fierce competition and an extended price war in China’s crowded electric vehicle market. The company said it would continue to advance its operations within Europe, following the European Commission's announcement of conditions under which China-made electric vehicles could replace EU tariffs with minimum price plans. The company reiterated those plans as it looks to expand its presence in the region.

Exchange rate used in the company's disclosure: $1 = 6.9414 Chinese yuan renminbi.


Key points

  • NIO expects adjusted operating profit of 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan in Q4 2025, versus an adjusted operating loss of 5.54 billion yuan a year earlier.
  • Q4 deliveries rose to 124,807 vehicles, up 72% year-on-year; full-year deliveries were 326,028, up 47% year-on-year, helped by demand for premium models and the midyear launch of the Firefly subcompact EV.
  • Company actions include cost reductions and operational streamlining amid intense competition and a prolonged price war in China; NIO plans to continue advancing its European operations under new regulatory conditions.

Risks and uncertainties

  • Ongoing intense competition and a prolonged price war in China could continue to pressure margins and volumes in the domestic EV sector.
  • The projected turnaround depends on sustained delivery growth and a favourable product mix; any deceleration in deliveries or deterioration in mix could affect profitability.
  • Regulatory conditions in Europe remain a factor as the company pursues expansion there; implementation details of the European Commission's framework could influence market access and pricing strategies.

Risks

  • Continued intense competition and a prolonged price war in China could maintain pressure on margins and market share, affecting the automotive and EV sectors.
  • The profitability improvement depends on sustained delivery volume and favourable product mix; a slowdown in deliveries or an adverse mix shift could reduce margins and earnings for the automotive sector.
  • Expansion into Europe is contingent on regulatory conditions set by the European Commission; changes in implementation could alter market access or pricing strategies for China-made EVs, affecting the international automotive market.

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