Stock Markets April 8, 2026

Markets Rally as Two-Week Ceasefire Boosts UK Equities; Pound Tops $1.34

FTSE 100 and European bourses gain after U.S.-Iran truce; Halifax reports a fall in UK house prices and Shell flags large working capital outflows

By Nina Shah SHEL
Markets Rally as Two-Week Ceasefire Boosts UK Equities; Pound Tops $1.34
SHEL

Global markets strengthened after an announced two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, lifting British shares and the pound. The FTSE 100 rose 2.7% by early trading, while Germany’s DAX jumped sharply and France’s CAC 40 advanced. UK housing data from Halifax showed a small monthly decline in house prices, and Shell reported higher indicative refining margins but warned of significant working capital outflows. Renishaw named a new CFO effective April 13, 2026.

Key Points

  • Global risk sentiment improved after a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire, lifting major European indices and the pound.
  • UK house prices fell 0.5% in March to an average of 299,677, with annual growth slowing to 0.8%; mortgage market sentiment is being affected by inflation and energy price concerns.
  • Shell reported Q1 2026 indicative refining margins of $17/barrel but warned of a large working capital outflow between -$15 billion and -$10 billion; Renishaw appointed John Shipsey as CFO effective April 13, 2026.

London stocks firmed on Wednesday as a ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran catalysed a broad market rally, pushing the blue-chip FTSE 100 higher and strengthening sterling against the dollar.

By 0704 GMT the FTSE 100 was up 2.7%. The British pound appreciated 1.04% versus the dollar to 1.3430. Elsewhere in Europe, Germany’s DAX recorded a strong advance of 5.2%, and France’s CAC 40 climbed 1.8%.

The ceasefire announcement was made publicly by President Donald Trump on Truth Social, where he wrote: "...I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE! The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East,"


UK round-up and political reaction

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is travelling to the Middle East to meet with allies and back ceasefire efforts following the overnight agreement. He has welcomed the ceasefire, saying it will provide a measure of relief for the region and the wider world. During his trip, Starmer plans to focus on negotiations to ensure that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz - a vital corridor for global oil shipments - is sustained on a permanent basis.

Housing market update

Halifax reported a 0.5% decline in UK house prices in March, leaving the average property price at 299,677. This drop follows a 0.3% rise in February, and annual price growth eased to 0.8% from 1.2% the previous month.

Amanda Bryden, Head of Mortgages at Halifax, said the slowdown reflects uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict. She added that concerns about higher energy prices have lifted inflation expectations, which in turn have pushed up mortgage rates and dampened confidence that interest rates will be reduced this year.


Corporate headlines

Shell PLC (SHEL) disclosed that its first-quarter 2026 indicative refining margins rose to $17 per barrel. The company cautioned, however, that unprecedented volatility in commodity prices is expected to drive a working capital outflow.

Shell stated that working capital movements in the quarter are expected to be between negative $15 billion and negative $10 billion, reflecting the effect of sharp price swings on inventories and receivables.

In corporate appointments, Renishaw PLC (RSW) announced the hire of John Shipsey as Chief Financial Officer and Executive Director, effective April 13, 2026. Shipsey joins the manufacturing technologies provider with substantial board and senior executive experience, having served as CFO at Dyson Limited for 12 years, at Smiths Group plc for five years, and at Featurespace Limited for two years.


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Market implications

The immediate market reaction highlights the sensitivity of equity and currency markets to geopolitical developments: a ceasefire reduced near-term geopolitical risk, supporting risk assets and lifting the pound. UK housing data points to a market tempered by geopolitical uncertainty and higher inflation expectations, while the Shell update underscores how commodity price swings can translate into substantial working capital volatility for energy companies. Separately, the Renishaw appointment will be watched by investors assessing leadership and financial stewardship at an engineering-focused firm.

Risks

  • Volatility in commodity prices could pressure cash flows and working capital for energy and materials companies - relevant to the energy sector and corporate treasury operations.
  • Ongoing uncertainty tied to the Middle East conflict may sustain higher energy prices and inflation expectations, influencing mortgage rates and housing market activity - impacting the housing market and consumer credit.
  • Reduced confidence in imminent interest rate cuts, driven by inflationary pressures, may weigh on sectors sensitive to borrowing costs such as real estate and consumer lending.

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