Stock Markets January 29, 2026

Jefferies Flags Casella and Rollins as Top Business Services Picks Amid Operational Push

Analyst house highlights fleet and systems upgrades at Casella and sustained organic growth and margin expansion at Rollins

By Sofia Navarro CWST ROL
Jefferies Flags Casella and Rollins as Top Business Services Picks Amid Operational Push
CWST ROL

Jefferies identifies Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Rollins (ROL) as leading opportunities within the business services sector, pointing to operational improvement programs, integration benefits and disciplined growth strategies as the primary drivers. Casella's planned fleet and automation upgrades, along with systems and pricing initiatives, are expected to generate measurable synergies, while Rollins is noted for steady organic growth, margin expansion potential and balance-sheet flexibility.

Key Points

  • Jefferies identifies Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Rollins (ROL) as top business services picks due to operational improvements and growth strategies.
  • Casella is targeting $5 million in synergies from fleet upgrades and automation, with at least another $5 million potential from systems/technology transitions and pricing - Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy, noting a valuation reset to 31x price-to-free cash flow versus a historical average of 38x.
  • Jefferies reiterates Buy on Rollins, citing organic growth above pre-COVID levels, sales hiring, disciplined pricing and expanded commercial reach; Jefferies projects EBITDA margins of about 25% versus 22% in 2022.

The business services sector is drawing attention from equities analysts as companies pursue targeted operational changes to drive margins and cash flow. Jefferies has singled out two names it views as particularly well positioned to benefit from these initiatives: Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ: CWST) and Rollins (NYSE: ROL).


Casella Waste Systems

Jefferies points to a set of operational actions at Casella focused on fleet upgrades, labor optimization and a transition of systems and technology as the primary levers that should unlock cost savings, pricing power and margin expansion. The firm highlights a specific $5 million synergy target attributed to fleet upgrades and automation benefits alone. In addition, Jefferies quantifies at least another $5 million of potential upside - roughly 20 basis points - coming from systems and technology transitions and improved pricing.

Following its assessment, Jefferies moved Casella to a Buy rating. The upgrade reflects what the firm describes as an attractive setup for 2026 driven in part by a valuation reset: Casella is trading at about 31x price-to-free cash flow versus a historical average near 38x, according to Jefferies’ analysis. The firm also notes that Mid-Atlantic integration challenges that had previously acted as headwinds are now on track to become tailwinds as integrations progress.

Recent analyst activity around Casella has been mixed, underlining differing views in the market. Stifel has reiterated a Buy rating, while JPMorgan initiated coverage with a Neutral rating. Management changes at the company include the appointment of Edmond R. 'Ned' Coletta as the new Chief Executive Officer.


Rollins

For Rollins, Jefferies maintained its Buy rating and characterized the company as a "best in class" diversified services compounder. Jefferies points to a number of execution elements behind this view: increased sales hiring, disciplined pricing actions, expanded commercial reach and a diversified approach to customer acquisition. These initiatives are supporting organic growth that the firm says remains above pre-COVID levels.

Jefferies expects Rollins to deliver EBITDA margins higher than its historical norms, indicating a reachable margin profile of about 25% compared with roughly 22% recorded in 2022. The firm regards Rollins’ premium multiple as justified by the combination of consistent high-single-digit organic growth, margin expansion and a balance sheet that affords flexibility.

Other broker activity has been supportive of Rollins’ outlook. Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight, and both UBS and RBC Capital raised their price targets. In parallel with the analyst activity, Rollins’ Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.1825 per share.


How the two stories compare

Jefferies’ selections illustrate two distinct ways value can emerge in business services. Casella’s case centers on integration and operational improvements expected to yield explicit synergies and pricing leverage, while Rollins’ thesis rests on sustained organic growth and margin expansion supported by sales investment and pricing discipline.

Both companies are cited as examples of how focused operational execution and disciplined capital allocation can drive shareholder value in the broader business services sector.

Risks

  • Realization risk for Casella's projected synergies - the company is targeting $5 million from fleet and automation and an additional $5 million from systems/pricing initiatives, and the extent to which these savings materialize is uncertain. (Impacts: waste management and municipal/industrial service markets)
  • Integration uncertainty in the Mid-Atlantic - Jefferies notes prior integration issues that had been headwinds and are expected to turn into tailwinds, creating uncertainty around timing and magnitude of benefits. (Impacts: regional operations and financial results for Casella)
  • Execution and margin attainment risk at Rollins - Jefferies projects EBITDA margins rising to about 25% from 22% in 2022, and achieving that level depends on continued organic growth, pricing discipline and successful commercial expansion. (Impacts: broader services sector profitability and investor valuation)

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