Stock Markets January 26, 2026

Investors Favor Cyclicals Over Mega-Cap Tech as Fund Flows Show Notable Shifts

Deutsche Bank strategists warn that broader market participation will be needed for the sector rotation to persist

By Avery Klein
Investors Favor Cyclicals Over Mega-Cap Tech as Fund Flows Show Notable Shifts

Equity positioning has stayed largely unchanged overall even as active investors reduce exposure to mega-cap growth and technology stocks in favor of cyclical sectors. Deutsche Bank strategists, led by Parag Thatte, cautioned that the rotation's durability depends on sustained market broadening, noting that prior increases in cyclical bets have often lost steam. Last week brought record equity fund outflows, led by heavy withdrawals from China, while fixed-income and money-market pools attracted fresh cash.

Key Points

  • Overall equity positioning is broadly unchanged even as discretionary investors reduce exposure to mega-cap growth and technology stocks and increase allocations to cyclical sectors.
  • Record weekly equity outflows totaled $43.2 billion, driven chiefly by $49.1 billion of withdrawals from China-focused funds and $16.8 billion out of U.S. equity funds.
  • Cyclical sectors saw inflows - materials funds +$6.5 billion and industrials +$3 billion - while technology funds experienced $1.4 billion of outflows; bond and money-market funds also attracted capital.

Equity allocations across portfolios showed little net change, though discretionary investors are noticeably reallocating away from mega-cap growth and technology names into cyclical sectors, according to strategists at Deutsche Bank. The team, led by Parag Thatte, emphasized that a lasting shift will require broader participation across the market - a condition that has been lacking during previous episodes when cyclical positioning briefly strengthened but then faded.

Fund-flow data for the most recent week underline the shifting preferences. Equity funds recorded a collective outflow of $43.2 billion. That headline number masks a pronounced concentration of withdrawals from China-focused funds, which totaled $49.1 billion. U.S.-focused equity funds also experienced net redemptions of $16.8 billion.

Within equities, capital gravitated toward cyclical segments. Materials funds attracted $6.5 billion in new money, while industrials drew $3 billion. By contrast, technology funds saw money leave, with net outflows of $1.4 billion.

Outside of equities, investors added to fixed income and cash-like instruments during the week. Bond funds took in $15.4 billion, and money-market funds received $0.7 billion in inflows.

Deutsche Bank's strategists flagged an important caveat: for the rotation from growth and tech into cyclicals to be more than a transient reallocation, it must be accompanied by sustained market breadth. The team pointed to historical patterns in which sporadic increases in cyclical exposure did not persist, implying that current flows could represent a temporary dislocation unless broader investor engagement follows.

The data present a mixed picture: meaningful movement within sector allocations, but limited change in overall equity positioning. That distinction frames both the immediate market reaction and the conditions necessary for any durable reassessment of sector leadership.


Data highlights:

  • Equity funds - net outflow: $43.2 billion
  • China-focused equity withdrawals: $49.1 billion
  • U.S. equity funds - net outflow: $16.8 billion
  • Materials funds - net inflow: $6.5 billion
  • Industrials funds - net inflow: $3 billion
  • Technology funds - net outflow: $1.4 billion
  • Bond funds - net inflow: $15.4 billion
  • Money-market funds - net inflow: $0.7 billion

Risks

  • Historical patterns suggest previous surges in cyclical positioning have frequently failed to sustain momentum, posing the risk that the current rotation may be short-lived - this particularly impacts cyclicals such as materials and industrials.
  • Concentrated and large-scale withdrawals from China-focused equity funds represent an uncertainty for markets with exposures to China, which could influence global equity flows and sector performance.
  • Persistent equity fund outflows could put continued pressure on broader market liquidity and sentiment, even as bond and money-market funds receive inflows.

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