Stock Markets January 29, 2026

Fitch Outlook Upgrade Fuels Rally in Turkish Bank Stocks

Four major lenders see shares surge after rating agency moves outlooks to positive while keeping long-term ratings at 'BB-'

By Maya Rios
Fitch Outlook Upgrade Fuels Rally in Turkish Bank Stocks

Shares of Turkey's largest banks jumped after Fitch Ratings shifted the outlooks for Akbank, Garanti Bankasi, Is Bankasi and Yapi Kredi from stable to positive. The banking index outpaced the broader BIST 100 as traders responded to the change in sentiment, though the long-term issuer ratings were left at 'BB-'.

Key Points

  • Fitch revised the outlooks of Akbank, Garanti Bankasi, Is Bankasi and Yapi Kredi to positive from stable while affirming their long-term issuer ratings at 'BB-'.
  • Turkey's main banking index climbed about 4%, outperforming the BIST 100, which rose 1.7% on the same day.
  • The outlook upgrades sparked a broader rally in the banking sector and helped lift overall market sentiment.

Overview

Turkish bank stocks rallied on Thursday after Fitch Ratings revised the outlooks for four major lenders to positive from stable. The move coincided with a strong session for the banking sector, where the main banking index rose more than other parts of the market.

Market reaction

Investors pushed the banking index roughly 4% higher, a gain that outpaced the broader BIST 100 benchmark index, which advanced 1.7% on the same day. Market participants appeared to interpret the shift in outlooks as a favorable development for sentiment toward the sector, prompting buying across shares of Turkey's biggest banks.

Fitch action

Fitch affirmed the long-term foreign and local-currency issuer default ratings of Akbank, Garanti Bankasi, Is Bankasi, and Yapi Kredi at 'BB-'. At the same time, the ratings agency upgraded the outlooks for all four lenders from stable to positive. The combination of unchanged ratings and improved outlooks was the formal trigger for the price movement in banking stocks on Thursday.

Broader implications

The positive outlook revisions were the proximate cause cited for the rally in the banking sector and contributed to improved overall market sentiment on the day. While the banking index's 4% gain represented a notable sector-specific move, the broader BIST 100's advance of 1.7% indicates the effect was more pronounced in financials than across the entire market.

Context and limits of the coverage

The information available reports the immediate market reaction and the specifics of Fitch's actions for the four named lenders. The article does not provide further detail on Fitch's rationale for the outlook upgrades, any prospective rating changes beyond the affirmed 'BB-' level, or the potential durability of the market rally triggered by the announcement.


This article presents the market reaction to Fitch's outlook revisions and summarizes the confirmed rating outcomes for the four banks named.

Risks

  • Although outlooks were upgraded, the long-term issuer default ratings for the four banks remain at 'BB-', indicating no immediate change in the formal rating level.
  • The article reports a one-day market reaction but does not provide information on whether the rally will be sustained over a longer period.
  • Gains were concentrated in the banking sector relative to the broader market, suggesting the impact may be sector-specific rather than economy-wide.

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