Stock Markets January 26, 2026

Evercore ISI Raises Cisco to Outperform, Cites Multiple Growth Drivers

Analyst house points to campus refresh cycle, AI demand and recovering end markets as catalysts; price target lifted to $100

By Priya Menon CSCO
Evercore ISI Raises Cisco to Outperform, Cites Multiple Growth Drivers
CSCO

Evercore ISI upgraded Cisco to Outperform and increased its price target to $100 from $80, arguing the company is positioned for multi-year high single-digit sales growth and low-teens EPS growth. The firm highlighted an accelerating enterprise networking cycle, AI-related revenue potential, product momentum, and recovering traditional markets as the main drivers. Evercore also projects annual EBIT margin expansion, while flagging performance in security and collaboration as a risk.

Key Points

  • Evercore ISI upgraded Cisco to Outperform and raised its price target to $100 from $80, noting the stock trades under 20x P/E versus large cap tech peers.
  • Primary growth drivers cited include a campus networking refresh cycle through CY26 (~6-8% industry growth), the phased retirement of Catalyst 4K and 6K hardware (~20% installed base), and rising AI-related revenues estimated at ~$3.0B in FY26E with orders >$4.0B.
  • Recovering traditional enterprise and telecom markets and new product adoption (P200, Silicon One) add breadth to the growth outlook; Evercore ISI projects ~50-100bps of annual EBIT margin expansion.

Shares of Cisco rose about 1.6% in premarket trading after Evercore ISI upgraded the company to Outperform, citing a view that Cisco can achieve "high single-digit sales and low-teens EPS growth on a multi-year basis." The analyst firm also raised its price target on the stock to $100 from $80 and described the valuation as attractive at "under 20x P/E vs. large cap tech peers."

Evercore ISI identified four principal drivers that informed the upgrade. First, the firm points to an accelerating cycle in enterprise networking, with its checks indicating "sustained growth in campus markets through CY26 (~6-8% industry growth)." That demand is tied to customers upgrading to next-generation campus solutions roughly eight years after the last major refresh.

Second, Evercore ISI highlighted Cisco's transition toward End of Life and End of Services for legacy Catalyst 4K and 6K hardware. That legacy base represents "~20% install base," and the firm views the transition as a source of additional momentum for sales of new campus offerings.

Third, the research note emphasized rising AI-related demand. Evercore ISI estimates Cisco is on track to generate "AI revenues of ~$3.0B in FY26E (~5% of sales) and orders of >$4.0B (vs. $2.0B LY)," and said this trajectory is supported by four major hyperscaler customers. The firm cited new products such as the P200 and growing adoption of Silicon One as additional catalysts for AI-related growth.

Fourth, Evercore ISI pointed to a recovery in traditional enterprise and telecom markets, which the firm said will provide "better diversity of growth as we move forward."

On profitability, Evercore ISI contends Cisco can deliver approximately "~50-100bps of EBIT margin expansion annually." The note also cautioned that performance in security and collaboration remains a risk to the outlook.

Overall, Evercore ISI concluded that the combination of campus upgrades, mounting AI momentum and improving end markets provides Cisco with "plenty of tailwinds" to support a sustained growth outlook, supporting the upgrade and higher price target. The firm’s valuation argument - trading under 20 times earnings relative to large cap tech peers - underpins the call.

Risks

  • Evercore ISI explicitly flags the performance of Cisco's security and collaboration businesses as a risk to the company's outlook.
  • The original note does not detail additional downside scenarios or broader execution risks beyond security and collaboration, representing a limitation in disclosed risk factors.

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