Stock Markets February 5, 2026

ConocoPhillips to Trim $1 Billion from 2026 Costs After Quarterly Profit Falls Short

Weaker crude prices weigh on results despite higher production and post-acquisition synergies

By Caleb Monroe COP
ConocoPhillips to Trim $1 Billion from 2026 Costs After Quarterly Profit Falls Short
COP

ConocoPhillips reported a fourth-quarter adjusted profit below analyst expectations as softer oil prices reduced its realized revenue. The company plans $1 billion in capital and operating cost cuts for 2026 while forecasting modest production growth and outlining its 2026 spending and cost targets.

Key Points

  • ConocoPhillips plans $1 billion in capital and operating cost reductions for 2026 after missing fourth-quarter profit estimates.
  • Production increased to 2.32 million boepd in the quarter, up from 2.18 million boepd a year earlier, aided by integration gains from the $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition.
  • The company projects 2026 output of 2.33-2.36 million boepd, with about $12 billion in annual capital spending and $10.2 billion in adjusted operating costs.

ConocoPhillips said on Thursday it will pursue $1 billion in cuts to capital and operating expenditures in 2026 after reporting quarterly profit that fell short of Wall Street estimates amid weaker oil prices.

Benchmark Brent crude averaged $63.13 a barrel in the October-December quarter, down 11.3% from the same period a year earlier as supply worries and tariff concerns outweighed geopolitical tensions, the company said. The decline in crude pricing weighed on ConocoPhillips' realized revenue even as production rose.

For the fourth quarter, ConocoPhillips produced 2.32 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), up from 2.18 million boepd a year prior. The company attributed the higher output and tighter cost control in part to integration gains following its 2024 acquisition of Marathon Oil, a deal valued at $22.5 billion.

CEO Ryan Lance said the planned cost reductions build on more than $1 billion in run-rate synergies captured in 2025 after bringing Marathon Oil into the company, and reflect a renewed emphasis on capital efficiency.

Still, weaker energy prices have pressured ConocoPhillips and its peers, prompting workforce reductions, scaled-back capital plans and less drilling activity. Last year the company announced a broad restructuring that would reduce headcount by 20%-25%.

The firm's average realized price for the fourth quarter was $42.46 per barrel of oil equivalent (boe), 19% lower than the comparable quarter a year earlier. ConocoPhillips posted adjusted earnings of $1.02 per share for the quarter ended December 31, below the analysts' average estimate of $1.11 per share compiled by LSEG.

Looking ahead to 2026, ConocoPhillips forecast output between 2.33 million and 2.36 million boepd. The company outlined annual capital spending of about $12 billion and adjusted operating costs of $10.2 billion for the year.


About the company and market context

The company is the largest U.S. independent oil and gas producer. A fall in oil prices has put pressure on producers across the sector, affecting staffing levels, investment plans, and drilling programs.


Note on investment tools referenced

ProPicks AI evaluates COP alongside thousands of other companies every month using more than 100 financial metrics. The AI evaluates fundamentals, momentum, and valuation to identify stocks it views as presenting favorable risk-reward, and it cites notable past winners including Super Micro Computer (+185%) and AppLovin (+157%). The tool indicates which stocks, if any, are featured in its strategies at a given time.

Risks

  • Persistently lower oil prices that reduce realized revenue and earnings - impacts energy and broader equity markets tied to commodity prices.
  • Operational and integration challenges related to the Marathon Oil acquisition that could affect cost-savings realization - impacts ConocoPhillips' margins and operational efficiency.
  • Workforce reductions and reduced drilling may affect future production growth and sector employment levels - impacts oilfield services and regional labor markets.

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