Stock Markets February 5, 2026

Blue Owl Tops Profit Forecasts as AUM Surges Past $300 Billion

Strong fundraising and growth in credit and real assets offset investor concerns over software exposure

By Hana Yamamoto OWL
Blue Owl Tops Profit Forecasts as AUM Surges Past $300 Billion
OWL

Blue Owl reported fourth-quarter results that beat analyst forecasts and disclosed a 22% year-over-year jump in assets under management, taking AUM above $300 billion. The firm's credit and real assets platforms powered the gain even as market worries about exposure to the software sector weigh on sentiment. Fundraising remained robust, with sizable new capital commitments and equity inflows recorded for the quarter.

Key Points

  • Blue Owl exceeded fourth-quarter profit expectations and reported a 22% year-over-year increase in assets under management, surpassing $300 billion.
  • Fundraising remained strong: $17.3 billion in new capital commitments and $12 billion in total equity fundraising during the quarter.
  • Adjusted fee-related earnings per share rose to $0.27 and adjusted distributable earnings per share increased to $0.24, ahead of analysts' $0.22 expectation.

Blue Owl reported fourth-quarter results that topped Wall Street expectations and announced a 22% increase in assets under management, lifting AUM beyond the $300 billion mark. The stock reacted positively in early trading, rising about 2% in premarket activity.

Management attributed the strong performance to momentum across the firm’s credit and real assets platforms. Those businesses helped drive the AUM advance even as investors have grown cautious about the broader industry’s exposure to the software sector, where private credit lenders have extended loans.

Market moves have underscored those concerns: more than $800 billion has been erased from the market capitalization of the S&P 500 software and services index since January 28, as investors reassess whether artificial intelligence remains a supportive force for companies in that segment or has become a source of disruption.

Blue Owl’s share price has experienced significant volatility this year. The stock is down about 19% year-to-date in 2026. The shares previously plunged nearly 36% following a late-2025 plan to merge two of the firm’s private credit funds - a proposal that was subsequently dropped. In response to that episode, co-President Craig Packer said at the time,

"There’s no emergency here, the fund continues to perform well."

Fundraising activity remained a bright spot in the quarter. Blue Owl secured $17.3 billion in new capital commitments and recorded $12 billion in total equity fundraising. Demand for private credit persisted despite the backdrop of investor concern, with borrowers increasingly turning to direct lenders for flexible financing as traditional loan markets tighten.

Blue Owl’s businesses primarily invest in private credit, real estate and infrastructure assets, offering institutional and high-net-worth clients avenues to seek higher returns and diversification outside public markets.

On a reported adjusted basis, fee-related earnings per share rose to $0.27 for the quarter ended December 31, up from $0.23 a year earlier. Adjusted distributable earnings per share increased to $0.24 from $0.21 in the prior comparable period. Analysts had been expecting adjusted distributable earnings per share of $0.22, according to estimates compiled by LSEG.

Investors and market participants will likely continue to balance the firm’s fundraising and AUM growth against broader market volatility and sector-specific shocks, particularly in areas where private credit exposure intersects with technology companies. For now, the company’s quarterly results show continued operational momentum in its core alternative asset platforms.

Risks

  • Exposure of private credit portfolios to the software sector as investor sentiment toward software names has weakened, impacting asset valuations - potential implications for credit and alternative asset markets.
  • Share-price volatility tied to strategic fund-structure proposals and market reactions - impacts investor confidence in asset management stocks.
  • Broader market retrenchment in software and services market capitalization - could affect demand and performance for lenders concentrated in that end market.

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