Stock Markets January 27, 2026

Anthropic Raises 2026 Revenue Target by About 20%, Delays Cash‑Positive Goal to 2028

Stronger sales projections offset by rising model training and compute costs push back timeline for positive cash flow

By Leila Farooq
Anthropic Raises 2026 Revenue Target by About 20%, Delays Cash‑Positive Goal to 2028

Anthropic has increased its revenue outlook for 2026 by roughly 20%, projecting sales could approach $18 billion this year and around $55 billion in 2027. Rising expenses associated with training and operating large AI models have outpaced that revenue growth, prompting the company to move its target for becoming cash‑flow positive to 2028, about a year later than it had planned.

Key Points

  • Anthropic raised its 2026 revenue forecast by about 20% and now expects sales to nearly quadruple this year to as much as $18 billion, rising to around $55 billion in 2027.
  • Higher-than-expected expenses related to model training and compute infrastructure have outpaced revenue growth, prompting the company to delay its cash-positive target to 2028, about a year later than planned.
  • The company has drawn strong investor interest, which may help fund continued expansion, while it works to reconcile rapid growth with longer-term financial sustainability ahead of any potential public listing.

Anthropic, the San Francisco-based artificial intelligence developer behind the Claude family of models, has revised upward its revenue outlook for 2026 while simultaneously extending the timetable for reaching positive cash flow.

The company now projects 2026 sales to be up by roughly 20% versus earlier internal projections, with revenue expected to nearly quadruple this year to as much as $18 billion. Management also anticipates sales could rise to about $55 billion in 2027, figures that the company views as materially higher than prior internal forecasts.

Those brighter top-line expectations, however, have not translated into an earlier cash‑flow inflection. Expenses tied to the training and operation of Anthropic’s AI models have risen faster than revenue, the company says, leading it to delay the target for positive cash flow to 2028 - roughly one year later than previously contemplated.

Company officials point to higher costs for expanded model training and growing compute infrastructure as drivers of the increased spending. The expansion in training activity and the associated compute footprint have widened the gap between operating outlays and incoming sales.

Anthropic has attracted substantial investor interest in recent months, a dynamic that could provide capital support for continued expansion. At the same time, the company faces pressure to align rapid growth with a longer-term plan for financial sustainability ahead of any potential public listing.


Context and implications

Anthropic’s revised revenue trajectory indicates stronger demand or monetization for its Claude models, but the delay in achieving positive cash flow highlights the cost intensity of scaling large AI systems. The company’s experience underscores the tradeoff between accelerating model development and managing compute and infrastructure spending.

This combination of faster revenue growth and even faster expense growth leaves the company in a position where investor backing will likely remain important as it balances scaling ambitions with the need for durable profitability.

Risks

  • Rising operational costs for model training and compute infrastructure may continue to outpace revenue, which could prolong the path to profitability - impacts technology and cloud/compute sectors.
  • The need to balance rapid expansion with financial sustainability creates execution risk as Anthropic scales, which poses uncertainty for investors and capital markets.
  • Dependence on external investor support to fund growth increases vulnerability to shifts in investor sentiment or capital availability in the broader financial markets.

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