Stock Markets February 3, 2026

Amgen Tops Estimates as Drug Sales Rise and Tax Rate Falls

Quarterly revenue and adjusted EPS beat forecasts; guidance midpoint exceeds analyst revenue outlook for 2026

By Maya Rios AMGN
Amgen Tops Estimates as Drug Sales Rise and Tax Rate Falls
AMGN

Amgen reported fourth-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations, driven by higher drug volumes and a lower tax rate. Revenue reached $9.9 billion and adjusted earnings per share beat estimates, while guidance for 2026 sets a revenue midpoint above Street forecasts. Results were mixed at the product level with strong gains for Repatha and declines for Tepezza and Enbrel.

Key Points

  • Amgen reported fourth-quarter revenue of $9.9 billion, up 9% year over year, beating the average analyst estimate of $9.5 billion according to LSEG data.
  • Adjusted EPS were $5.29, ahead of analyst expectations of $4.73; 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $21.60 to $23.00 versus a Wall Street estimate of $22.09.
  • Product performance was mixed: Repatha sales rose 44% to $870 million, Tepezza sales fell 1% to $457 million, and Enbrel sales dropped 48% to $532 million.

Amgen reported fourth-quarter results that outperformed Wall Street expectations, powered by volume-driven sales gains and a notable reduction in the company tax rate.

The California-based biotech posted overall quarterly revenue of $9.9 billion, a 9% increase from the prior year and above the average analyst estimate of $9.5 billion, according to LSEG data. Adjusted earnings per share were $5.29, roughly flat with the year-ago quarter but ahead of the $4.73 figure analysts had projected.


Full-year outlook

For 2026, Amgen set its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance at $21.60 to $23.00. That range brackets the Wall Street consensus, which is estimating $22.09 per share. The company also issued a revenue forecast for the year of $37 billion to $38.4 billion, with the midpoint of that range sitting above the analysts' forecast of $37.1 billion.


Drivers of quarterly performance

Product sales increased 10% by volume in the quarter, while net prices declined 4%, together producing 7% quarter-over-quarter growth. Several individual products diverged from the overall trend.

  • Repatha, Amgen's cholesterol therapy, posted a 44% increase in sales to $870 million, topping the average analyst estimate of $793 million. The company attributed the gain to higher volumes and price.
  • Sales of the ophthalmology treatment Tepezza slipped 1% to $457 million, falling short of analyst expectations of $554 million.
  • Enbrel sales declined 48% to $532 million, largely reflecting lower prices that Amgen pays under the U.S. Medicare program. Analysts had expected Enbrel revenue of $679 million.

Tax and other items

Amgen said its tax rate in the quarter was 7.8 percentage points lower than in the year-earlier quarter, driven by adjustments in U.S. tax on foreign subsidiaries. The lower tax rate was cited as a contributor to the company's bottom-line performance for the period.


Clinical development

On the drug development front, Amgen continues to advance its obesity-related pipeline. The company is running six Phase 3 trials of experimental candidate MariTide across obesity and related conditions, including heart disease and sleep apnea. It also said it plans to initiate Phase 3 studies of MariTide in patients with diabetes later this year. Separately, Amgen is enrolling obese adults into a Phase 1 trial of a second investigational weight-loss candidate, AMG513.


Valuation note

Investors evaluating Amgen's stock often look to valuation tools that aggregate multiple models. One such tool uses a mix of 17 industry valuation models to estimate fair value across many stocks, including AMGN.

The company’s quarterly beat on revenue and adjusted EPS, combined with guidance that places revenue midpoint ahead of analysts' consensus, presents a mixed picture alongside pressure on certain legacy products.

Risks

  • Product-level revenue volatility - declines in Tepezza and Enbrel sales could weigh on growth; impacts are most relevant to the pharmaceuticals and healthcare sectors.
  • Price pressure and reimbursement dynamics - Enbrel's decline was driven mostly by lower Medicare-related prices, highlighting exposure to government pricing policies affecting biopharma revenues.
  • Pipeline execution uncertainty - advancing multiple Phase 3 trials for MariTide and early enrollment for AMG513 carry development and clinical risks for Amgen's future growth prospects.

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