Politics June 15, 2026 02:51 PM

Trump’s Approval Modestly Rises to 36% as Price Pressures Ease

Poll shows small improvement in public views on cost of living as gasoline prices retreat from recent highs

By Ajmal Hussain
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A nationwide online poll finds President Trump’s overall approval nudged up to 36% amid reduced public intensity of concern over the cost of living. The survey captured views taken before and after a weekend announcement of an agreement to end a war that had driven fuel prices higher. Voter preferences for congressional contests remain close, with Democrats holding a slight edge among registered voters and independents.

Trump’s Approval Modestly Rises to 36% as Price Pressures Ease
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Key Points

  • Overall presidential approval rose by one point to 36% in the latest four-day online poll.
  • Public approval of the president’s handling of the cost of living increased to 24%, up from 22% a week earlier and 20% a month earlier; disapproval fell to 69% from 73% month-over-month.
  • If congressional elections were held today, registered voters in the poll preferred Democratic candidates 41% to 38%, with independents favoring Democrats 35% to 22% - implications for energy, consumer, and political sectors.

President Trump’s approval rating rose by one percentage point in a recent national survey to 36% as the level of public dissatisfaction over the cost of living eased slightly, according to a four-day online poll that concluded on Monday. The survey collected responses both before and after a Sunday announcement that Trump and Iranian leaders had reached an agreement to end a conflict that had previously driven gasoline prices up sharply.

Optimism tied to the brief peace talks has coincided with a decline in gasoline prices in recent weeks, though the public continues to face elevated pump costs. Americans are still paying roughly one dollar more per gallon at the pump than they did before the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran on February 28, the poll data show.

When asked specifically about his performance on the cost of living, 24% of respondents said they approved of the president’s stewardship, up from 22% a week earlier and 20% a month ago. The share of respondents who disapproved of his handling of that issue decreased to 69% from 73% a month earlier.

Observers will watch whether this modest movement in approval marks a durable turn for the president. His standing has eroded even among constituencies that have been core to his political support, including rural voters and evangelical Christians. Overall, his approval remains near some of the lowest points of his political career, and the public continues to judge his handling of the cost of living more harshly than they judged his Democratic predecessor.

The online poll gathered responses from 1,537 adults across the United States and reported a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The data indicate that Mr. Trump began his second term in January 2025 with a 47% approval rating - 11 points higher than the current reading - after winning the previous year’s presidential election on a pledge to bring down persistently high inflation.

That objective has not been realized, according to a recent U.S. inflation report cited in the poll’s context, and sustained dissatisfaction over rising prices could present political headwinds for Republican lawmakers defending narrow congressional majorities in the November 3 midterm elections.

On voting preferences for congressional contests if they were held today, 41% of registered voters in the poll said they would back a Democratic candidate in their district, while 38% said they would vote for a Republican. Another 18% said they were unsure or considering a third-party option. Independent voters showed a notable tilt toward Democrats, favoring them 35% to 22% over Republicans - a 13-point gap that could be decisive in competitive races.


Methodology note: The survey was administered online over a four-day period and included 1,537 U.S. adults with a reported margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points in either direction.

Risks

  • Sustained inflationary pressures - despite recent easing in gasoline prices, Americans still face roughly $1 higher per gallon than before Feb. 28 - risk continued voter dissatisfaction affecting consumer confidence and discretionary spending, impacting consumer and energy sectors.
  • Persistent low approval ratings among core constituencies - slippage in support from rural voters and evangelical Christians introduces uncertainty for Republican efforts to defend narrow congressional majorities, which could influence market sentiment around fiscal and regulatory policy.
  • Polling margin of error and timing - the four-day online survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points and spans a period that includes a major announcement; short-term changes in prices or events could reverse observed shifts in approval and voting intentions.

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