Politics

Political developments with market and economic implications.

Coverage of political events, elections, legislation, and regulatory changes that influence markets and economic policy. Focuses on political risk, fiscal decisions, and policy uncertainty relevant to investors.

Articles

347 total articles

GOP Voting Measure Risks Backfiring on Its Base, Analysis Finds

GOP Voting Measure Risks Backfiring on Its Base, Analysis Finds

The SAVE America Act, championed by former President Donald Trump and advanced to the Senate floor by Republican leaders, would require most Americans to present proof of citizenship such as a U.S. passport or birth certificate to register to vote. While pitched as a fix to alleged non-citizen voting, the measure could impose obstacles on tens of m…

Minneapolis Still Feels the Economic and Social Fallout of Operation Metro Surge

Minneapolis Still Feels the Economic and Social Fallout of Operation Metro Surge

After months of aggressive immigration enforcement known as Operation Metro Surge, Minneapolis shows a return to outward calm even as residents, public services and the local economy continue to absorb significant harm. City officials estimate hundreds of millions in economic losses, hospitals report sustained care disruptions for immigrant familie…

Immigration Backlash Shapes Illinois Democratic Senate Primary

Immigration Backlash Shapes Illinois Democratic Senate Primary

Three leading Democrats vying to replace retiring Sen. Dick Durbin have centered their campaigns on major reforms or abolition of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, reflecting heightened party focus on immigration after deadly federal operations and a surge of migrant relocations to Chicago. The debate underlines intra-party positioning ahea…

House Republicans Struggle to Unite Around Election-Year Affordability Package

House Republicans Struggle to Unite Around Election-Year Affordability Package

House Republican leaders are attempting to consolidate a legislative package on affordability - focusing on healthcare, housing and other cost drivers - ahead of the November midterms. Their 218-214 majority in the House and resistance from hardline conservatives and cautious moderates have made near-unanimous support difficult. Party strategists h…

Senators Raise Alarm Over Possibility of U.S. Ground Troops in Iran

Senators Raise Alarm Over Possibility of U.S. Ground Troops in Iran

Following classified briefings with administration officials, Democratic U.S. senators expressed deep concern that President Trump could order U.S. ground forces into Iran. Lawmakers cited intelligence indicating Russian provision of targeting information to Iran and said closed-door sessions have not answered key questions about the war's expected…

Trump Signals Conflict Winding Down; Strategist Says Risks Persist

Trump Signals Conflict Winding Down; Strategist Says Risks Persist

President Donald Trump’s statement that the conflict with Iran is "pretty much" over has calmed markets, but BCA Research warns the situation remains fragile. Chief geopolitical strategist Matt Gertken says Iran may deliver a final show of force, and the firm places a 70% probability on a lingering oil disruption versus a 30% chance of a quick dipl…

Wolfe: Trump Appears to Be Accelerating Toward an Exit From the Iran Conflict

Wolfe: Trump Appears to Be Accelerating Toward an Exit From the Iran Conflict

A note from Wolfe Research led by analyst Tobin Marcus interprets recent remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump as an opening maneuver toward ending U.S. involvement in the Iran war sooner than analysts expected. Marcus characterizes the president's press conference as a "triumphal but mixed message," highlights warnings about further strikes on Ir…

Georgia special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene becomes a test of Trump’s influence in a deep-red district

Georgia special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene becomes a test of Trump’s influence in a deep-red district

Voters in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District are choosing a successor to Marjorie Taylor Greene in a special election with 17 candidates on the ballot. Endorsement from former President Donald Trump for Clay Fuller pits him against Colton Moore, a hard-right former state senator who has billed himself as "Trump’s #1 Defender." With no candidate …