A recent survey from the Idea Institute places the centre-right Tisza party ahead of Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s ruling Fidesz as Hungary approaches a parliamentary election scheduled for Sunday.
The poll reported that, among voters who have made up their minds, 50% said they would back Tisza, while 37% expressed support for Fidesz. When the figures are extended to all respondents in the sample, Tisza’s backing falls to 39% and Fidesz’s to 30%.
Peter Magyar, who leads Tisza and is described in the poll as a former government insider, heads the party that holds the larger share of decided voters according to the survey findings. The Idea Institute collected responses from a sample of 1,500 people for this poll.
Survey participants also indicated a notable degree of uncertainty heading into the vote: 21% of respondents said they had not yet decided how they would cast their ballots. That pool of undecided voters is cited in the poll results as a factor leaving the election outcome unclear.
The poll summary highlights the broader political context captured by respondents, noting that Prime Minister Orban is confronting his most significant electoral challenge in 16 years. The combination of Tisza’s lead among decided voters and the sizeable share of undecided respondents creates a fluid pre-election environment.
With the election date imminent and a meaningful portion of the electorate still uncommitted, the poll results underscore the uncertainty that will persist until ballots are cast. The Idea Institute’s numbers provide a snapshot of current preferences within the surveyed population, but the presence of undecided voters means final results could diverge from these figures.
Methodology note: The figures cited above come from a poll by the Idea Institute with a stated sample size of 1,500 respondents.