Economy April 28, 2026 07:36 AM

India’s industrial growth eases to five‑month low of 4.1% in March as factories and power lag

Manufacturing and electricity output cooled in the month; capital goods and mining remained bright spots

By Priya Menon
India’s industrial growth eases to five‑month low of 4.1% in March as factories and power lag

India's industrial production rose 4.1% year-on-year in March, the slowest increase in five months, as softer factory output and weak electricity generation weighed on overall growth. The March reading follows a revised 5.1% expansion in February and is the first monthly print after the outbreak of the Iran war triggered by U.S. and Israeli strikes on February 28, which raised concerns about energy supplies.

Key Points

  • Overall industrial output rose 4.1% year-on-year in March, the slowest pace in five months, with manufacturing and electricity acting as drags.
  • Mining and capital goods expanded at a faster clip in March, with mining up 5.5% and capital goods up 14.6% year-on-year.
  • Sectors impacted include manufacturing, power/electricity generation, mining, consumer durables, consumer non-durables, and capital goods.

India's industrial output expanded 4.1% year-on-year in March, marking the weakest pace of growth in five months as a cooling manufacturing sector and subdued power generation dragged on the headline figure.

Economists had penciled in a 3.7% increase for the month, while February's expansion was revised down to 5.1%. The march reading follows an earlier slowdown in October, when industrial output growth had fallen to 0.5% year-on-year.

The March data is the first monthly industrial print after the Iran war broke out following U.S. and Israeli strikes on February 28, an episode that has prompted concerns about energy availability for the world's third-largest crude importer.


Detailed sector readings for March

  • Manufacturing output rose 4.3% year-on-year in March, down from a revised 5.9% increase in February.
  • Electricity generation increased 0.8% year-on-year in March, after a 2.3% rise a month earlier.
  • Mining activity climbed 5.5% year-on-year in March, up from a 3.1% gain in February.
  • Output of consumer durables, including cars and phones, grew 5.3% year-on-year in March, below February's revised 7.1% growth.
  • Consumer non-durables, such as food items and toiletries, recorded a 1.1% year-on-year rise in March, improving from a revised 0.5% decline in the prior month.
  • Capital goods output jumped 14.6% year-on-year in March, compared with a revised 12.4% increase in February.

Aggregate performance

For the April-March 12-month period, industrial output grew 4.1%, marginally above the 4.0% increase recorded in the previous year.


The March figures highlight a mixed industrial picture: manufacturing and electricity showed slower momentum, while mining and capital goods delivered stronger gains. The data also comes at a time of heightened attention to global developments that can affect energy supply and industry activity.

Risks

  • Energy supply concerns following the outbreak of the Iran war and strikes on February 28 could weigh on power generation and manufacturing activity.
  • Slowing manufacturing and weak electricity output pose risks to broad industrial momentum and could affect production-linked sectors such as automobiles and electronics.
  • The March reading is the first after heightened geopolitical tensions, introducing uncertainty into near-term industrial performance and energy-dependent operations.

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