Economy January 28, 2026

India's December industrial production jumps 7.8% year-on-year, led by manufacturing and mining

Government figures show broad-based gains across manufacturing, electricity and consumer durables; April-December growth remains modest

By Sofia Navarro
India's December industrial production jumps 7.8% year-on-year, led by manufacturing and mining

India's industrial production expanded 7.8% year-on-year in December, driven by gains in manufacturing, mining and electricity generation, according to government data released on Wednesday. The print outpaced economists' forecasts of a 5.5% rise and followed a revised 7.2% increase in November. While December showed broad-based strength, output for the April-December period rose 3.9% year-on-year, lower than the revised 4.1% a year earlier.

Key Points

  • December industrial output rose 7.8% year-on-year, led by manufacturing and mining.
  • Electricity generation reversed from a 1.5% decline in November to a 6.3% increase in December; consumer durables showed a strong 12.3% gain.
  • April-December industrial output increased 3.9% year-on-year, slightly below the revised 4.1% a year earlier; sectors impacted include manufacturing, mining, electricity, consumer durables and capital goods.

Government data released on Wednesday showed India's industrial output grew 7.8% year-on-year in December, with notable contributions from the manufacturing and mining sectors. Economists had expected a 5.5% increase; November's figure was revised to a 7.2% gain.

Detailed sector performance

  • Manufacturing: Output in the manufacturing sector rose 8.1% year-on-year in December, compared with a revised 8.5% increase in November.
  • Electricity generation: Electricity production climbed 6.3% year-on-year in December, reversing a 1.5% decline recorded a month earlier.
  • Mining: Mining activity increased 6.8% year-on-year in December, up from a revised 5.8% rise in November.
  • Consumer durables: Output of consumer durables, a category that includes items such as cars and phones, grew 12.3% year-on-year in December versus a revised 11.2% growth in November.
  • Consumer non-durables: Production of consumer non-durables, including food items and toiletries, rose 8.3% year-on-year in December compared with a revised 8.0% increase in November.
  • Capital goods: Capital goods output registered an 8.1% year-on-year rise in December, against a revised 10.1% growth in November.

Period-to-date growth

On a cumulative basis, industrial output for the April-December period grew 3.9% year-on-year, marginally lower than the revised 4.1% increase recorded in the same period a year earlier.

Context and implications

December's figures show a broad-based improvement across several major categories of industrial activity, with manufacturing and consumer durables among the strongest contributors. Electricity generation's turnaround from a contraction in November to a positive print in December is a notable development for sectors dependent on power supply. The capital goods sector continued to expand year-on-year, though at a slower pace than the prior month's revised reading.

While the single-month performance in December outpaced expectations, the April-December aggregate points to more moderate growth over the longer period covered by the data.

Risks

  • Revisions to prior-month data - November's numbers were revised, indicating volatility in short-term readings which may affect near-term assessment of momentum (impacts manufacturing and capital goods analysis).
  • Despite strong December growth, the April-December cumulative rise of 3.9% suggests more moderate underlying growth over the period, which could temper expectations for sustained expansion across industrial sectors.
  • Slower month-on-month gains in capital goods compared with the revised November figure (8.1% versus a revised 10.1%) raise uncertainty about the pace of investment-related activity.

More from Economy

Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Contracts in March as Regional Conflict Disrupts Orders Apr 5, 2026 Deutsche Bank Warns Energy Price Shock Could Tip UK into Recession Apr 5, 2026 White House Claims of 'Dominance' Clash With Iran's Capacity to Strike Back Apr 5, 2026 Planet Labs Pauses Middle East Imagery after U.S. Request, Shifts to Restricted Distribution Apr 4, 2026 BCA Warns Energy Shock Could Tip Markets from Inflation Worries to Recession Fears Apr 4, 2026