MCHX November 13, 2025

Marchex Q3 2025 Earnings Call - Strategic Pivot and Acquisition Set Stage for Accelerated AI-Driven Growth

Summary

Marchex's Q3 2025 earnings call revealed a company at a pivot point, leveraging AI to expand from strategic analytics into comprehensive, automated customer acquisition solutions. Despite a slight sequential revenue dip to $11.5 million amid platform migration dilution, adjusted EBITDA improved, showcasing operating leverage. The highlight was the announced agreement to acquire Arcaneum, an AI-driven customer qualification firm, aiming to create an integrated platform of insights, actions, and verifiable outcomes. This move is expected to multiply Marchex's addressable market, ramp revenue growth to 15%-20% in 2026, and push adjusted EBITDA margins above 10%, accelerating progress toward a $100 million revenue run-rate. The management emphasized sustainable growth through deeper vertical market penetration and bundling solutions to drive stickiness and scalability.

Key Takeaways

  • Marchex achieved $11.5 million revenue in Q3 2025, slightly down from $11.7 million in Q2 due to platform migration dilution.
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved sequentially, reflecting the company's operating leverage and cost efficiencies.
  • Management sees a significant market opportunity evolving beyond analytics into AI-powered bundled customer acquisition and optimization solutions.
  • The company focuses on large verticals like automotive, home services, healthcare, and advertising, leveraging AI-driven conversational intelligence and first-party data.
  • Marchex plans to complete migrating 1,000+ customers to its Engage platform by year-end 2025, which is currently causing some revenue dilution.
  • An agreement in principle was announced to acquire Arcaneum, an AI-based customer qualification and acquisition company, for $10 million plus earnouts.
  • The combined business is expected to generate approximately $15 million quarterly revenue or $60 million annualized, with growth forecasted at 15%-20% in 2026.
  • The acquisition aims to expand the addressable market significantly by integrating insights, automated actions, and verifiable outcomes in a bundled solution.
  • Management targets adjusted EBITDA margins of 10% or greater in 2026, with Arcaneum expected to add positive adjusted EBITDA.
  • The combined company aspires to achieve 'rule of 30 to 40' (growth rate plus margin) metrics, signaling strong growth with improving profitability.
  • Marchex believes its existing customer base alone could drive accelerated growth toward a $100 million revenue run-rate sooner than previously anticipated.
  • Leadership emphasizes balancing growth and profitability, focusing on maximizing revenue while maintaining baseline positive adjusted EBITDA margins.
  • CEO highlighted strong sales bookings momentum and increased visibility on sustainable sales growth entering 2026.
  • The special committee of independent directors oversees the acquisition due to related-party sellers, and closing is expected first half of 2026 pending shareholder approval.
  • The acquisition would enhance strategic flexibility and market reach, potentially unlocking new verticals and enabling cross-selling opportunities.

Full Transcript

Jayla, Moderator, Marchex: Good afternoon. Thank you for attending today’s Q3 2025 Marchex Earnings Conference call. My name is Jayla, and I’ll be your moderator for today. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call, with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. At this time, I’d like to pass the conference over to our host, Frank Seney, the COO. Please proceed.

Frank Seney, COO, Marchex: Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Marchex’s Business Update and Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Joining us today is Russ Horowitz, our Chairman of the Board; Troy Hartless, our President; and Brian Nagle, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I would like to take this opportunity to remind you that our remarks today will include forward-looking statements, including references to our financial and operational performance, and actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties that could cause these results to differ materially are set forth in today’s earnings press release and in our most recent annual or quarterly report filed with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update these statements for subsequent events.

During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in today’s earnings press release. The earnings press release is available in the Investor Relations section of our website. At this time, I will turn the call over to Russ.

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Thanks, Frank. I’m going to start with a few introductory remarks and then hand the call over to Troy, Brian, and then Frank. The main item I’d like to share is that we feel the company is at a very positive inflection point, both strategically and operationally. There’s always more to accomplish, but we’ve come a long way with expanding our customer and opportunity footprint, evolving our product capabilities, and starting to create real sales momentum. With this progress and deeper strategic understanding, which is against the backdrop of the very real and very massive AI revolution, we’ve gained proprietary insight into what we believe may be a much bigger market opportunity—one where we evolve beyond mainly providing strategic analytics to vertical market-leading companies to one where we accelerate delivering more comprehensive solutions that address higher value impact needs across the entire customer acquisition and optimization journey.

At the end of the day, our customers fundamentally rely on our AI-driven strategic insights to more efficiently drive growth-oriented customer acquisition. We believe there is a significant opportunity for us to rapidly expand into highly measurable AI-powered bundled solutions, which provide the strategic insights our customers need, the automated actions those insights inform, and the outcomes those actions achieve. We believe that there are significant untapped opportunities with our customers and solutions within each of our current verticals. We believe selling such bundled solutions across the entire customer value chain can accelerate our business and make us much more valuable, sticky, and scalable. With that, I’ll hand the call to Troy to briefly discuss the third quarter.

Troy Hartless, President, Marchex: Thank you, Russ. The third quarter represented continued progress with launching new products and accelerating sales bookings to our highest levels this year. While we did see some additional revenue migration dilution as we near completion of our technology platform migration at this year’s end, we still saw meaningfully improved sequential adjusted EBITDA, showing the magnitude of our operating leverage. Based on this overall progress, with accelerating sales bookings, which we anticipate can continue and compound, we believe we are gaining visibility on increased sustainable sales growth moving into 2026. We have a core focus on select very large vertical markets where the combination of our unique capabilities, combined with first-party data, creates unique solutions for world-class market-leading companies. To that end, we deliver industry-specific AI solutions for automotive, auto services, home services, healthcare, and advertising and media, as well as other industries and sub-verticals.

Overall, our AI-driven products revolve around the mission of understanding and capitalizing on customer conversations and leveraging first-party data for our customers’ strategic and financial benefit. Our AI-driven conversational intelligence platform integrates universal and industry AI models with extensive API integrations and industry-specific applications. The Engage platform is driven by agentic AI and enables any client to easily understand their insight-to-action path, allowing business leaders across multiple business functions to make complex decisions, leveraging prescriptive analytics across the full customer journey. All of the new products and features we have launched or anticipate launching in the course of 2025 are key components of our go-forward growth strategy. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Brian to provide an overview of the third quarter financial results.

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Thank you, Troy. Revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $11.5 million, which is down from $11.7 million for the second quarter of 2025. We saw favorable impact of new sales and existing customer upsells benefit the company in the period. We also saw some offsets to that growth due to migration activities from our legacy platforms onto our new Marchex Engage platform. For operating expenditures, we saw efficiencies throughout the business as we had a full quarter of benefit from the realignment of the organization that took place in the first half of 2025 following the completion of certain technology platform initiatives. We anticipate that our gross profit margins can continue to improve over time as we are carrying an overall lower cost structure going forward, which could enable meaningful future operating and financial leverage for the business as new products and features sell through.

On the balance sheet, cash decreased to $10.3 million from $10.5 million at the end of the second quarter of 2025. The decrease in cash was primarily due to the timing of customer payments at the end of the quarter. Moving to guidance. As previously communicated in the second quarter of 2025 earnings announcement, based on typical seasonality and the revenue migration dilution associated with migrating more than 1,000 customers onto the new technology platform, we currently anticipate that both revenue and adjusted EBITDA will be sequentially lower in the fourth quarter of 2025 as compared to the third quarter of 2025. That being said, as Troy previously noted, in the third quarter of 2025, we saw meaningful increases in sales bookings.

With this and the ongoing launch of our various new products, we believe we can continue to see sales levels increase going forward, which will in turn drive increased revenue growth. With the sales expansion currently underway and the primary platform migration completion by year’s end, we currently believe that in the course of 2026, we can see revenue growth on a run-rate basis in the 10% range from year-end levels. We also believe that in the course of 2026, the combination of increasing revenue growth combined with lower overall operating expenses can lead to adjusted EBITDA margins of 10% or more. With that, I will hand the call to Frank.

Frank Seney, COO, Marchex: Thank you, Brian. I would like to take a moment to walk through today’s announced agreement of principle to acquire Arcaneum. While the details regarding the potential transaction are included in today’s earnings press release, as well as certain Arcaneum estimated financial metrics, at a high level, Marchex has entered into an agreement of principle to acquire Arcaneum for consideration, consisting of a $10 million convertible promissory note and an earnout in the two years following closing of up to 4 million shares to the extent Arcaneum’s revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeds thresholds to be agreed to in the definitive agreement for the transaction. A special committee of Marchex’s board of directors, consisting solely of independent directors, has approved Marchex entering into the agreement of principle because certain of the sellers are related parties. The parties have agreed to promptly commence the negotiated definitive purchase agreement relating to the transaction.

Conditions to entering into the definitive agreement include receipt of audited financial statements of Arcaneum for such periods as required by SEC rules and receipt of a customary fairness opinion by a financial advisor selected by the special committee. Conditions to closing the transaction shall include approval of the transaction by a majority of Marchex’s disinterested stockholders and the closing date in the event a definitive agreement is entered into and the transaction is approved by disinterested stockholders is anticipated to occur in the first half of 2026. For your reference, Arcaneum is a performance-based customer qualification and acquisition company which transforms consumer intent into AI-verified outcome-based results. Leveraging advanced AI signals, natural language analytics, and automated decisioning, Arcaneum detects consumer intent and advertiser value in real time, optimizing customer acquisition campaigns dynamically across channels.

With machine learning models that continuously refine qualification accuracy and ROI, Arcaneum enables its customers to pay for verified AI-validated outcomes such as appointments, sales, and high-intent conversations. We believe that Marchex’s potential combination with Arcaneum is successfully consummated to create a vertically focused, AI-driven customer acquisition and outcome optimization platform, integrating deep insights, automated actions, and verifiable outcomes. Additionally, we believe that the expanded AI-driven product offerings across insights, actions, and outcomes could create more ways to win new business, and the bundling of solutions could create greater customer value, stickiness, and risk mitigation. We believe that the potential combined company could have the opportunity to achieve greater revenue scale and growth, higher margins, expanded market reach, and enhanced strategic flexibility, which could include, first, the potentially expanded addressable market with opportunity to cross-sell and bundle.

Marchex believes the combined ability to sell insights, actions, and outcomes would meaningfully expand our addressable market into new large vertical markets. Additionally, we believe we would have the ability to relatively quickly offer or bundle Arcaneum’s outcome-based solutions to many of Marchex’s insights-based enterprise customers. Second, greater potential revenue scale and growth. Marchex believes that revenue run rates for the potential combined company are approximately $15 million quarterly or approximately $60 million annualized, which could grow in the 15%-20% range in the course of 2026. Third, we see the potential for adjusted EBITDA expansion. Marchex believes that our adjusted EBITDA margins are anticipated to trend up to 10% or more in 2026 and that Arcaneum could contribute additional positive adjusted EBITDA beyond these levels. Finally, rule of 30 to rule of 40 trajectory.

For reference, the rule of 30 to 40 metric represents the combination of annual revenue growth rates plus adjusted EBITDA margins. If we are able to achieve the anticipated revenue run rate growth in the 15%-20% range and combine this with improving adjusted EBITDA margins in double digits, the combined company could be positioned to potentially achieve these rule of 30 to 40 metrics over time, which we believe helps highlight the unique opportunity of the combined company if consummated. With that, I will hand the call back to Russ for closing remarks.

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Thank you, Frank. We’ve already covered a whole lot today, so I simply want to close out by thanking all of our investors, partners, and other stakeholders for all of your ongoing support. Additionally, I want to deeply thank our employees for their unique expertise, sense of urgency, and continued commitment while we execute on what we believe is an increasingly dynamic opportunity. With that, I will hand the call back to the operator.

Operator: Operator.

If you’d like to ask a question, it is star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, it is star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, it is star one. As a reminder, if you’re using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking a question. I’ll pause briefly here as questions are registered. Again, it is star one on your telephone keypad if you would like to ask a question. Our first question comes from Ross Caller with the company Caller Capital. Ross, your line is now open.

Ross Caller, Analyst, Caller Capital: Awesome. Hey, guys. Congrats on the proposed acquisition.

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Thank you.

Ross Caller, Analyst, Caller Capital: Have a couple of questions on what the go-forward business looks like. Russ, first, can you discuss how you view the TAM for the combined solution?

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Good question. Yeah. We think the opportunity in addressable market, when you look at the combined company’s ability to sell insights, actions, and outcomes, is multiples of our existing one where we’re predominantly selling insights only. Our insights, we believe, are tied to meaningful nine-figure customer acquisition budgets, and we get used strategically to inform those. Our ability to continue to deliver more capabilities across that insights, actions, outcomes value chain translates to a significantly larger TAM, one we believe could be multiples of what we’re operating against today.

Ross Caller, Analyst, Caller Capital: Okay. Great. Can you talk about how you’re thinking about the trade-off between growth and profitability as you scale up the business?

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Definitely. Obviously, it’s an internal focus. When we think about arbitrating, validating that the investments we’ve made are translating into growth, we’re pleased that on the back end of the migration, we’re at an inflection point on a standalone basis where we believe we’re seeing that happen now and we can build on that. Net-net, as we look at the acquisition and our ability to accelerate growth potentially to the extent it gets consummated, we’re just focused on maximizing the revenue growth and maintaining some baseline positive adjusted EBITDA margins in that 10% or more range. We believe emphasizing customer penetration and really scaling up while prioritizing our growth rates is going to be the best approach for us for now.

Ross Caller, Analyst, Caller Capital: Perfect. Lastly, can you discuss how you view the growth breaking down between new versus existing customers? Also, how big a business can you build just inside your current installment?

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Yeah. Look, I think the best way to frame it is you’ve heard us say historically that we believe we have a $100 million revenue opportunity over time. On a combined basis, if this deal closes, we really believe that $100 million in revenue is way more tangible and way more achievable much sooner, even just with the existing or installed base. We look at the verticals we operate in, and we look at the market-leading companies that we work in in those verticals, and we look at the opportunities even within the sub-verticals. You will call it the virtuous cycle of the expertise that we’re putting together combined with the unique first-party data that we have that informs our expanding set of solutions.

We think there are other customers we do not have that look like them and we are going to be more relevant to with more capabilities that are easier to say yes to. On a kind of standalone basis with existing installed base, yeah, the combined company is well-positioned in a more tangible way to get to a $100 million rate much sooner.

Ross Caller, Analyst, Caller Capital: Awesome. Thank you.

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Appreciate the questions. Thank you. And the support.

Jayla, Moderator, Marchex: As they sound, there are no more questions regarding them. If you would like to pass the conference back over to our hosting team for closing remarks.

Russ Horowitz, Chairman of the Board, Marchex: Look, I appreciate everybody’s interest in Marchex. Obviously, we’re excited about where we are and what our possible opportunity can look like as we move forward. We’ve got a lot of congruency and clarity around what that looks like. I just appreciate all your ongoing support and look forward to keeping you posted as we execute and hope we make that happen. Thank you, everyone.

Jayla, Moderator, Marchex: That will conclude today’s conference call. Thank you for your participation and enjoy the rest of your day.