Luminar Technologies Q3 2025 Earnings Call - Strategic Shift Amid Automotive Uncertainty and Strength in LSI Photonics
Summary
Luminar faced a turbulent quarter with its automotive LiDAR business shaken by uncertain futures in key partnerships, notably Volvo, leading to paused IRIS unit production and paused equity financing programs. Capital restructuring talks with secured noteholders are ongoing, and multiple preliminary offers to purchase the company or its assets are under evaluation. The company is pivoting deliberately toward non-automotive markets, with LSI photonics emerging as a critical growth engine, particularly in aerospace and defense sectors fueled by strong secular tailwinds, reshoring, and national security priorities. Workforce reductions of roughly 25% are underway to right-size the company.
Key Takeaways
- Luminar entered forbearance agreements with majority secured noteholders until November 24, with expectations for further extensions during capital restructuring talks.
- 2025 financial guidance is suspended; usage of equity finance, credit, and preferred stock programs paused pending capital structure resolution.
- The company received multiple preliminary proposals to purchase the entire company or parts of it, actively evaluating these offers.
- New independent directors with finance and restructuring expertise joined the board to support strategic repositioning.
- Outgoing CFO Tom Fennimore to be replaced by Tom Bowden, with extensive tech financial leadership and prior collaboration with CEO Paul Ricci.
- Volvo partnership status uncertain; IRIS unit production paused pending resolution, with claims for damages filed, affecting revenue expectations and cash flow.
- Mercedes contract for HALO development likely ending; technology remains under evaluation for future projects.
- Relationship with Nissan progressing with focus on milestones and quality, but overall automotive market conditions delay L3 ADAS programs and awards.
- Shift toward commercial, defense, and industrial LiDAR markets where Luminar’s 1550-nanometer technology fits demanding applications like terrestrial off-road autonomy and marine and aerial obstacle avoidance.
- LSI photonics unit represents about one-third of Luminar’s revenue, showing strong year-to-date growth (~$18 million), more predictable revenue visibility, and backlog tied to multi-year defense and aerospace contracts.
- Workforce reduction of roughly 25% planned by year-end to reduce operating expenses starting 2026 and to right-size cost structure and supply chain.
- Q3 revenues grew 20% sequentially to $18.7 million, driven by IRIS shipments (mostly Volvo), higher NRE revenue, and LSI growth.
- Gross loss improved sequentially due to higher mix of NRE, reduced inventory purchases after Volvo pause, and lower warranty expense, despite unfavorable series sensor economics.
- Non-GAAP operating expenses decreased 9% sequentially and 29% year-over-year, reflecting lower R&D spend and cost actions.
- Free cash flow was negative $48.5 million, slightly better than prior quarters but reflecting lower proceeds from equity financing.
- Next-generation HALO architecture development continues without interruption despite corporate challenges.
- Luminar maintains engagement with platform partners like NVIDIA, though no new updates on those collaborations were provided.
Full Transcript
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: Today, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Luminar Third Quarter 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Yarden Amsalem, Head of Investor Relations.
Yarden Amsalem, Head of Investor Relations, Luminar Technologies: Thank you, Josh, and welcome everyone. With me today are Paul Ricci, Luminar’s Chief Executive Officer, and Tom Fennimore, our Chief Financial Officer. As a quick reminder, you can find the press release and presentation that accompanied this call at investors.luminartech.com. In a moment, you will hear remarks from Paul and Tom, followed by a Q&A session. Before we begin the prepared remarks and Q&A, let me remind everyone that during the call, we may refer to GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Today’s discussion also contains forward-looking statements based on the environment as we see it today, and as such, it does not include risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our press release and presentation for more information on the specific risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially. With that, I’d like to introduce Luminar’s CEO, Paul Ricci.
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. This has been a pivotal and challenging quarter for Luminar, including the developments we disclosed in our 8K a few weeks ago. We’re now taking deliberate action to reposition the company, and I want to begin by addressing a few items directly. First, on our capital structure, we’ve entered into forbearance agreements with the majority of our secured noteholders, which run through November 24th. We anticipate further extensions as we continue to negotiate with our secured noteholders towards a longer-term solution to our capital structure and liquidity needs. During this period, our 2025 financial guidance remains suspended. We’ve also paused usage of our equity finance, credit, and preferred stock programs while we work toward a comprehensive solution. We may decide to resume use of these programs in the future, depending on developments.
As previously disclosed, we’ve also received and are evaluating multiple preliminary proposals and indications of interest to purchase the entire company, as well as certain of its assets and business lines. We have added Patricia Ferrari and Elizabeth Abrams as independent directors to support our efforts. Together, Ms. Ferrari and Ms. Abrams bring extensive experience in banking, finance, and restructuring advisory work. In addition, this will be Tom Fennimore’s final quarter with Luminar as CFO. Tom has worked tirelessly with me over the past six months, and I’m appreciative of all the contributions he’s made during his time here and wish him the best in his next chapter. I also want to take a moment to welcome our new CFO, Tom Bowden. Tom brings more than four decades of financial and operational leadership across both public and private technology companies.
Tom and I worked side by side for many years in building Nuance, and I’m delighted to be working again with him here at Luminar. On the business front, we are managing continued challenges in our automotive LiDAR business. As disclosed, the future course of our relationship with Volvo will depend on the outcome of ongoing processes. We’ve made a claim for damages and paused further production commitments of IRIS units pending resolution. We remain in dialogue with Volvo and are hopeful that we can reach an agreement on a path forward. At the same time, we have advanced the strategic shift we outlined last quarter. We’re pursuing non-automotive markets more deliberately and elevating the role of our LSI photonics business, where we see continued progress.
Over the past several months, momentum has continued to build across both Luminar and LSI, especially in aerospace and defense, where our technology addresses mission-critical sensing and national photonics needs. These developments reinforce our belief that this strategic direction better positions Luminar for the years ahead. I’ll speak more to that progress in a moment, but first, let me turn to customer updates. Starting with Volvo, the uncertain status of that relationship will reduce or perhaps eliminate the expected volume and revenues from the EX90 and ES90 programs. Given the unfavorable economics of IRIS sales to Volvo at these depressed volume levels, this change also will help our cash flow and gross losses. We’re continuing a dialogue with Volvo, and we’ll provide updates when there is more to share.
Regarding Mercedes, we do not anticipate further development activity under the current HALO development contract, although our technology remains under evaluation for future programs. Finally, our relationship with Nissan continues to advance as we remain focused on meeting their hardware and software program milestones and delivering the quality and performance they require. Taken together, the developments with Volvo and Mercedes reflect broader industry conditions, including extended timelines for L3 ADAS program readiness and award decisions. These dynamics reinforce the direction we outlined last quarter to move more deliberately to pursue commercial markets outside of automotive, where engagement and near-term opportunities continue to grow, and particularly so in aerospace and defense applications. Luminar now works with nearly all major developments in terrestrial off-road autonomy, including Caterpillar, where we recently shipped the first design validation units as we progress towards start of production. We’re also expanding into defense and industrial use cases.
For example, Forterra, a leading autonomous mission systems company, is currently using IRIS on its off-road autonomy platforms. Our 1550-nanometer approach supports operations and conditions where stealth, detail, and reliability are important. It captures a highly accurate 3D view of unstructured terrain and allows safe navigation without GPS, which is increasingly important as GPS jamming becomes more common. Beyond ground systems, we’re seeing similar interest in aerial and marine applications. Our work with Lake Fusion Technologies is an early example where IRIS sensors are being used to help helicopter pilots identify power lines and other hazards. We’re also supporting partners in marine autonomy for obstacle avoidance and precision positioning. Ultimately, these commercial, defense, and industrial markets represent growing high-margin opportunities that validate the scalability of our technology. This connects directly to the progress we’re seeing at LSI.
As a reminder, LSI supplies photonics components, subsystems, and systems across aerospace, defense, industrial, and medical markets, combining defense-grade reliability with chip-scale innovation from concept to deployment. As a trusted U.S. supplier in export-controlled domains such as missile defense, quantum sensing, directed energy, and optical communications, LSI is well-positioned to benefit from strong tailwinds driven by rising defense budgets, reshoring mandates, and national security priorities. Given that LSI currently represents about one-third of Luminar’s annual revenue, we believe it is an under-recognized element of our business. Year to date, LSI has generated roughly $18 million in revenue, and we see a path for strong growth from here. Unlike the automotive business, which has proven to be a more unpredictable business, LSI benefits from stronger revenue visibility, with a significant portion of its backlog tied to multi-year customer orders.
With strong secular tailwinds, we believe LSI stands to build on this momentum over the next several years. Before turning it over to Tom to discuss Q3 results, I’d like to discuss our organization briefly, where we are taking steps to align our cost base with our long-term goals. As previously discussed, as part of our ongoing realignment, we will reduce roughly 25% of our workforce by year-end. This was a difficult but necessary step to give the company the stability it requires. We expect a meaningful reduction in operating expense as a result of these actions beginning in 2026. Regarding the supply chain, we are currently reviewing our arrangements with our contract manufacturing partners. This is consistent with our broader effort to right-size our cost structure and align our supply chain strategy with a lower-volume environment in the near term.
With that, I’ll hand it off to Tom to discuss Q3 results.
Tom Fennimore, Chief Financial Officer, Luminar Technologies: Thank you, Paul. Revenue for the quarter came in at $18.7 million, up about 20% sequentially and 21% year-over-year. The increase in revenue during the quarter was primarily driven by three factors. First, we shipped roughly 5,400 IRIS sensors in Q3 compared to 4,800 in Q2, with the vast majority of these shipments going to Volvo. Second, higher NRE revenue related to development work we are currently performing for our customers. Finally, a sequential increase in LSI revenue as we’ve seen continued growth in defense and aerospace-related spending. For the quarter, we reported a gross loss of negative $8.1 million on a GAAP basis and negative $7.3 million on a non-GAAP basis. Q3 gross loss improved sequentially driven by a higher mix of NRE revenue, lower inventory purchases following the previously discussed Volvo program pause, as well as a lower warranty expense.
This was partially offset by higher shipments of series production sensors and unfavorable economics. OPEX came in at $66.6 million on a GAAP basis and $43 million on a non-GAAP basis. Non-GAAP OPEX declined roughly 9% and $4 million relative to the prior quarter and 29% or $18 million relative to Q3 of last year. This decrease was driven primarily by lower R&D spend and continued progress on our cost actions. We ended the quarter with $74 million in cash and marketable securities in line with the preliminary results shared a few weeks ago. As Paul noted, we have paused usage of our equity financing and preferred stock programs while we work towards a longer-term solution for our capital structure and liquidity needs. We may decide to resume use of these programs in the future depending upon developments.
We are also actively evaluating multiple non-binding preliminary proposals and indications of interest to purchase parts of or the entirety of the company. We will share updates on this when appropriate. Our change in Q3 was negative $34 million above the $31 million level from Q1. This was driven by lower proceeds from our equity financing program. Free cash flow for the quarter was roughly negative $48.5 million, lower than the $53.8 million in Q2 and significantly below the $58.4 million from a year ago. I’ll now turn it back to Paul for closing remarks.
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: While this is undoubtedly a challenging period, we’re approaching it with discipline, transparency, and focus. We’re deeply grateful to our employees, customers, and partners for their continued commitment and trust as we navigate this transition. We will now take your questions.
Speaker 4: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. One moment for questions. Our first question comes from Winnie Dong with Deutsche Bank. You may proceed.
Winnie Dong, Analyst, Deutsche Bank: Hi. Thank you for taking the questions. I was wondering if you can provide maybe a preliminary update on the direction of the strategic actions going forward in the prepared memory. It was said that you’re evaluating potential sale or partial sale of the company. Just wondering if there is any preliminary indication of interest and what you guys might be leaning forward. Thank you.
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: Yes. As I did comment moments ago, we have had interest in assets, business lines, and in fact, the entire company. We are in the process of evaluating those as well as other financing interests in the company.
Winnie Dong, Analyst, Deutsche Bank: Okay. That’s helpful. Maybe in the meantime, in terms of your next-gen product development, is that put on hold or is that still behind the scenes, still progressing?
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: No, it has not been put on hold. We’ve maintained critical engineering and related resources necessary to pursue the HALO architecture, which we’ve talked about in some detail in previous quarters. That work continues unabated.
Winnie Dong, Analyst, Deutsche Bank: Okay. Got it. Thank you.
Speaker 4: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. Our next question comes from Josh Patwell with JPMorgan Chase. You may proceed.
Josh Patwell, Analyst, JPMorgan Chase: Hi. Good evening, and thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to start with LSI. Could you maybe give us a sense of the size of the business, the intellectual property portfolio, and the current momentum you’re seeing with customers? I understand that LSI is the result of a series of acquisitions over the years, so I’d appreciate your perspective on how you think about the intrinsic value of that segment. Thanks and have a photo op.
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: Earlier in my comments, I gave a little bit of indication of revenues year-to-date in LSI. Other than that, I can’t comment terribly on the size, too much on the size. It is a growing business. It has deep technologies in various areas of photonics that I mentioned in my comments. Those range from medical applications to industrial applications to military and defense applications. As I’ve indicated previously and again today, we think it’s an under-recognized asset and business line in our company. We’re doing the things necessary to accelerate growth in that business. There has been, as I’ve mentioned, strategic interest in that business as well.
Speaker 4: Appreciate it. As a follow-up, while we appreciate all the detail on your automaker partnerships, I was hoping you could also share any updates on your relationships with platform partners like NVIDIA. Is there continued engagement on that front, especially in light of several major automakers recently announcing their L4 platforms in collaboration with these platform players? Thank you.
Paul Ricci, Chief Executive Officer, Luminar Technologies: The company does continue to work with platform players. I don’t have any updates on partnerships in that area today, though.
Speaker 4: All right. Thank you, and good luck. Thank you. This concludes the conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.