BGS November 5, 2025

B&G Foods Q3 2025 Earnings Call - Portfolio Reshaping Drives Cost Savings Amid Sales Pressure

Summary

B&G Foods posted a mixed third quarter in 2025, confronting a 4.7% year-over-year decline in net sales to $439.3 million, reflecting divestiture impacts and a continuing soft consumer backdrop. Adjusted EBITDA held steady at $70.4 million, buoyed by strategic cost savings initiatives including a back-half $10 million efficiency plan and productivity gains, especially in frozen and vegetables. The company aggressively reshaped its portfolio, divesting multiple brands including Don Pepino, Sclafani, LeSueur US, and set to close on Green Giant Canada, focusing on a leaner lineup with improved margins. Despite top-line challenges, management projects stabilized and gradually improving sales trends into fiscal 2026, targeting adjusted EBITDA margins approaching 20% and a meaningful leverage reduction to approximately 6x by mid-2026. Pricing actions to offset tariffs, growth in spices and seasonings, and strength in private label and food service channels helped offset volume pressures. Risks include consumer softness, tariff uncertainties, and possible SNAP-related grocery spending disruptions, though no material effects have been observed yet.

Key Takeaways

  • Third quarter net sales declined 4.7% year-over-year to $439.3 million, with base business sales down 2.7% excluding divestitures.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was flat year-over-year at $70.4 million, excluding divestitures showing improvement.
  • B&G Foods implemented a $10 million incremental cost savings initiative in the back half of 2025, targeting $15-$20 million annual run rate.
  • Divestitures of Don Pepino, Sclafani, LeSueur US, and pending Green Giant Canada sale reshape the portfolio towards a more focused, higher margin business.
  • Spices and seasonings business unit grew net sales 2.1% in Q3, supported by club and food service channel strength despite tariff pressures.
  • Frozen and vegetables segment delivered a $3 million EBITDA improvement due to favorable crop costs and productivity gains in Mexico.
  • Management narrowed fiscal 2025 net sales guidance to $1.82 billion–$1.84 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $273 million–$280 million, reflecting divestiture impacts and stable base trends.
  • Pricing initiatives have been implemented to recover tariff costs starting November, with early indications suggesting modest volume elasticity around 0.5 to 0.6.
  • Consolidated leverage ratio was 6.88x at the end of Q3; company aims to reduce to approximately 6x by mid-2026 via divestiture proceeds, EBITDA improvement, and working capital management.
  • Food service and private label businesses remain relatively stable or growing, comprising about 21-22% of portfolio and partly offsetting softer traditional retail sales.
  • Promotional trade spend increased modestly in Q3 but with controlled SGA expenses, reflecting disciplined cost structure management.
  • No significant impact on shipments observed yet from government SNAP benefit disruptions or shutdown concerns, though temporary effects remain possible.
  • Company projects fiscal 2026 as transformational with simpler portfolio, improved margins, and focus on core categories including spices, meals, and baking staples.

Full Transcript

Conference Operator: Good day and welcome to the B&G Foods Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. Today’s call, which is being recorded, is scheduled to last about one hour, including remarks by B&G Foods management and the question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call over to AJ Schwab, Senior Associate, Corporate Strategy and Business Development for B&G Foods. Thank you and over to you.

AJ Schwab, Senior Associate, Corporate Strategy and Business Development, B&G Foods: Good afternoon and thank you for joining us. With me today are Casey Keller, our Chief Executive Officer, and Bruce Wacha, our Chief Financial Officer. You can access detailed financial information on the quarter in the earnings release we issued today, which is available at the Investor Relations section of bgfoods.com. Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that part of the discussion today includes forward looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and therefore undue reliance should not be placed upon them. We refer you to B&G Foods’ most recent Annual Report on Form 10K and subsequent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our company’s future operating results and financial condition.

B&G Foods undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We will also be making references on today’s call to the non-GAAP financial measures, Adjusted EBITDA, Segment Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share, Adjusted Gross Profit, Adjusted Gross Profit Percentage, Base Business Net Sales, and Segment Adjusted Expenses. Reconciliations of these financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in today’s earnings release. Casey will begin the call with opening remarks and discuss various factors that affected our results, selected business highlights, and his thoughts concerning the outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2025. Bruce will then discuss our financial results for the third quarter of 2025 and our updated guidance for fiscal 2025.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: I would now like to turn the.

AJ Schwab, Senior Associate, Corporate Strategy and Business Development, B&G Foods: Call over to Casey.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Good afternoon. Thank you AJ and thank you all for joining us today for our third quarter 2025 earnings call. Today I will cover an overview of third quarter performance. Bruce will cover more detailed financial results, an update on recent divestitures and future portfolio, and the outlook for Q4 and beyond. Q3 results, the third quarter demonstrated significant improvement in adjusted EBITDA delivery with sequential improvement in base business net sales trends. Q3 net sales of $439.3 million finished -4.7% versus last year, although base business net sales, which excludes the impact of divestitures, were down -2.7%. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $70.4 million, flat versus last year on a reported basis but up year over year excluding the impact of divestitures. Some of the key drivers, Q3 benefited from the implementation of our back half $10 million cost savings initiative.

SGA overhead was down $2 million from last year as a result of specific restructuring actions. Cost of goods sold or COGS as a percentage of net sales improved 40 basis points versus last year behind incremental productivity efforts. The frozen and vegetables business unit delivered strong segment adjusted EBITDA recovery in Q3 plus $3 million as new crop pack costs came in favorable to last year’s wheat crop and our Mexico facility achieved strong productivity gains. The spices and seasonings business unit grew net sales plus 2.1% in Q3, benefiting from the growth in fresh food and proteins as well as strength in our club and food service channels. Segment adjusted EBITDA was impacted by tariffs with targeted pricing implemented to recover those costs in Q4.

The divestiture of the Don Pepino and Sclafani business in May and the LeSueur U.S. canned peas brand in August removed approximately $10.3 million of net sales and $3.2 million in adjusted EBITDA from Q3 portfolio divestitures. B&G Foods continues strong progress in reshaping and restructuring our portfolio in the third quarter. Last week we announced the divestiture of our Canadian Green Giant business in canned and frozen vegetables. That divestiture is subject to Canadian regulatory approval and is expected to close late in the fourth quarter or during Q1 fiscal year 2026. Further, we continue to evaluate and pursue the divestiture of our Green Giant U.S. Frozen business, the last part of the frozen and vegetables business unit. Green Giant is a strong brand in a good category but is not the right fit for the B&G Foods portfolio.

With seasonal production, a different temperature, state, geographic complexity and higher working capital intensity. These Green Giant divestitures along with the recently completed Don Pepino, Sclafani and LeSueur divestitures will create a more highly focused B&G Foods which we believe will lead to adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales approaching 20%, increased cash flow generation, a lower leverage ratio closer to five times, a more efficient cost structure and clear synergies within our portfolio. Fiscal Year 2025 outlook we expect the fourth quarter to show continued improvement versus the first half.

Fiscal Year 2025 trend flat. Net sales excluding the divestitures with year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA. The key assumptions behind our latest guidance: the 53rd week is expected to add 2%-3% sales growth in Q4, a partial week benefit. Excluding the impact of the 53rd week, base business net sales are projected to be down approximately 2%-3% in Q4, consistent with the trend in Q3. We expect to realize additional savings in Q4 as part of the incremental $10 million cost efficiency initiative launched early this year, with an annual run rate of approximately $15 million-$20 million in savings. These include additional productivity in COGS, trade and market spending efficiencies, accelerated SGA savings, and discretionary spending cuts.

The U.S. frozen vegetables business is expected to continue to show improved adjusted EBITDA performance behind more favorable crop pack costs and strong productivity in our Mexico manufacturing facility. We have executed targeted pricing to recover incremental tariffs at existing levels which become effective for most customers starting in November. As a result, we have revised and narrowed guidance for fiscal year 2025 to $1.82 billion-$1.84 billion in net sales and $273 million-$280 million in adjusted EBITDA, which reflects the impact of recently completed divestitures and the base business trends. Finally, we are committed to reducing leverage and balance sheet risk in the third quarter, typically the high point of our seasonal inventory pack. Our consolidated leverage ratio was 6.88 times.

We expect to reduce our consolidated leverage ratio to six times within the next nine months by using divestiture proceeds and excess cash generated through improved EBITDA performance and lower working capital needs to reduce long term debt. Looking forward, fiscal year 2026 is poised to be a transformational year with a more focused, higher margin and stable portfolio. Once divestitures and post closing transition services have been completed, we expect continued improvement in base business trends towards the long term algorithm of 1%. Further, we will also become a less complex, more efficient and leaner company behind a simplified portfolio, restructuring operations to right size overheads and focus resources and investments behind the core categories and brands in spices and seasonings, meals and baking staples.

Thank you and I will now turn the call over to Bruce for more detail on the quarterly performance and outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2025.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Thank you, Casey. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. I am pleased to report that despite a challenging consumer backdrop, we had a reasonably strong third quarter driven by a mix of continued strength in some channels such as club and food service as well as a validation of our cost savings initiatives. As a reminder, we divested the Don Pepino and Sclafani brands at the end of May and then the LeSueur brand in the United States on August 1 of this year. As a result, our third quarter financial results this year exclude Don Pepino and Sclafani for the full quarter and LeSueur for approximately two of the three months of the quarter. Last week we announced the agreement to sell our Green Giant and LeSueur Frozen and Shelf Stable Product Lines in Canada to Norterra Foods.

Subject to regulatory approval in Canada and the satisfaction of customary closing conditions, we expect the transaction to close in the fourth quarter of 2025 or the first quarter of 2026. Because the Canadian transaction has not closed, it did not impact our financial results for the third quarter, although when reviewing our 10Q, you will notice that the business has been designated as an asset held for sale on our balance sheet as of the end of the third quarter of 2025. For the third quarter of 2025, we generated $439.3 million in net sales, $70.4 million in adjusted EBITDA, 16% adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of net sales, and $0.15 in adjusted diluted earnings per share. Overall net sales for the third quarter of 2025 decreased by $21.8 million, or 4.7%, to $439.3 million from $461.1 million for the third quarter of 2024.

Base business net sales, which exclude the net sales for the Don Pepino, Sclafani and LeSueur US brands for both periods, decreased by $11.9 million, or 2.7%, in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the third quarter of 2024. $12.9 million, or 290 basis points of the decline in base business net sales was driven by lower volumes and $0.3 million or less than 10 basis points of the decline was driven by foreign exchange. The decline was offset in part by $1.3 million or 30 basis points of benefit from an increase in net pricing and the impact of product mix. Our spices and flavor solutions business unit led our top line performance for the third quarter with net sales up by $2.1 million or 2.1%.

Driving the performance was continued growth for our partner brand and club and our food service business Spices and Flavor Solutions segment. Adjusted EBITDA was down by approximately $2.1 million for the third quarter as a result of higher raw material costs and tariffs primarily on Chinese garlic and black pepper that is sourced from Vietnam as well as cinnamon and onions. Much like our peers in the industry we have executed pricing actions to help offset these cost increases. Our Spices and Flavor Solutions business unit began to see the benefit of pricing to offset certain commodity increases in July and we expect to begin to see additional benefit to offset tariffs beginning this month. Our meals business unit had reasonable top line performance for the quarter despite its concentration in a still challenged retail grocery environment.

Net sales for Meals decreased by $1.6 million, or 1.4% for the third quarter. However, Meals segment adjusted EBITDA increased by approximately $0.6 million for the quarter. We continue to see softness for our specialty business unit. Base Business net sales for specialty, which excludes net sales for the Don Pepino and Sclafani brands for both periods, decreased by approximately $7 million, or 4.5% for the third quarter of 2025 as compared to the third quarter of 2024. Nearly 60% of that decline was driven by Crisco. Crisco net sales were down by $4.1 million for the third quarter, with approximately half of the decrease as a result of lower net pricing that was reduced in part to reflect lower input costs for soybean oil and half driven by lower volume.

Despite the decline in net sales, Crisco segment adjusted EBITDA was flat for the third quarter as compared to the third quarter of 2024. Overall, Specialty segment adjusted EBITDA was down $3.6 million, or 8.7% for the quarter, including the negative drag from lapping third quarter 2024 profits from the Don Pepino and Sclafani brands. Base business. Net sales for our frozen and vegetables business unit, which excludes net sales for LeSueur US brand for both periods, declined by $5.4 million, or 6.7% for the third quarter as compared to the third quarter of last year. However, frozen and vegetable segment adjusted EBITDA increased by $3 million as we cycled past the expensive 2024 crop season and unfavorable peso exchange rates. Green Giant is also benefiting from productivity improvements and cost savings initiatives in our Mexican manufacturing facility.

Overall, for B&G Foods, gross profit for the third quarter of 2025 was $99 million, or 22.5% of net sales. Adjusted gross profit was $98.8 million, or 22.5% of net sales. Gross profit for the third quarter of 2024 was $102.3 million, or 22.2% of net sales. Adjusted gross profit was $102.4 million, or 22.2% of net sales. Promotional trade spend, which is captured on our net sales line, increased by approximately 110 basis points in the third quarter of 2025 versus the third quarter of 2024. Sequentially favorable to year over year increases of 178 basis points in the first quarter of 2025 and 120 basis points in the second quarter of 2025. While we continue to invest in our brands and reduce prices on shelf for consumers, we must also balance this with managing our profitability.

Our material labor and overhead costs improved by nearly 100 basis points as a percentage of gross sales during the third quarter of 2025 as compared to the third quarter of last year. Material labor and overhead costs were favorable by 40 basis points as a percentage of net sales. Input cost inflation, as measured by raw material costs across the basket of inputs in our factories, has remained modest thus far in 2025 except for elevated costs in black pepper, garlic, olive oil, tomatoes, core vegetables, and cans. We continue to closely monitor inflation amid ongoing trade and tariff negotiations. Tariffs again pressured our portfolio, reducing adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter by nearly $3.5 million.

Approximately 60%, or 2.2 million of this impacted our spices and flavor solutions business unit. Year to date tariff impact totals negative $5.1 million. Selling, general and administrative costs decreased by $1.4 million, or 3%, to $44.6 million for the third quarter of 2025 from $46 million for the third quarter of 2024. The decrease was composed of a decrease in consumer marketing expenses of $1.8 million, general and administrative expenses of $0.6 million, warehousing expenses of $0.5 million, and selling expenses of $0.3 million, partially offset by an increase in acquisition, divestiture and non-recurring expenses of $1.8 million. Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales was 10.2%, approximately flat when compared to 10% for the prior year period.

We generated $70.4 million in adjusted EBITDA or 16% of net sales in the third quarter of 2025 compared to $70.4 million or 15.3% of net sales in the second quarter of 2024. The divestiture of the Don Pepino, Sclafani and LeSueur US branch during the second and third quarters of 2025 negatively impacted third quarter adjusted EBITDA by approximately $3.2 million. Net interest expense decreased by $4.9 million to $37.3 million for the third quarter of 2025 compared to $42.2 million for the third quarter of 2024.

The decrease in interest expense was primarily driven by a decrease in net debt and the benefits of lower interest rates on our variable rate debt as well as a net gain on the extinguishment of debt of $0.7 million during the third quarter of 2025 compared to a loss on extinguishment of debt of $1.9 million during the third quarter of 2024. We repurchased an additional $20 million aggregate principal amount of 5.25% senior notes due 2027 in open market purchases during the third quarter of 2025, taking us to a year to date total of $40.7 million aggregate principal amount of repurchases at an average discounted purchase price of 92.94% or a discount to principal amount of approximately $2.9 million. Depreciation and amortization was $16.6 million in the third quarter of 2025, which is largely in line with $17.2 million in the third quarter of last year.

Adjusted net income increased to $11.7 million, or $0.15 per adjusted diluted share in the third quarter of 2025. In the third quarter of 2024, we had adjusted net income of $10.1 million or $0.13 per adjusted diluted share. Adjustments to our EBITDA net income are detailed further in our earnings release. Now moving to our consolidated cash flows and balance sheet. We continue to expect cash flows to be strong this year, but there are some discrete items that negatively impacted net cash from operations in the third quarter of 2025.

These included an unfavorable working capital comparison due in large part to the LeSueur US Divestiture and the timing of our inventory purchases during tax season prior to the closing date of the divestiture, which had negative impact on our net cash from operations during the third quarter of 2025 but increased the purchase price we received for the LeSueur US Divestiture, which then had a positive impact to our net cash provided by investing activities during the quarter. Also, pursuant to our transition services agreement for Don Pepino and Sclafani Divestiture, we purchased inventory during the third quarter for those brands for which we were reimbursed by the new owner in the fourth quarter.

Net cash from operations was also negatively impacted by the timing of cash interest payments made during the third quarter of 2025 compared to the third quarter of 2024 as a result of the June 2024 refinancing of our five and a quarter notes due 2025. We have reduced our net debt to $1.984 billion and our consolidated leverage ratio as calculated pursuant to our credit agreement to 6.88 times in the third quarter of 2025. Despite being at our seasonal peak for net debt and inventory, as we roll off the typically heavy third quarter inventory pack build, we expect leverage to improve going into the fourth quarter of this year and we remain on track to reduce our consolidated leverage ratio to approximately six times by mid-2026. As a reminder, approximately 35-40% of our long term debt is tied to floating interest rates or SOFR.

100 basis point reduction to SOFR would be expected to reduce our interest expense by approximately $7 million-$7.5 million. As Casey mentioned earlier, we continue to make progress on our portfolio reshaping efforts as evidenced by last week’s announcement regarding Green Giant Canada and the Don Pepino, Sclafani and LeSueur US divestitures that we completed earlier this year during the second and third quarters. These divestitures are continuous examples of the strategy that we believe will make us a more focused and ultimately stronger company while also helping us to reduce debt and eliminate heavy seasonal pack businesses from our portfolio. While these are great brands that will do well for their new owners, they do not align with the focus that we have laid out for the B&G Foods of the future.

Green Giant Canada generates approximately $100 million in annual net sales in US dollars but minimal adjusted EBITDA to our P&L. The divestitures of Don Pepino, Sclafani and LeSueur brands in the U.S. were factored into our fiscal 2025 guidance that we provided during the second quarter earnings call. We are not yet adjusting our guidance to reflect the pending divestiture of the Green Giant and LeSueur brands in Canada. Given that the transaction has not yet closed, we are largely holding our fiscal 2025 guidance to the levels previously provided. However, given the still challenging consumer environment, we are revising and narrowing our top line guidance to $1.82 billion-$1.84 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $273 million-$280 million and adjusted earnings per share guidance of $0.50-$0.58. Our guidance continues to account for a modestly soft economic environment that has persistently impacted consumer spending patterns.

It reflects our expectation that our top line will continue to stabilize combined with the benefit of the 53rd week, that modest pricing around tariffs will offset the majority of these costs, and that material input costs will remain relatively consistent. In addition, our guidance incorporates our cost reduction plans, which remain on track to produce the anticipated $10 million of cost savings that we have targeted for the second half of this year. We live in an uncertain world, however, and so the risks to our guidance include increased challenges in an already difficult consumer environment, a greater than expected negative volume impact as the result of our pricing initiatives to offset tariffs, trade negotiations and the potential impact of any increased or retaliatory tariffs, a softer than expected holiday season, or any destocking or other inventory management by our retail customers.

Additionally, we expect for full year 2025 interest expense of $147.5 million-$152.5 million, including cash interest expense of $142.5 million-$147.5 million, depreciation expense of $47.5 million-$52.5 million, amortization expense of $20 million-$22 million, an effective tax rate of 26%-27%, and CapEx will likely be at the lower end of our $30 million-$35 million target. As we mentioned on our last call, we are committed to reducing our consolidated leverage ratio, which we expect to reduce to approximately six times or less by the second quarter of 2026 through the successful execution of our divestiture strategy, continued stabilization of our adjusted EBITDA, our excess cash generation, and continued improvements in working capital. Now I will turn the call back to Casey for further remarks.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Thank you, Bruce. In closing, B&G Foods remains focused on a few critical priorities. Improving the base business, net sales trends of our core business to the long term objective of 1%, reshaping the portfolio for future growth, stability, higher margins and cash flows, as well as structuring key platforms for future acquisition growth, reducing leverage closer to five times through divestitures and excess cash flow to facilitate strategic acquisitions. This concludes our remarks, and now we would like to begin the Q&A portion of our call. Operator, thank you.

Conference Operator: We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star and then one on your touchtone phone. If you’re using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star and then two. At this time we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. We have the first question from the line of Andrew Lazar from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Maybe first off, Casey, third quarter sales.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Came in a bit better than that.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Least consensus was looking for. As you mentioned, you sort of lowered the midpoint of your full year sales guidance, and the low end is a bit below the previous low end that you had. Maybe what are you seeing in the fourth quarter and maybe the broader environment that has sort of caused this shift?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yes, I think on sales guidance, mostly what we did was narrow the range down to $20 million from the previous $50 million range. We brought the bottom end down a little bit, not much. I think all we’re doing is reflecting the impact of the divestitures fully. And also we’ve kind of kept the base business net sales trends consistent with what we were seeing in Q3. So that the improvement that we saw in Q3 versus Q1, Q2, we’re kind of projecting that into Q3. Into Q4. Sorry, into Q4. Yep, got it.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: I know it’s a little early still because more of the pricing.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: In the spices and flavorings business is.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Still going to flow through. So far, what have you seen in that segment around volume elasticity with respect to some of the pricing that you’ve taken?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: I mean, we’ve just taken it literally. So, you know, it’s only been out and we don’t have really consumption data yet for it because most of that pricing hit kind of at the end of October. We’re expecting, you know, some elasticity, but not a huge amount. I mean, I think we’re projecting more like, you know, 0.5, 0.6, and we’ll be able to measure that within a couple weeks now. But, you know, we’ve seen other manufacturers take spice increases, price increases behind tariffs and commodity costs without a significant effect.

: Yeah.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: The pricing that we took for spices on the commodity costs earlier this year kind of went through. You know, we had a pretty good third quarter performance for spices. As Casey said, we think that we should be fine.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah. On average, Andrew, these price increases to reflect tariffs are kind of in the low to single mid digits.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Got it. Thank you.

Conference Operator: We have the next question from the line of Scott Marks from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Scott Marks, Analyst, Jefferies: Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking your questions. First thing I wanted to ask about, you noted that you’re expecting kind of the base business performance in Q4 to be kind of in line with Q3. You know, if we strip out the impact from the Green Giant US business and the frozen vegetable business, how should we be thinking about that for the remaining three segments? And then further, how should we be thinking about the building blocks for getting back to that 1% number in 2026.

: Thanks.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yes, I think. First off, what we said about Q4, we will still have the Green Giant Canada business and the US Frozen Green Giant business in those trend lines that we talked about. When I said Q3 was minus 2.7% and what we’re projecting in Q4 is minus 2-3%, we will still have the Green Giant pizzas in there because remember, even though we announced Canada, we can’t close it until we get regulatory approval from Canada. We’re assuming that that business remains in the portfolio for the fourth quarter.

I think as we go forward, once we are able to complete divestitures around Green Giant, if we’re looking at the other three business units, my expectation would be that those top line trends would be better because Green Giant has been probably a little bit more of our difficult comparisons over the last couple of years. I do not want to give you a specific number now because it’s all dependent on things happening. I would expect more stable performance from the spice and seasonings business. We’re seeing growing. That category has actually been growing and we were up 2% in Q3. Meals is down just a little bit, but we are starting to see some improvements in our Ortega and other trends. Our baking staples business has probably been a little bit weaker.

Some of that is due to lower oil pricing on Crisco that we’ve reflected in market. That’s part of the sales degradation. If I take those three businesses, I think you’re going to see more stable trends on the top line. I would hope that would be part of our that’s going to be part of our track towards getting to a flat to up 1% over time.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Got it.

Scott Marks, Analyst, Jefferies: Appreciate the answer there. Second question for me is just as we think about that spices business, I know you mentioned kind of the strength in the food service and club business there. Just wondering if you can remind us how big is that business for you and maybe what are the trends that you’re seeing there as it relates to consumer customer demand relative to more traditional retail channels. Thanks.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah. I’ll give you an answer overall in our portfolio. I mean, we could talk more specifically about spices, but in total our food service business is about 13-14% of our portfolio and we’ve seen pretty stable trends in that business. We haven’t really seen declines. We’ve seen flat to modest growth in our food service business, which is a lot of spices business going to different restaurant outlets through distributors, and we also have a syrup business going to breakfast establishments. That business has been relatively stable. Our private label business, we do have one, we have one large business in the club channel and private label that is a good business, profitable business, and has had very strong growth trends. We’ve seen, you know, our private label business actually doing pretty well in addition to our food service channels.

That’s about food. I mean private label in total is about 8% of our total sales and that’s been, you know, kind of a little bit of a growth that’s been driving some, you know, mid single digit growth for us. I mean I hope that answers the question but we’ve seen some relative stability or strength in those two areas of our business probably relative to the center store packaged goods branded side.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: That’s helpful.

Scott Marks, Analyst, Jefferies: Appreciate the answer. I’ll pass it on.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have the next question on the line of Robert Moskow from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

: Hi.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Thank you.

: Two questions. The six times leverage target by mid next year. Casey and Bruce, can I assume that that assumes that you will exit the rest of Green Giant then, now that you’ve exited the Canadian side and then LeSueur, does it make it easier to market the remaining US business to potential buyers and then a follow up?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah. On the leverage piece, and we walked through this on our second call, Core, we were talking about about a full turn of deleveraging. About half of that was coming from the divestiture of the various Green Giant pieces, LeSueur, Canada and then U.S., and I think that’s the answer to your first question. The rest was stabilization of EBITDA, excess cash, and working capital management on a go forward basis. After all the strategic review of Green Giant is completed, assuming we no longer own the business, there will be significantly less working capital swings between quarters. We’ll still have things like Crisco and Clabber that have a seasonal bake season where we build inventory in the third quarter and sell it.

It will not be as extreme as the pact plan for Green Giant, which is why you see inventory high now, but it always comes down in the fourth quarter and then kind of continues. That is part one. Your second question around, does the divestiture of LeSueur and the signed agreement still to close for Canada, does that impact the sale of the remaining business or does it make it easier? Not really. They are distinct conversations with logical strategic partners on all pieces. This is two out of the three or three out of the four if you go back and include the can business that we sold to Seneca about a year and a half ago.

: Okay, got it. The follow up, there’s a lot of noise in the press about the SNAP cutbacks. Also just like this immediate disruption related to the government shutdown. It’s not just the press. I guess it’s really happening in many states. Have you seen any early signs of that impacting grocery sales in your categories or is it just too soon to know whether it’ll matter?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: I think it’s too soon to know whether it’ll matter. My expectation is that if, let’s say the shutdown continues and SNAP benefits get cut in half for any extended period of time, that there could be some impact from that. I mean, I’ve heard Walmart and others talk about that, but I think that’s going to be a temporary effect until the government gets back up in operation and SNAP benefits are restored. Yes, I do expect there might be a temporary, might be a temporary impact. It’s too hard to figure out exactly how much, given the way consumers were spending and how much of their SNAP benefits they’re actually receiving. I think this is just a temporary phenomenon until this gets resolved.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Rob, just to reiterate on that, we typically try not to talk too much on inter quarter performance, but certainly with regards to SNAP and any impact, we have not seen any impact so far to date in our shipment.

Conference Operator: Very good.

: Thank you.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have the next question from the line of William Reuter from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Good afternoon. I just have a couple. The first, in terms of your outlook to get to the six time leverage target, is there any expectation there that you will either be gaining or losing any shelf space over that period?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Other than what we’ve sold.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Other than the divested businesses, you mean?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah, yeah.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Could be any business wins that you kind of see on the horizon. Alternatively, if there are businesses that you’re having to respond to RFPs to maintain your shelf space.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: The six dimes assumes that we hit our model for 2025 and kind of preliminary 2026 thoughts, I guess that would include any performance for those businesses that we anticipate, but we have not done a further probability weighting by like inches of shelf space, if that is what you are asking.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Got it.

: Okay.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Our forecast would factor in how we see distribution wins and losses across our innovation launches and, you know, any cut of, you know, slower moving items. Our forecast always includes those kind of projections.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Got it. And then given you have been successful with the three divestitures so far, are you fairly certain that you’re going to be able to come to an agreement with a buyer on the Green Giant US sale within the time frame that you’ve laid out?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Not really fair to comment on that other than, you know, we’re making progress on getting these transactions done and we certainly laid out what we thought made sense from a timeline and that’s where we are.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: Got it. Okay.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Lastly for me, you laid out the timing of the 6x net leverage mid next year. A couple times you touched upon the five times. Is that kind of a longer term goal or is there a timeline associated with that we should be thinking about?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: We haven’t put out a timeline, but it is very much a longer term goal, and Casey will remind me of that every quarter.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: I mean our long term leverage goal is between 4.5 and 5.5. I mean that’s the midpoint and I think that could reflect the right kind of risk.

: Got it.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Okay. All very helpful. Thank you.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have the next question from the line of David Palmer from Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Thanks.

: I just wanted to. Hey Bruce, Casey. I wanted to ask you guys about the organic sales numbers you mentioned. Food service roughly flat and the private label business sounds like it’s up mid single digits. You know that might get us close to where we are when we adjust our consumption numbers. Get close to the numbers that you had. It still feels like I might be down 4% to 5% versus the under 3% decline that you showed and you’re guiding to as well for the fourth quarter. I’m just trying to think about other reasons why that would be different. Is there any shipment dynamics, other non measured channels that are happening?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: No, I mean I think it’s really simple. There’s about 35-40% of our portfolio that’s unmeasured by Nielsen U.S. data. I mean if I just give you the numbers, Canada is about 7-8%, food service is about 13-14%. Private label is around 7-8%. We have an industrial business also that’s about 5%. There’s unmeasured customers in the U.S., you know, Costco, et cetera, that’s about 3%. It’s more than just the food service and private label business I talked about. You do all that math and it kind of gets you to that base business trend, roughly that 2-3% kind of base business trend.

: Your assumption on basically this back part of the year is that your consumption all channel obviously, not that it wouldn’t be even captured by Circana either, would be also down 2-3%. Fair to say?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah, but that would move across foodservice and channels and then it would include our private label business. We have a very strong club private label spice business that’s been growing very rapidly. It assumes that we’re kind of static in terms of our performance in the fourth quarter that we were in the third quarter across measured and unmeasured kind of channels and businesses.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Dave, the other part where you might be missing if you’re thinking about fourth quarter, just a reminder, this is the 53rd week and it’s in our fourth quarter this year. We’ve talked a number of times referenced either $15 million-$20 million or $16 million-$18 million. There’ll be some benefit which is also impacting, is factored into our guide.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Which kind of offsets the base business trend. The two of those kind of offset each other to get to roughly flattish net sales in the fourth quarter.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Great.

: Thank you for all that.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: That was great.

: With regard to the tariffs language you had in the release, just it seems like it is dated language that, you know, you are not including all the tariffs in there.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: It’s kind of like can only include what we know. Yeah, right. Going in front of the Supreme Court.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: We’ve priced for all known existing tariffs. You know, these negotiations.

: Yeah, and certainly guided for it too, I would assume.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yep.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yes.

Conference Operator: Is there.

: Have you talked about the inflation inclusive of tariffs that you’re expecting? Call it into 1H 2026. Have you talked about that?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: I mean, we’re seeing outlooks. Dave, I wouldn’t want to tell you that we’ve actually finalized our projections, but we’re kind of seeing, you know, 1.5-2% input cost inflation before tariffs. But that’s a very early number, probably mostly driven by pacting.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: I think our key thing is similar to 2025. We haven’t seen anything that suggests a big uptick in inflation based on our basket of inputs.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Our strategy for that would be that we expect the price to recover tariffs, which we’ve already done and that’s been implemented. We will look at final inflation assumptions and projections when we get pretty close to the new year. It is a combination of some targeted pricing where we have significant increases in certain commodities as well as productivity efforts that would offset that, more than offset that, you know, that rate of inflation in very low single digits.

: Great, thank you.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Hale Holden from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Hale Holden, Analyst, Barclays: Thank you. Good afternoon, fellows. I just had three very quick clarifications. Bruce, I really appreciate the working capital talk through that you did on the inventory swings. Can you give me a sense of what the baking business would be 3Q to 4Q in terms of % of inventory? Because I just do not really have a baseline on what that flow back for.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: You would be for our existing business.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah, like the Crisco and Clabber.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: We haven’t disclosed that.

Hale Holden, Analyst, Barclays: Okay.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Probably directionally you can think about what our sales breakdown is by quarter for those business. I do think we disclosed that for both businesses to have a rough impact of the swings.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: Not perfect, but there’s a little bit of a, there’s a small pre-build in advance of baking season.

Hale Holden, Analyst, Barclays: Okay. The spices pricing that you’re talking about on tariffs, is this the second one from the summer or was there one at the end of the summer or is this the first one?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah. What we did just in a couple pieces of the spice portfolio is we put pricing in effect to offset increases in commodity costs. Non-tariff related stuff that we knew was coming this year, particularly black pepper and garlic. Separately, and that was pretty small, modest. I think we talked about it a little bit. In July we talked a little bit about it on our second quarter earnings call. We have since followed up across the board where we needed to for tariffs to take price. That is really an end of October, early November phenomenon when it is effective. Yeah, got it.

Hale Holden, Analyst, Barclays: My last question is the $55 million-$60 million in charges that you outlined for Canada, is that a good proxy for the sale price or a bad proxy?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: It’s not. Yes. That 55-65 is a good proxy for the sales price assuming and it’s somewhat dictated by inventory. Assuming that we closed with inventory levels where we are in September is kind of where that lays out.

Hale Holden, Analyst, Barclays: Thank you so much. I appreciate it.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yep, thank you.

Conference Operator: We have the next question from the line of Carla Kesela from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: Hi, great. Thank you. You talked about working capital anomaly in third quarter related to, I think it was LeSueur. Did you say how much was moved into third quarter that you will be reimbursed, that you were reimbursed for in fourth quarter?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah. The two pieces for working capital around inventory were LeSueur, the U.S. business that we sold and we bought. It’s pack season. It’s a little bit nuanced, the ins and outs, but we bought about $20 million of inventory for a business that we no longer own. About half of that ended up finding its way into higher pricing on the transaction and flowed in as a benefit in cash from investing. There is another $2 million-$3 million of inventory that we bought for the Don Pepino and Sclafani brands on behalf of the new owners that they reimbursed us for in the fourth quarter. That was a temporary hurt in the third quarter numbers.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: Okay, so it’s like a $2 million-$3 million that you were paid in fourth quarter that hurt third quarter?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Yeah, for Don Pepino and then another $20 million that we spent on the business that we no longer own for LeSueur and the interest delta because we did a refinancing last year. That ended up moving an interest payment from what was October into September, and that’s about, I think, a $7-$10 million swing there.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: Okay, great. Any early thoughts in terms of the broader refinancing for the capital structure as we start to get closer to the first maturity?

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: No.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: I mean, we continue to think that at some point when it makes sense and it’s appropriate, you know, we’ll look to refinance those 2027 notes, you know, obviously watching the market and, you know, we’ll pick an opportune time and do.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: You have additional secured capacity?

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: I think that the notes will be refinanced as unsecured, not secured.

William Reuter, Analyst, Bank of America: Okay.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: Okay, great. Just one follow up. You mentioned that pricing effect went into effect for customers in November, meaning you passed on to retailers. It is going into the consumer like on shelves in November. I am wondering if you have seen any change in elasticity since then.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: No.

Casey Keller, Chief Executive Officer, B&G Foods: I mean, most of the pricing has taken place in the last couple of weeks and we don’t really have, you know, kind of market based scanner data yet, but we’ll watch it pretty closely.

Carla Kesela, Analyst, JP Morgan: Okay, great. That’s all I had. Thank you.

Bruce Wacha, Chief Financial Officer, B&G Foods: Thanks, Carla.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.