Currencies January 21, 2026

UBS CEO Reinforces the US Dollar's Central Role amid Global Uncertainties

Sergio Ermotti Highlights Investor Reliance on US Markets and Cautions on AI Investment Risks

By Sofia Navarro
UBS CEO Reinforces the US Dollar's Central Role amid Global Uncertainties

UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti reaffirmed the indispensability of the US dollar and US assets for global investors, despite heightened geopolitical tensions. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, he stressed that while diversification is an emerging trend, the US remains the primary investment destination. Additionally, Ermotti identified both US and Chinese markets as essential investment arenas and offered insights on the AI sector's investment landscape.

Key Points

  • The US dollar retains its dominant position as the principal currency in global finance, with most investors compelled to maintain exposure to it despite geopolitical tensions.
  • Diversification in investment portfolios is gaining attention, yet significant reduction in US asset holdings remains limited to smaller groups of investors, indicating sustained confidence in US markets.
  • Both US and Chinese markets are deemed essential and unavoidable destinations for investment capital, reflecting their continuing influence on global economic dynamics.
  • In the artificial intelligence sector, overall industry stability is expected, but selective stock investments may pose risks, encouraging broader investment strategies rather than narrow stock picking.

At a recent panel during the World Economic Forum in Davos, UBS Chief Executive Officer Sergio Ermotti addressed the current challenges and realities faced by global investors amid escalating geopolitical tensions. He underscored the unparalleled dominance of the US dollar in international finance, asserting that the majority of the global financial system cannot realistically take positions against it.

Ermotti emphasized, "It is almost impossible for a big chunk of the system to bet against the dollar. There is no choice but the dollar," highlighting the currency's fundamental role in global investment strategies.

While acknowledging a growing emphasis on diversification within investment portfolios, Ermotti pointed out that only select segments of investors are actually decreasing their holdings in US assets. He firmly maintained that, for the foreseeable future, the United States stands as the unrivaled destination for capital deployment.

Further expanding on geographic investment trends, Ermotti described the markets in both the United States and China as "unavoidable," signifying their critical importance on the global investment stage.

Turning to sector-specific insights, Ermotti addressed the burgeoning field of artificial intelligence. He expressed confidence in the industry's overall resilience, forecasting that the AI sector is unlikely to experience a broad collapse. Nevertheless, he cautioned that individual investors concentrating on selecting specific AI stocks may encounter setbacks, implicitly recommending a more diversified approach to AI-related investments.

This perspective offers guidance to market participants considering exposure to emerging technology sectors, suggesting prudence over targeted stock picking in the volatile AI landscape.

Ermotti's remarks provide a timely reflection on the intertwined nature of currency strength, geopolitical factors, and sectoral investment trends that are shaping investor decision-making processes globally.

Risks

  • Geopolitical tensions create uncertainty that could impact investor confidence and asset allocation, particularly regarding US assets and currency exposure.
  • Focusing investments on individual AI stocks carries potential for losses due to volatility and the evolving nature of the sector.
  • Reliance on US and Chinese markets implies exposure to risks associated with economic and policy changes in these major economies, which could affect returns and market stability.

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